A5027885289- Climate variability and models
- Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
- Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
- Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
- Cryospheric studies and observations
- Climate change and permafrost
- Heavy metals in environment
- Marine and coastal ecosystems
- Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
- Mosquito-borne diseases and control
- Marine and fisheries research
- Mine drainage and remediation techniques
- Methane Hydrates and Related Phenomena
- Computational Physics and Python Applications
- Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
- Reservoir Engineering and Simulation Methods
- Viral Infections and Vectors
- Aerospace and Aviation Technology
- Microbial bioremediation and biosurfactants
- Geotechnical Engineering and Underground Structures
- Plant Micronutrient Interactions and Effects
- Gas Dynamics and Kinetic Theory
- Geological and Tectonic Studies in Latin America
- Underwater Vehicles and Communication Systems
NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory
2017-2025
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
2018-2024
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
2017-2024
Princeton University
2017-2020
China Aerodynamics Research and Development Center
2019-2020
University Corporation for Atmospheric Research
2018
Tarim University
2018
Fujian Medical University
2013
Union Hospital
2013
Zhejiang University
2005
Abstract As climate change accelerates, societies and climate-sensitive socioeconomic sectors cannot continue to rely on the past as a guide possible future hazards. Operational decadal predictions offer potential inform current adaptation increase resilience by filling important gap between seasonal forecasts projections. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has recognized this in 2017 established WMO Lead Centre for Annual Decadal Climate Predictions (shortened “Lead Centre” below),...
Climate variations have a profound impact on marine ecosystems and the communities that depend upon them. Anticipating ecosystem shifts using global Earth system models (ESMs) could enable to adapt climate fluctuations contribute long-term resilience. We show newly developed ESM-based biogeochemical predictions can skillfully predict satellite-derived seasonal multiannual chlorophyll in many regions. Prediction skill arises primarily from successfully simulating response El Niño-Southern...
Abstract Reliable estimates of historical and current biogeochemistry are essential for understanding past ecosystem variability predicting future changes. Efforts to translate improved physical ocean state into biogeochemical estimates, however, hindered by high sensitivity transient momentum imbalances that arise during data assimilation. Most notably, the breakdown geostrophic constraints on assimilation in equatorial regions can lead spurious upwelling, resulting excessive productivity...
Abstract A key challenge with the wind energy utilization is that winds, and thus power, are highly variable on seasonal to interannual timescales because of atmospheric variability. There a growing need skillful prediction for system planning operation. Here we demonstrate model’s capability in producing over U.S. Great Plains during peak seasons (winter spring), using products from climate model. The dominant source mainly comes year-to-year variations El Niño-Southern Oscillation tropical...
Western US snowpack—snow that accumulates on the ground in mountains—plays a critical role regional hydroclimate and water supply, with 80% of snowmelt runoff being used for agriculture. While climate projections provide estimates snowpack loss by end century weather forecasts predictions conditions out to 2 weeks, less progress has been made snow at seasonal timescales (months years), crucial agricultural decisions (e.g., plant choice quantity). Seasonal models first took form El Niño 3...
Abstract The rate of sea level rise (SLR) along the Southeast Coast U.S. increased significantly after 2010. While anthropogenic radiative forcing causes an acceleration global mean SLR, regional changes in SLR are strongly influenced by internal variability. Here we use observations and climate models to show that rapid increase 2010 is due part multidecadal buoyancy-driven Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) variations, with heat transport convergence from wind-driven ocean...
Given knowledge at the time, recent 2015-2016 zika virus (ZIKV) epidemic probably could not have been predicted. Without prior of ZIKV being already present in South America, and given lack understanding key epidemiologic processes long-term records cases continent, best related prediction be carried out for potential risk a generic Aedes-borne disease epidemic. Here we use recently published two-vector basic reproduction number model to assess predictability conditions conducive epidemics...
Extratropical cyclones (ETCs) are the primary drivers of winter precipitation across United States, accounting for up to 85% total precipitation. This study uses GFDL SPEAR models at atmospheric resolutions 100 km, 50 and 25 km examine how ETC dynamics impact patterns biases States. Higher-resolution reduce ETC-related in Southwest Midwest but increase coastal regions, including West Coast Eastern To understand these biases, we decompose into those driven by frequency intensity. Coastal...
India’s wind power generation capacity in India has experienced substantial growth in recent years, with peak energy resources occurring during the summer monsoon season. However, considerable variability power availability, driven by interannual fluctuations, presents a key challenge. This underscores need for reliable seasonal predictions to support effective system planning and operations.Here we use prediction products from GFDL’s Seamless...
Abstract The current GFDL seasonal prediction system, the Seamless System for Prediction and Earth Research (SPEAR), has shown skillful of Arctic sea ice extent with atmosphere ocean constrained by observations. In this study we present improvements in subseasonal predictions directly assimilating initial conditions from a data assimilation (DA) system that assimilates satellite concentration (SIC) observations are used to produce set reforecast experiments (IceDA) starting first day each...
Abstract Long-term sea-level rise and multiyear to decadal sea level variations pose substantial risks for flooding erosion in coastal communities. Here we use observations climate model predictions show that along the U.S. East Coast are skillfully predictable 3 10 years advance. The most component of is a basin scale upward trend, decade advance primarily response increasing greenhouse gases. Significant additional predictability comes from multidecadal Atlantic Meridional Overturning...
Abstract Humid heat extreme (HHE) is a type of compound weather event that poses severe risks to human health. Skillful forecasts HHE months in advance are crucial for developing strategies enhance community resilience events 1,2 . This study demonstrates the frequency summertime southeastern United States (SEUS) can be skillfully predicted 0–1 using SPEAR (Seamless system Prediction and EArth Research) seasonal forecast system. Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) tropical North Atlantic (TNA)...
Coastal communities face substantial risks from long-term sea level rise and decadal variations, with the North Atlantic U.S. East Coast being particularly vulnerable under changing climates. Employing a self-organizing map-based framework, we assess variability predictability using 5000-year anomalies (SLA) two preindustrial control model simulations. Preferred transitions among patterns of are identified, revealing on timescales related to shifts in meridional overturning circulation...
<h3>Objective</h3> The aims of this study were to detect differences in PA28 <i>γ</i> expression between healthy colorectal, colorectal adenoma, and cancer (CRC) tissues explore the significance development CRC. <h3>Methods</h3> Western blotting was used assay protein CRC tissue. Tissue array tissues. Follow-up performed patients with CRC, survival analysis correlation time after surgical resections. <h3>Results</h3> results revealed that higher tissue than colorectum. showed low colorectum,...
Abstract Midlatitude baroclinic waves drive extratropical weather and climate variations, but their predictability beyond 2 weeks has been deemed low. Here we analyze a large ensemble of simulations forced by observed sea surface temperatures (SSTs) demonstrate that seasonal variations wave activity (BWA) are potentially predictable. This potential is denoted robust BWA responses to SST forcings. To probe regional sources the predictability, regression analysis applied SST-forced...
Abstract The need to ensure food safety has been recognized in China and the ‘Green Food’ system is used restrict use of chemical fertilizers pesticides its certified products. There limited study environmental impacts associated with production green (GFC) products China. In this study, life cycle assessment was evaluate GFC cucumber cultivated under a greenhouse suburbs Beijing relative conventional cultivation (CON), aim identifying key areas potential burden cultivation. Eight impact...
Abstract The Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension (KOE) is the North Pacific oceanic frontal zone where air-sea heat and moisture exchanges allow strong communication between ocean atmosphere. Using satellite observations reanalysis datasets, we show that KOE surface flux variations are very closely linked to Kuroshio (KE) sea height (SSH) variability on both seasonal decadal time scales. We investigate atmospheric anomalies associated with anomalous KE upper temperature, as reflected in SSH (SSHa)....