A5071794466- Climate variability and models
- Geophysics and Gravity Measurements
- Hydrocarbon exploration and reservoir analysis
- Seismic Imaging and Inversion Techniques
- Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
- Ocean Waves and Remote Sensing
- Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
- Coastal and Marine Dynamics
- Marine and coastal ecosystems
- Medical Imaging Techniques and Applications
- Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
- Environmental and Social Impact Assessments
- Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
- Reservoir Engineering and Simulation Methods
- demographic modeling and climate adaptation
- Hydrology and Drought Analysis
Met Office
2017-2023
Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz
2018
Abstract. We have created a performance-based assessment of CMIP6 models for Europe that can be used to inform the sub-selection this region. Our covers criteria indicative ability individual capture range large-scale processes are important representation present-day European climate. use study provide examples how may applied multi-model ensemble (a) filter performance against these climatological and processed-based (b) create smaller subset based on also maintains model diversity...
Abstract. It is hypothesized that more accurate prediction and warning of natural hazards, such as the impacts severe weather mediated through various components environment, require a integrated Earth System approach to forecasting. This hypothesis can be explored using regional coupled systems, in which known interactions feedbacks between different physical biogeochemical environment across sky, sea land simulated. Such systems are becoming increasingly common research tools. paper...
Abstract. This paper describes an updated configuration of the regional coupled research system, termed UKC3, developed and evaluated under UK Environmental Prediction collaboration. represents a further step towards vision simulating numerous interactions feedbacks between different physical biogeochemical components environment across sky, sea land using more integrated prediction systems at kilometre-scale resolution. The UKC3 system incorporates models atmosphere (Met Office Unified...
Abstract. Operational ocean forecasts are typically produced by modelling systems run using a forced mode approach. The evolution of the state is not directly influenced surface waves, and dynamics driven an external source meteorological data which independent state. Model coupling provides one approach to increase extent forecast can represent interactions feedbacks between ocean, atmosphere seen in nature. This paper demonstrates impact improving how effect waves on momentum exchange...
Abstract We compare Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) ensemble (CMIP6) projections for seasonal mean temperature and precipitation to CMIP5 northern Europe, central Europe the Mediterranean. The CMIP6 shows increased projected summer warming compared CMIP5, which was found be statistically significant in Precipitation Central were have a stronger drying trend months, there also substantially narrower projection range. Spatial comparisons indicate that this extends into large part...
Abstract. The Met Office operational wave forecasting modelling system runs four times a day to provide global and regional forecasts up 7 d ahead. underpinning model uses recent development branch of the third-generation spectral WAVEWATCH III® (version 7.12) that includes several updates developed at Office. These include spherical multiple-cell (SMC) grid, rotated pole grid formulation for mid-latitudes, enhancements OASIS coupling netCDF postprocessing. Here we document technical details...
Abstract. This paper describes an updated configuration of the regional coupled research system, termed UKC3, developed and evaluated under UK Environmental Prediction collaboration. represents a further step towards vision simulating numerous interactions feedbacks between different physical biogeochemical components environment across sky, sea land using more integrated prediction systems at km-scale resolution. The UKC3 system incorporates models atmosphere (Met Office Unified Model),...
Abstract. We have created a performance-based assessment of CMIP6 models for Europe that can be used to inform the sub-selection this region. Our covers criteria indicative ability individual capture range large-scale processes are important representation present-day European climate. use study provide examples how may applied multi-model ensemble a) filter performance against these climatological/ processed-based and, b) create smaller sub-set based on performance, also maintains model...
Abstract. It is hypothesised that more accurate prediction and warning of natural hazards, such as the impacts severe weather mediated through various components environment, requires a integrated Earth System approach to forecasting. This hypothesis can be explored using regional coupled systems, in which known interactions feedbacks between different physical biogeochemical environment across sky, sea land simulated. Such systems are becoming increasingly common research tools. paper...
Abstract. Operational ocean forecasts are typically produced by modelling systems run using a forced mode approach. The evolution of the state is not directly influenced surface waves, and dynamics driven an external source meteorological data which independent state. Model coupling provides one approach to increase extent forecast can represent interactions feedbacks between ocean, waves atmosphere seen in nature. This paper demonstrates impact improving how effect on momentum exchange...
Earth and Space Science Open Archive This preprint has been submitted to is under consideration at Geophysical Research Letters. ESSOAr a venue for early communication or feedback before peer review. Data may be preliminary.Learn more about preprints preprintOpen AccessYou are viewing the latest version by default [v1]How does CMIP6 ensemble change picture European climate projections?AuthorsTamzin EmilyPalmeriDBenBoothCarol FrancesMcSweeneySee all authors Tamzin Emily PalmeriDCorresponding...
Abstract. The Met Office operational wave modelling system is an forecast run four times daily at the to provide global and regional forecasts up 7 days ahead. underpinning model uses a recent development branch of spectral WAVEWATCH III® (version 7.12) that includes number updates developed Office. Code contributions include Spherical Multiple-Cell (SMC) grid, rotated pole grid formulation for mid latitudes, enhancements OASIS coupling netCDF postprocessing. Here we document describe...
<p>An alternative approach to constraining climate projections based on a probabilistic with observational constraints, is select subset of models from the ensemble their ability represent key physical processes, along some indicators model performance. The method that presented here assumption if unable reproduce factors important for determining regional climate, this are not considered reliable. projection range CMIP5 three EUCP European regions assessed using two different...