A5086590733- Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Thermoregulation and physiological responses
- Global Health Care Issues
- Health disparities and outcomes
- Air Quality and Health Impacts
- Thermal Regulation in Medicine
- Dietary Effects on Health
- Climate change and permafrost
- Cryospheric studies and observations
- Climate variability and models
University of Bern
2022-2024
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research
2022-2024
Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine
2022-2024
Older adults are generally amongst the most vulnerable to heat and cold. While temperature-related health impacts projected increase with global warming, influence of population aging on these trends remains unclear. Here we show that at 1.5 °C, 2 3 °C heat-related mortality in 800 locations across 50 countries/areas will by 0.5%, 1.0%, 2.5%, respectively; among which 1 5 4 deaths can be attributed aging. Despite a decrease cold-related due progressive warming alone, mostly counteract this...
Climate change and progressive population development (i.e., ageing changes in size) are altering the temporal patterns of temperature-related mortality Switzerland. However, limited evidence exists on how current trends heat- cold-related would evolve future decades under composite scenarios global warming development. Moreover, contribution these drivers to impacts is not well-understood. Therefore, we aimed project Switzerland various combinations emission disentangle each two using...
The global health burden associated with exposure to heat is a grave concern and projected further increase under climate change. While physiological studies have demonstrated the role of humidity alongside temperature in exacerbating stress for humans, epidemiological findings remain conflicted. Understanding intricate relationships between heat, humidity, outcomes crucial inform adaptation drive increased change mitigation efforts. This article introduces 'directed acyclic graphs' (DAGs)...
Abstract Climate change and progressive population development (i.e., ageing) are altering the temporal patterns in temperature-related mortality Switzerland. However, limited evidence exists on how current trends heat- cold-related would evolve future decades under composite scenarios of global warming development. Moreover, contribution these drivers to impacts is not well-understood. Therefore, we aimed project Switzerland various based a set emission pathways disentangle each two using...
Heatwaves have various impacts on human health, including an increase in premature mortality. The summers of 2018 and 2022 are two prominent examples with record-breaking temperatures leading to thousands excess deaths Europe. Nevertheless, there is a limited assessment the potential for heat-health warning systems timescales up several weeks ahead at regional level. This study combines methods climate epidemiology sub-seasonal forecasting predict expected heat-related mortality regions...
The global health burden associated with exposure to heat is a grave concern and projected further increase under warming. While physiological studies have demonstrated the role of humidity alongside temperature in exacerbating stress for humans, epidemiological findings remain conflicted date. Understanding intricate relationships between heat, humidity, outcomes are crucial future adaptation mitigation. This project introduces 'directed acyclic graphs' (DAGs) as causal models elucidate...
Heatwaves pose a range of severe impacts on human health, including an increase in premature mortality. The summers 2018 and 2022 are two examples with record-breaking temperatures leading to thousands heat-related excess deaths Europe. Some the extreme experienced during these were predictable several weeks advance by subseasonal forecasts. Subseasonal forecasts provide weather predictions from 2 months ahead, offering planning capabilities. Nevertheless, there is only limited assessment...
The projected increase in heatwave intensity and frequency will have far-reaching consequences for the human natural environment of Switzerland. Two particularly important are heat-related excess mortality low-lying areas acceleration climate-change-induced alpine permafrost thawing high-elevation areas. latter potentially impacts on hazards, ecosystems, infrastructure, tourism. In this interdisciplinary project, we assess potential using subseasonal predictions as a basis early warning...
Although studies based on physiological models have repeatedly shown that high humidity levels lead to stronger heat stress in humans, findings from epidemiological remained inconclusive the matter till date. We aim employ a ‘bottom-up’ strategy of identifying key drivers compound events explore role played by heat-related mortality events, spanning across multiple cities countries. used daily data all-cause mortality, mean temperature and relative 11 world applied...
Climate change and progressive ageing of the population is amplifying heat-related mortality burden in Switzerland. However, limited quantitative evidence exist as to how future trends heat- cold-related impacts will develop under various scenarios warming demographics, well contribution each these two drivers combined. Therefore, we aim project climate (RCPs) development defined by Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs), disentangle using high-resolution temperature data Switzerland.To...
While physiological models showed that high humidity leads to stronger heat-stress, findings from epidemiological studies remain inconclusive. We aim explore the role of on heat-health impacts with a new analytical framework combining modelling techniques existing methods in hazard-risk assessments. This approach characterises events based severity health and allows assessing played extreme events. For illustrative purposes, we used temperature-mortality series Zurich (Switzerland,...
Temperature vulnerability tends to be heterogenous between urban and rural regions, with usually larger risks in the former. However, it is unclear whether this pattern will persist under different climate change scenarios. Climate combined population growth, ageing urbanization expected amplify current temperature-related mortality burden, particularly since these drivers follow diverse trajectories across areas future. This study aimed compare impact of regarding changes heat- cold-related...