A5027553933- Marine and fisheries research
- Marine and coastal ecosystems
- Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
- Marine Bivalve and Aquaculture Studies
- Ocean Acidification Effects and Responses
- Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
- Climate variability and models
- Food Industry and Aquatic Biology
- Fish Ecology and Management Studies
- Methane Hydrates and Related Phenomena
- Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
- Coral and Marine Ecosystems Studies
- Isotope Analysis in Ecology
- Carbon Dioxide Capture Technologies
- Education and Critical Thinking Development
- Microbial Community Ecology and Physiology
- Marine Biology and Ecology Research
- Sustainability and Ecological Systems Analysis
- Geological Studies and Exploration
- Educational Challenges and Innovations
- Scientific Computing and Data Management
- Teacher Professional Development and Motivation
- Coastal and Marine Management
- Species Distribution and Climate Change
- Research Data Management Practices
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
2020-2025
NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service Alaska Fisheries Science Center
2019-2025
Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences
2021-2024
University of Connecticut
2024
NOAA National Marine Fisheries Service
2019-2024
University of Washington
2015-2024
Sphere Institute
2020
The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston
2020
University of Miami
2013-2015
NOAA Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratories
2015
Abstract Climate change can impact the pattern of marine biodiversity through changes in species’ distributions. However, global studies on climate impacts ocean have not been performed so far. Our paper aims to investigate patterns such by projecting distributional ranges a sample 1066 exploited fish and invertebrates for 2050 using newly developed dynamic bioclimate envelope model. projections show that may lead numerous local extinction sub‐polar regions, tropics semi‐enclosed seas....
Abstract Previous projection of climate change impacts on global food supply focuses solely production from terrestrial biomes, ignoring the large contribution animal protein marine capture fisheries. Here, we project changes in catch potential for 1066 species exploited fish and invertebrates 2005 to 2055 under scenarios. We show that may lead large‐scale redistribution potential, with an average 30–70% increase high‐latitude regions a drop up 40% tropics. Moreover, maximum declines...
Abstract Climate science is highly interdisciplinary by nature, so understanding interactions between Earth processes inherently warrants the use of analytical software that can operate across disciplines science. Toward this end, we present Data Toolbox for MATLAB, which contains more than 100 functions span major climate‐related The toolbox enables streamlined, entirely scriptable workflows are intuitive to write and easy share. Included evaluate uncertainty, perform matrix operations,...
Climate change is impacting fisheries worldwide with uncertain outcomes for food and nutritional security. Using management strategy evaluations key US in the eastern Bering Sea we find that Ecosystem Based Fisheries Management (EBFM) measures forestall future declines under climate over non-EBFM approaches. Yet, benefits are species-specific decrease markedly after 2050. Under high-baseline carbon emission scenarios (RCP 8.5), end-of-century (2075-2100) pollock Pacific cod collapse >70%...
Marine ecosystem forecasting is an area of active research and rapid development. Promise has been shown for skillful prediction physical, biogeochemical, ecological variables on a range timescales, suggesting potential forecasts to aid in the management living marine resources coastal communities. However, mechanisms underlying forecast skill ecosystems are often poorly understood, many forecasts, especially biological variables, rely empirical statistical relationships developed from...
The Alaska CLimate Integrated Modeling (ACLIM) project represents a comprehensive, multi-year, interdisciplinary effort to characterize and climate-driven changes the Eastern Bering Sea ecosystem, from physics fishing communities. Results ACLIM are being used understand how different regional fisheries management approaches can help promote adaptation sustain fish shellfish populations inform managers fishery dependent communities of risks associated with future climate scenarios. relies on...
Abstract Efforts to manage living marine resources (LMRs) under climate change need projections of future ocean conditions, yet most global models (GCMs) poorly represent critical coastal habitats. GCM utility for LMR applications will increase with higher spatial resolution but obstacles including computational and data storage costs, obstinate regional biases, formulations prioritizing robustness over skill persist. Downscaling can help address limitations, significant improvements are...
Abstract Ocean alkalinity enhancement (OAE) has the potential to mitigate ocean acidification (OA) and induce atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) removal (CDR). We evaluate CDR OA mitigation impacts of a sustained point‐source OAE 1.67 × 10 mol total (TA) yr −1 (equivalent 667,950 metric tons NaOH in Unimak Pass, Alaska. find elevation initially mitigates by decreasing p CO increasing aragonite saturation state pH. Then, enhanced air‐to‐sea exchange follows with an approximate e ‐folding time...
Abstract. The Bering Sea is a highly productive ecosystem, supporting variety of fish, seabird, and marine mammal populations, as well large commercial fisheries. Due to its unique shelf geometry the presence seasonal sea ice, processes controlling productivity in ecosystem span pelagic water column, benthic floor, sympagic ice environments. Ecosystem Study Nutrient-Phytoplankton-Zooplankton (BESTNPZ) model has been developed simulate lower-trophic-level throughout this region. Here, we...
Climate change may impact ocean ecosystems through a number of mechanisms, including shifts in primary productivity or plankton community structure, acidification, and deoxygenation. These processes can be simulated with global Earth system models (ESMs), which are increasingly being used the context fisheries management other living marine resource (LMR) applications. However, projections LMR-relevant metrics such as net production vary widely between ESMs, even under identical climate...
The high-latitude Pacific is home to highly productive ecosystems, including vast populations of commercially and subsistence harvested fish. These regions can be challenging sample directly. Over several decades at the NOAA Marine Environmental Laboratory, we have applied numerical models infer past, present, future states these regional oceans their biota. estimates are provided fisheries scientists help identify local biophysical dynamics that underlie marine resource fluctuations...
The Bering10K Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) model is a high-resolution (10-km) regional ocean that has been used over the past decade to investigate relationships between physical environment and eastern Bering Sea shelf ecosystem in both research management contexts. Extensive validation for this conducted previously, particularly focused on bottom temperature, key driver shaping dynamics region. However, previous observations of temperature were primarily limited summer months....
Uncertainty related to biogeochemical model structure, i.e. the equations, parameters, and variables used simulate nutrient cycling lower trophic level dynamics, can contribute significantly overall uncertainty of regional predictions living marine resources metrics like primary production transfer efficiency. This may be particularly true in shallow coastal regions, where there is growing interest using these types models inform ecosystem management. Here, we use a intercomparison quantify...
Abstract Climate-related distribution shifts for marine species are, in general, amplified northern latitudes. The objective of this study was to predict future distributions commercially important the eastern Bering Sea under six climate scenarios, by incorporating predictions oceanographic conditions. We used modelling determine potential changes four time periods (2013–2017, 2030–2039, 2060–2069, and 2090-2099) relative 1982–2012 16 fish invertebrates. Most were predicted have significant...
Recent observations of record low winter sea-ice coverage and warming water temperatures in the eastern Bering Sea have signaled potential impacts climate change on this ecosystem, which implications for commercial fisheries production. We investigate forecasted food web through end century under medium- high-emissions scenarios combination with a selection management strategies by conducting simulations using dynamic model. The outputs from three global earth system models run two...
A regional ocean biogeochemical model for the Bering Sea is used to dynamically downscale three Earth System Models from CMIP5 archive under RCP 8.5 and 4.5 scenarios. These continuous runs, completed in conjunction with Alaska Climate Integrated Modeling Project (ACLIM), span 2006–2100 timeframe project continued warming, freshening, acidification (OA) shelf region over 21st Century, larger magnitude changes scenario. The downscaled projections suggest that annual average surface seawater...
Abstract In recognition of the impact climate change on marine ecosystems worldwide, integrated research teams have coupled projections with social-ecological models to inform management and evaluate adaptation strategies for fishing industry communities. A key step in this process is selection scenarios that enable improved decision-making through engagements constituents diverse interests future use resources. This paper presents an approach selecting refining climate-informed groundfish...
Abstract Climate-enhanced stock assessment models represent potentially vital tools for managing living marine resources under climate change. We present a climate-enhanced where environmental variables are integrated within population dynamics model of biomass, fishing mortality and recruitment that also accounts process error in demographic parameters. Probability distributions the impact associated factors on growth can either be obtained from Bayesian analyses involve fitting to...
MEPS Marine Ecology Progress Series Contact the journal Facebook Twitter RSS Mailing List Subscribe to our mailing list via Mailchimp HomeLatest VolumeAbout JournalEditorsTheme Sections 426:105-118 (2011) - DOI: https://doi.org/10.3354/meps09002 Interannual variability in phytoplankton blooms and plankton productivity over Nova Scotian Shelf Gulf of Maine Hongjun Song1,2, Rubao Ji2,3,*, Charles Stock4, Kelly Kearney5, Zongling Wang1 1Key Lab Science Engineering for Ecological Environment,...