- Migration and Labor Dynamics
- Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
- Economic Policies and Impacts
- Politics, Economics, and Education Policy
- Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics
- Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis
- Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
- Defense, Military, and Policy Studies
- Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies
- Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Migration, Refugees, and Integration
- Corporate Taxation and Avoidance
- Local Government Finance and Decentralization
- Taxation and Compliance Studies
- Crime Patterns and Interventions
- Social Policy and Reform Studies
- Migration, Ethnicity, and Economy
- Media Influence and Politics
- Economic Growth and Productivity
- Firm Innovation and Growth
- Retirement, Disability, and Employment
- Economic theories and models
- Global Health Care Issues
- Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance
- Culture, Economy, and Development Studies
Ifo Institute for Economic Research
2015-2024
IZA - Institute of Labor Economics
2015-2024
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
2015-2024
Brunel University of London
2022
Prague University of Economics and Business
2022
King's College London
2020-2022
University of Groningen
2022
London School of Economics and Political Science
2022
Örebro University
2014-2020
Institut für Urheber- und Medienrecht
2007-2020
Immigration is one of the most divisive political issues in United States, Kingdom, France, and several other Western countries. We estimate impact immigration on voting for far-left far-right candidates using panel data presidential elections from 1988 to 2017. To derive causal estimates, we instrument more recent flows by settlement patterns 1968. find that increases support candidates. This driven low-educated immigrants non-Western also has a weak negative effect candidates, which could...
Do voters respond to political parties׳ promises or their past actions? We use a suitable sequence of events in Swedish politics provide the first answer this question. In 1994 election campaign Social Democrats proposed major cuts transfers parents with young children, whereas 1998 they promised increase transfers. The won both elections and delivered on promises. Using voting among slightly older children as counterfactual, we find that responded markedly economic rather than implemented policies.
Since good-looking politicians win more votes, a beauty advantage for on the left or right is bound to have political consequences. We show that look beautiful in Europe, United States and Australia. Our explanation people earn more, which makes them less inclined support redistribution. model of within-party competition predicts voters use as cue conservatism when they do not know much about candidates benefit from low-information elections. Evidence real experimental elections confirms...
We provide the first large-scale evidence on self-selection of refugees and irregular migrants who arrived in Europe 2015 or 2016. Our analysis uses unique datasets from International Organization for Migration Gallup World Polls. find that are positively self-selected with respect to human capital, as female migrants. Male negatively self-selected. These patterns hold whether analyzing individually stated main reason emigrate, country-level conflict intensity, sub-regional intensity....
We study the effect of local unemployment and attitudes towards immigrants at time arrival on refugees' multi-dimensional integration outcomes. leverage a centralized allocation policy in Germany where refugees were centrally assigned to live specific counties. To measure sentiments native residents immigrants, we use geo-coded Twitter data, which provides our "negative sentiment index". Our results show that are as important rates shaping A one standard deviation increase or negative index...
The Roy model has more precise predictions about the self-selection of migrants than previously realised. conditions shown to result in positive or negative selection terms expected earnings also imply a stochastic dominance relationship between distributions and non-migrants. We test these using Danish full population administrative data. find strong evidence emigrants pre-emigration residual earnings: income distribution for almost stochastically dominates Decomposing total reveals that...
What are the welfare effects of immigration on low-skilled and high-skilled natives? To address this question, we develop a general equilibrium model featuring two skill types, search frictions, wage bargaining, state that redistributes income through unemployment benefits provision public goods. Our quantitative analysis suggests that, in all 20 countries studied, attenuates frictions. The resulting gains tend to outweigh costs redistribution. Immigration has increased native almost...
Using panel data for 78 countries of origin we examine the impact student flows to United States on subsequent migration there over period 1971-2001. What find is that stock foreign students an important predictor migration. This holds true whether or not lagged endogenous variable included. The relationship robust inclusion time and country dummies, remains when account outliers. basic results also hold a cross section 36 9 host countries. Our have policy implications which discuss in last section.
We estimate the private returns to being elected parliament or a municipal council using regression discontinuity (RD) design. first present bootstrap method for measuring closeness of elections, which can be applied any electoral system. then apply perform RD estimation in Finland, where seats are assigned according proportional open-list Becoming member increases annual earnings initially by about €20,000, and getting €1000. Subsequent dynamics reveal that parliamentarians accrue mainly...
Journal Article Educating Europe: Should Public Education be Financed with Graduate Taxes or Income-contingent Loans? Get access Panu Poutvaara *CEBR Cobenhagen Business SchoolPorcelaenshaven, Bldg 65, DK-2000 Frederiksberg, Denmark e-mail: panu.poutvaara@cebr.dk . Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar CESifo Economic Studies, Volume 50, Issue 4, 2004, Pages 663–684, https://doi.org/10.1093/cesifo/50.4.663 Published: 01 December 2004
This paper isolates the causal effect of policing on group violence, using unique panel data self-reported crime by soccer and ice hockey hooligans. The problem reverse causality from violence to is solved two drastic reallocations Stockholm Supporter Police unit other activities following 9/11 terrorist attack in September 2001 Tsunami catastrophe December 2004. Difference-in-difference analysis reveals that Stockholm-related hooligan increased dramatically during these periods.
Abstract This paper investigates public and private choices between internationally applicable country‐specific education when graduates are mobile. Human capital depends on innate skills study effort with either type of education. It is shown that national governments provide too few students education, many effect mitigated, but not entirely eliminated, by the introduction a graduate tax, according to which required pay part their taxes country where they received regardless residence....
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Democratic societies are challenged by various violent and organized groups, be they terrorists, gangs or hooligans. In exchange for offering an identity, leaders in such groups typically require members to violent. We introduce a simple model capture these stylized facts, then study the effects of policing. find that increase marginal cost violence always reduces violence, while increasing indiscriminate fixed may backfire result smaller more groups.
We study the role of beauty in politics. For first time, focus is put on differences how women and men evaluate female male candidates different candidate traits relate to success real hypothetical elections. have collected 16,218 assessments by 2,772 respondents photos 1,929 Finnish political candidates. Evaluations explain elections better than evaluations competence, intelligence, likability, or trustworthiness. The premium larger for candidates, contrast findings previous labor-market studies.
An increasing international applicability of a given type education encourages students to invest more effort when studying. Governments, on the other hand, face an incentive divert provision public away from internationally applicable toward country-specific skills. This would mean educating too few engineers, economists and doctors, many lawyers. If total tax rate is kept constant, then replacing part existing wage taxes with graduate taxes, collected also migrants, improve efficiency. It...