A5103030834- Climate change and permafrost
- Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
- Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
- Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Cryospheric studies and observations
- Climate variability and models
NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research
2024
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
2017
Members in ensemble forecasts differ due to the representations of initial uncertainties and model uncertainties. The inclusion stochastic schemes represent has improved probabilistic skill ECMWF by increasing reliability reducing error mean. Recent progress, challenges future directions regarding at are described this article. coming years likely see a further increase use methods assimilation. This will put demands on used perturb forecast model. An area that is receiving greater attention...
Abstract Arctic permafrost thaw holds the potential to drastically alter Earth's surface in Northern high latitudes. We utilize high‐resolution large eddy simulations investigate impact of changing surfaces onto neutrally stratified atmospheric boundary layer (ABL). A stochastic model based on Gaussian Random Fields modeling typical landscapes is established terms two land cover classes: grass and open water bodies, which exhibit different roughness length sensible heat flux. set experiments...