Air pollution and weather are just two of many environmental factors contributing to traffic accidents (RTA).This study assessed the effects these on related mortalities in Ahvaz, Iran.In this ecological study, data about RTA, traffic-related mortalities, air (including NO, CO, NO2, NOx PM10, SO2, O3 rates) climate from March 2008 until 2015 was acquired Khuzestan State Police Force, Environmental Protection Agency Meteorological Department. Statistical analysis performed with STATA 12...

The basic reproduction number (R0) has a key role in epidemics and can be utilized for preventing epidemics. In this study, different methods are used estimating R0's their vaccination coverage to find the formula with best performance.We estimated R0 cumulative cases count data from April 18 July 6, 2009 35-2017 34-2018 weeks Canada: maximum likelihood (ML), exponential growth rate (EG), time-dependent numbers (TD), attack (AR), gamma-distributed generation time (GT), final size of...

Background: Predicting the incidence of tuberculosis (TB) plays an important role in planning health control strategies for future, developing intervention programs and allocating resources. Objectives:The present longitudinal study estimated 2014 using Box-Jenkins methods.Materials Methods: Monthly data cases recorded surveillance system Iran program from 2005 till 2011 was used.Data reviewed regarding normality, variance equality stationary conditions.The parameters p, d q P, D Q were...

Colorectal cancer is one of the most common cancers. The aim this study determination its trends in Kerman province and individual cities separately until year 2016. This analytical modeling was based registry data University Medical Sciences, collected during 2001-2010. Among 20,351 case, 792 were colorectal cases age group 18-93 years with a mean 59.4 standard deviation 15.1. By applying time series trends, incidences predicted 2016 for each city, adjustment population size. In cases, 413...

Road traffic accidents and their related deaths have become a major concern, particularly in developing countries. Iran has adopted series of policies interventions to control the high number occurring over past few years. In this study we used time model understand trend accidents, ascertain viability applying ARIMA models on data from Taybad city.This is cross-sectional study. We between 2007 2011. obtained Ministry Health (MOH) method with lag one month. After plotting trend,...

Air pollution has been associated with modern life. The respiratory system is the first point of contact air pollutants. This research was carried out about relationship between and deaths in Shiraz, Iran. In this ecological study number sorted by gender age pollutants including NO, CO, NO2, NOX, PM10, SO2, O3, CH4, THC, NMHC were inquired from 2006 to 2011. mortality studied simultaneously one month delay negative binomial regression adjustment for confounding variables correlation...

Background: Urban air pollutants may affect respiratory mortality. This study was conducted to investigate this effect in Ahvaz, one of the most polluted cities world. Methods: The impact 7 major including O3, PM10, NO2, CO, and SO2 were evaluated on mortality different gender age groups using a quasi-Poisson, second degree polynomial constrained, distributed lag model, with single cumulative structures adjusted by trend, seasonality, temperature, relative humidity, weekdays, holiday. Data...

Alcohol use and drug injection are prevalent among homeless youths. The aim of this study was to identify the associated factors alcohol consumption youths aged 18-29 years.Data on 202 (111 males 91 females) were collected using a standardized questionnaire face-to-face interview. Lasso logistic regression applied determine impact injection.The mean age participants 26.30 ± 3.19 years. Also, prevalence 33.0% [95% confidence interval (CI): 30-36] 4.0% (95% CI: 0-8), respectively; 6 people...

Background: Traffic accidents are the main cause of deaths in developing countries. Fatalities due to traffic assessed through a three-year time series forecast. Objectives: The aim this study is use trend assessment predict accident fatalities for January 2013 December 2015 Kermanshah province, Iran. Materials and Methods: This historical longitudinal using analysis identify best fit model. criteria MSE (mean square error) were used determine model with goodness fit. that had smaller value...

Multiple imputation by chained equations (MICE) is the most common method for imputing missing data. In MICE algorithm, can be performed using a variety of parametric and nonparametric methods. The default setting in implementation models to include variables as linear terms only with no interactions, but omission interaction may lead biased results. It investigated, simulated real datasets, whether recursive partitioning creates appropriate variability between imputations unbiased parameter...

A simple efficacious topical treatment for cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) is still an unresolved challenge. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of use thioxolone plus benzoxonium chloride (Thio-Ben) tincture in combination with cryotherapy comparison intralesional meglumine antimoniate (Glucantime) along treating anthroponotic CL (ACL). The was conducted Leishmaniasis Center Dadbin Health Care Clinic, Kerman, Iran. Sixty-four lesions were randomly assigned receive Thio-Ben (TC) (n = 32)...

Background: Breast cancer is a top biomedical research priority, and it major health problem. Therefore, the present study aimed to determine prognostic factors of breast survival using cure models. Methods: In this retrospective cohort analytic study, data 140 patients were collected from Ali Ibn Abi Taleb hospital, Rafsanjan, Southeastern Iran. Since in part population had long-term survival, models used evaluated DIC index. The analyzed Openbugs Software. Results: patients, 23 (16.4%)...

Background: Vulvovaginal candidiasis (VVC) is a very common debility in gynecology clinics.Despite access to several antifungal agents, VVC still challenge; therefore, presenting novel agent, especially with traditional origin, of interest and demand. Objectives:The current study aimed at comparing the efficacy Anethum graveolens L. (dill) vaginal cream that 1% Clotrimazole treat VVC. Methods:A prospective, single-center, randomized, double-blind clinical trial was performed.In study,...

In this paper, a mathematical model of fighting against cancer tumor growth by combination oncolytic virotherapy and chemotherapy is introduced. model, we considered two time delays ?1 ?2. The delay shows the lag transmission infection from virus to cells. A lot kind cancers, symptoms are diagnosed at late stage as consequence approach start with lag. Thus, take into account presenting ?2 in control variable. Therefore, study, parameters used for both state variables. Pontryagin minimum...

Cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) is currently a health problem in several parts of Iran, particularly Kerman. This study was conducted to determine the incidence and trend CL Kerman during 2014-2020 its forecast up 2023. The effects meteorological variables on also evaluated.4993 definite cases recorded from January 2014 December 2020 by Vice-Chancellor for Health at University Medical Sciences were entered. Meteorological obtained national site. time series SARIMA methods used evaluate...

Background & Objective: Incidence and prevalence of cancer is increasing worldwide, especially in the low middle income countries, including I.R o Iran. Valid data needed to measure burden take appropriate decision towards control. Due limitation registrations it hard make an inference about Itan. It important how complete valid report incidence mortality. Material Method: We prepared mortality registry (source 1) 2) from health deputy Fars province. In addition, we collected cases different...

Background: This study aimed to identify mortality risk factors among hospitalized COVID-19 patients in southeast Iran. Methods: cross-sectional used data from the admitted Afzalipour teaching hospital Kerman, Iran, February 2020 September 2021. The demographic and clinical of 6,057 were analyzed using Bayesian network logistic regression models. Results: Out patients, 333 (5.5%) died. most important for age, gender, fever, headache, decreased level consciousness (LoC), chronic liver...