A5022005811- Species Distribution and Climate Change
- Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
- Plant and animal studies
- Avian ecology and behavior
- Land Use and Ecosystem Services
- Wildlife Ecology and Conservation
- Forest Management and Policy
- Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management
- Lepidoptera: Biology and Taxonomy
- Remote Sensing in Agriculture
- Botany and Plant Ecology Studies
- Environmental Conservation and Management
- Forest Insect Ecology and Management
- Animal Ecology and Behavior Studies
- Peatlands and Wetlands Ecology
- Animal Behavior and Reproduction
- Genetic diversity and population structure
- Remote-Sensing Image Classification
- Environmental Sustainability and Technology
- Forest Ecology and Biodiversity Studies
- Genetic and phenotypic traits in livestock
- Global Energy and Sustainability Research
- Data-Driven Disease Surveillance
- Insect behavior and control techniques
- Agriculture and Rural Development Research
Luxembourg Institute of Science and Technology
2015-2025
German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research
2017-2024
Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research
2017-2022
Birds Canada
2021
UCLouvain
2003-2020
Forest Science and Technology Centre of Catalonia
2014-2019
Centre for Research on Ecology and Forestry Applications
2015-2019
Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas
2017
Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech
2014-2017
University of Liège
2017
Effective policies to halt biodiversity loss require knowing which anthropogenic drivers are the most important direct causes. Whereas previous knowledge has been limited in scope and rigor, here we statistically synthesize empirical comparisons of recent driver impacts found through a wide-ranging review. We show that land/sea use change dominant worldwide. Direct exploitation natural resources ranks second pollution third; climate invasive alien species have significantly less than top two...
Efficient management of biodiversity requires a forward-looking approach based on scenarios that explore changes under future environmental conditions. A number ecological models have been proposed over the last decades to develop these scenarios. Novel modelling approaches with strong theoretical foundation now offer possibility integrate key and evolutionary processes shape species distribution community structure. Although is affected by multiple threats, most studies addressing effects...
Based on an extensive model intercomparison, we assessed trends in biodiversity and ecosystem services from historical reconstructions future scenarios of land-use climate change. During the 20th century, declined globally by 2 to 11%, as estimated a range indicators. Provisioning increased several fold, regulating decreased moderately. Going forward, policies toward sustainability have potential slow loss resulting change demand for provisioning while reducing or reversing declines...
Abstract Temporal baselines are needed for biodiversity, in order the change biodiversity to be measured over time, targets conservation defined and progress evaluated. Limited information is widely recognized as a major barrier identifying temporal baselines, although comprehensive quantitative assessment of this lacking. Here, we report on that could drawn from monitoring schemes Europe compare those with rise important anthropogenic pressures. Most were initiated late 20 th century, well...
Abstract. To support the assessments of Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES), IPBES Expert Group Scenarios Models is carrying out an intercomparison biodiversity ecosystem services models using harmonized scenarios (BES-SIM). The goals BES-SIM are (1) to project global impacts land-use climate change (i.e., nature's contributions people) over coming decades, compared 20th century, a set common metrics at multiple scales, (2) identify model...
Abstract Aim Species distribution models often assume a changing climate (dynamic variables) but unchanged land use (static to estimate future species shifts. However, scenarios of projected change are available calculate dynamic variables. Surprisingly, the importance using instead static variables when projecting potential distributions under remains largely unexplored. We tested whether joint inclusion and altered projection compared with classical approach assuming use. Location E urope...
It is now widely recognized that climate and land use changes are among the most important threats to biodiversity ecosystem services (Maxwell, Fuller, Brooks, & Watson, 2016; Scheffers et al., 2016). Biodiversity models scenarios developed explore possible future impacts of these (Thuiller 2013; Urban Such approaches needed inform decision-makers on conservation or management options anticipate response change. From 1990s early 2000s, based change simulations accumulated in scientific...
SUMMARY In Europe, and particularly in the Mediterranean Basin, abandonment of traditional land-use practices has been reported as one main causes decline for open-habitat species. Data from large-scale bird butterfly monitoring schemes north-east Iberian Peninsula were used to evaluate impact that land had on local biodiversity. Species’ habitat preferences, along a gradient open forest habitats, significantly related population trends: both birds butterflies, species showed most marked...
In human-altered environments, organisms may preferentially settle in poor-quality habitats where fitness returns are lower relative to available higher-quality habitats. Such ecological trapping is due a mismatch between the cues used during habitat selection and quality. Maladaptive settlement decisions occur when time-constrained have rapidly evaluate quality based on incomplete knowledge of resources conditions that will be later season. During three-year study, we examined...
This report presents the European Grassland Butterfly Indicator, based on national Monitoring Schemes (BMS) in 19 countries across Europe, most of them Union. The indicator shows that since 1990 till 2011 butterfly populations have declined by almost 50 %, indicating a dramatic loss grassland biodiversity. also means situation has not improved first version published 2005. Of 17 species, 8 2 remained stable and 1 increased. For six species trend is uncertain. main driver behind decline...
Abstract Aim Global environmental changes challenge traditional conservation approaches based on the selection of static protected areas due to their limited ability deal with dynamic nature driving forces relevant biodiversity. The Natura 2000 network (N2000) constitutes a major milestone in biodiversity Europe, but degree which this will be able reach its long‐term objectives raises concern. We assessed effectiveness N2000 Mediterranean ecosystem between and 2050 under different...
The climatic preferences of the species determine to a large extent their response climate change. Temperature have been shown play key role in driving trends animal populations. However, relative importance temperature and precipitation is still poorly understood, particularly systems where ecological processes are strongly constrained by amount timing rainfall. In this study, we estimated played determining population for birds butterflies Mediterranean area. Trends were derived from...
The InsectAI COST action will support insect monitoring and conservation at the national continental scale in order to understand counteract widespread declines. Action bring together a critical mass of researchers stakeholders image-based AI technologies direct drive research agenda, build capacity across Europe innovation application. There is mounting evidence that populations insects around world are sharp decline. Understanding trends species their drivers key knowing size challenge,...
Species populations naturally fluctuate, yet long-term trend analysis can reveal patterns of success, decline, or stability under global change pressures. While responses to climate are well-documented, its synergy with another major driver, urbanization, remains understudied. Here, we analyzed monitoring data from over 8,400 145 butterfly species across Europe, representing a high diversity traits, assess population trends in response and urbanization. We examined how vary between urban...
Abstract Despite the scientific consensus on extinction crisis and its anthropogenic origin, quantification of historical trends future scenarios biodiversity ecosystem services has been limited, due to lack inter-model comparisons harmonized scenarios. Here, we present a multi-model analysis assess impacts land-use climate change from 1900 2050. During 20th century provisioning increased, but regulating decreased. Similar trade-offs are projected for coming decades, they may be attenuated...
Abstract Aim To assess the relative roles of environment and space in driving bird species distribution to identify relevant drivers assemblage composition, case a fine‐scale atlas data set. Location The study was carried out southern Belgium using grid cells 1 × km, based on maps Oiseaux nicheurs de Famenne: Atlas Lesse et Lomme which contains abundance for 103 species. Methods Species found < 10% or > 90% were omitted from set analysis. Each cell characterized by 59 landscape...
Abstract Aim To analyse the effect of inclusion soil and land‐cover data on performance bioclimatic envelope models for regional‐scale prediction butterfly (Rhopalocera) grasshopper (Orthoptera) distributions. Location Temperate Europe (Belgium). Methods Distributional were extracted from atlases at a resolution 5 km period 1991–2006 in Belgium. For each group separately, well‐surveyed squares ( n = 366 butterflies 322 grasshoppers) identified using an environmental stratification design...
Abstract Aim Species distribution models built with geographically restricted data often fail to capture the full range of conditions experienced by species across their entire area. Using such predict shifts under future environmental change may, therefore, produce biased projections. However, restricted‐scale have potential include a larger sample taxa for which are available and provide finer‐resolution projections that better applied conservation planning than forecasts broad‐scale...
Summary Up‐to‐date knowledge on species distribution is needed for efficient biodiversity conservation and management decision‐making. Implementing sampling strategies to identify previously unknown locations of conservation‐concern therefore a key challenge. Both structured expert judgement habitat suitability models may help target towards areas where chances find the are highest. However, practitioners often object use believe they do not result in better decisions than subjective opinion...
Abstract Aim Habitat loss and degradation is one of the main threats to biodiversity worldwide. Ecological modelling community has been increasingly incorporating habitat changes in species distribution models (SDMs). However, effect that uncertainty arising from standard procedures land‐use/land‐cover (LULC) mapping can have on SDMs overlooked. Remote sensing offers a great source information assess at different spatiotemporal scales. despite variety satellite imagery preprocessing...
Abstract Aim We evaluate differences between and the applicability of three linear predictive models to determine butterfly hotspots in Belgium for nature conservation purposes. Location The study is carried out records located Universal Transverse Mercator (UTM) grid cells 5 × km. Methods first relationship factors correlated diversity by means modified t ‐tests principal components analysis; subsequently, we predict using based on land use, climate topographical variables well‐surveyed UTM...