Abstract Low-carbon road freight transport is pivotal in mitigating global warming. Nonetheless, electrifying heavy-duty vehicles poses a tremendous challenge due to high technical requirements and cost competitiveness. Data on future truck costs are scarce uncertain, complicating assessments of the role zero-emission (ZET) technologies. Here we derive most likely developments for price setting ZET components by meta forecasting from more than 200 original sources. We find that primed...

Electric battery trucks (BETs) have the potential to significantly reduce emissions from heavy-duty vehicles. However, adopting BETs for long-haul operations depends on availability of sufficient charging infrastructure. In this study, we use a trip chain model assess requirements in Europe 2030. Our accounts truck driving regulations and different stop types. We find that number overnight chargers (50–100 kW) required is 4–5 times higher than megawatt (0.7–1.2 MW) needed support BET share...

Following the Paris Agreement, virtually all countries worldwide have committed themselves to undertaking efforts limit global warming 1.5 °C. Within European Union (EU), recent 'Fit for 55' policy package proposes ambitious greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation policies sectors as part of EU's contribution limiting warming. Yet, it is unclear whether proposed are sufficient EU °C and remains an open problem how translate temperature targets into sector-specific emission budgets further policies....

Battery electric trucks (BETs) can dramatically reduce tail-pipe emissions from heavy-duty vehicles. However, their limited range necessitates frequent charging. Megawatt charging has been discussed as requirement and potential barrier for fast BET market diffusion. Here, we simulate all daily trips of 2,410 in Germany BETs with lowest power required. Assuming 450 – 700 km (2030 2050) range, the share vehicles replaceable by is higher than 90 %. Most events (>95 % night charging, >75 day...

Fuel economy regulation is a powerful instrument to reduce CO2 emissions of vehicles and has recently been extended heavy-duty vehicles. In Europe, truck manufacturers are required the newly sold by 30% until 2030 compared 2019/2020. Accordingly, several have announced introduction zero emission (ZEVs) such as battery electric or fuel cell trucks. However, sales shares trucks meet targets not analyzed in literature yet. Here, we derive share scenarios for Europe based on reduction options...

Abstract Globally, road freight accounts for 40% of the CO 2 emissions in transport sector, mainly from heavy-duty vehicles (HDVs). All major truck markets have introduced fuel efficiency regulations HDV, and more ambitious require introduction zero-emission which battery electric trucks (BEVs) are a promising candidate. However, frequent long-distance trips dense public high-power charging network if BEV to meet today's operating schedules logistics. Here, we develop model fast-charging...

This data article describes a dataset on European road freight traffic. The includes truck traffic flows between 1675 regions all over Europe. In addition to the in tons as well number of vehicles, also contains shortest path respective highway network (E-roads). Fifteen columns provide following information for each pair regions: (1) ID origin region, (2) name (3) destination (4) (5) E-road network, (6) distance from region (7) within (8) (9) total distance, (10) flow 2010, (11) 2019, (12)...

Heavy-duty trucks account for 27% of the European greenhouse gas emissions in transport sector. To decarbonize road freight transport, Union plans to build a fast charging network trucks. This paper presents two scenarios, covering highways with stations at regular intervals every 50 or 100 km along most important highways. For each location, required number points 15% battery electric trucking is calculated individually using queueing theory. A third scenario takes into infrastructure...

While the electrification of passenger vehicles is in full swing, for decarbonization heavy-duty trucks still various challenges exist. Especially high energy consumption combination with daily driving ranges makes battery electric operation much more difficult than cars. Accordingly, a broad set different drivetrains discussed, inter alia hydrogen trucks, catenary hybrid and synthetic fuels. One main advantage direct use electricity efficiency. Still, heavy duty concepts do Here, we compare...

The future market diffusion of alternative fuels in the passenger car sector is great interest to both carmakers and policymakers order decrease CO2 emissions. decision buy a not totally objective only partly based on cost. For this reason, those modeling evolution cars powered by try include behavioral non-cost related aspects. This paper analyzes integration user behavior into models compares three that aspect. comparison comprises parts: first, it approaches, then uses harmonized data set...

The energy transition fosters a dynamic landscape marked by renewable energy, electrification, and complex interactions among actors technologies. Employing model experiments comparisons shows promise for exploring these connections enhancing clarity precision. This study adopts multi-model approach, integrating comparison to probe how the electrification of demand-side sectors strategic load shifts battery electric vehicles heat pumps might impact Germany's generation adequacy 2030....

In order to reduce national and global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, many countries worldwide have committed themselves a more sustainable development of their transport sector. Promoting the use electrical vehicles (EVs) rather than combustion engine cars is one political strategy achieve reduction in GHG emissions. To implement targeted effective promotion measures governments can refer market diffusion models for EVs. However, our study we identify that existing consideration...

The transport sector has to be widely decarbonized by 2050 reach the targets of Paris Agreement. This can performed with different drive trains and energy carriers. paper explored four pathways a carbon-free in Germany foci on electricity, hydrogen, synthetic methane, or liquid fuels. We used demand model for future vehicle use simulation determination alternative fuel market shares. found large share electric vehicles all scenarios, even scenarios focus other In final consumption decreased...

Zero-emission trucks will benefit from rapidly falling costs of batteries and fuel cells, which enable their fast market diffusion. Industry policy must prepare for battery-electric with respect to manufacturing supply, adequate charging infrastructure electricity grid expansions, as well regulation.

Abstract Battery electric trucks (BETs) are the most promising option for fast and large-scale CO 2 emission reduction in road freight transport. Yet, limited range longer charging times compared to diesel make long-haul BET applications challenging, so a comprehensive network BETs is required. However, little known about optimal truck locations trucking Europe. Here we derive optimized networks consisting of publicly accessible across continent. Based on European traffic flow estimates 2030...

The ongoing energy transition fosters a dynamic landscape marked by surging renewable energy, amplified electrification, and complex interactions among varied actors technologies. To delve into these connections enhance model clarity refinement, employing experiments comparisons holds promise. This study adopts multi-model approach, integrating to probe how the electrification of demand-side sectors strategic load shifts battery electric vehicles heat pumps might impact Germany's generation...