Thelma Cinco

ORCID: 0000-0003-0313-5923
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About
Contact & Profiles
Research Areas
  • Climate variability and models
  • Cruise Tourism Development and Management
  • Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
  • Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
  • Regional Economic and Spatial Analysis
  • demographic modeling and climate adaptation
  • Climate change impacts on agriculture
  • Precipitation Measurement and Analysis
  • Flood Risk Assessment and Management
  • Impact of Light on Environment and Health
  • Hydrology and Drought Analysis
  • Urban Heat Island Mitigation
  • Building Energy and Comfort Optimization
  • Ocean Waves and Remote Sensing
  • Climate Change Policy and Economics

Philippine Medical Association
2013-2018

We present the second update to a data set of gridded land-based temperature and precipitation extremes indices: HadEX3. This consists 17 12 indices derived from daily, in situ observations recommended by World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Expert Team on Climate Change Detection Indices (ETCCDI). These have been calculated at around 7,000 locations for 17,000 precipitation. The annual (and monthly) interpolated 1.875°×1.25° longitude-latitude grid, covering 1901–2018. show changes these...

10.1029/2019jd032263 article EN cc-by-nc Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres 2020-07-02

ABSTRACT An analysis of tropical cyclone ( TC ) data from 1951 to 2013 in the Philippines revealed that an average 19.4 TCs enter Philippine Area Responsibility PAR every year and nine cross country. Time series datasets shows no significant trends annual number but a slightly decreasing trend landfalling Philippines, particularly last two decades. However, while fewer typhoons (above 118 kph), more extreme 150 kph) have affected Philippines. The study also confirms Northern island Luzon is...

10.1002/joc.4659 article EN International Journal of Climatology 2016-02-09

Regional assessments of trends in climate extremes are necessary for countries to make informed decisions about adaptation strategies and put these changes into a global context. A workshop bringing together several Southeast Asian has delivered new set daily weather observations suitable analyse the temperature precipitation between 1972 2010. The use consistent widely tested methodology this study allows direct comparison with results from other parts world. Trends range indices were...

10.1002/joc.5479 article EN International Journal of Climatology 2018-03-12

Abstract This paper presents a comprehensive analysis of the effect urbanization on surface air temperature (SAT) from 1951 to 2018 in Philippines. The daily minimum ( T min ) and maximum max records 34 meteorological stations were used derive extreme indices. These then classified as urban or rural based satellite night‐lights. results showed significant difference SAT trends between stations, indicative country. Larger more warming observed indices related than those . In particular,...

10.1002/joc.7276 article EN cc-by-nc-nd International Journal of Climatology 2021-06-27

The Philippines is one of the most exposed countries in world to tropical cyclones. In order provide information help country build resilience and plan for a future under warmer climate, we on previous research investigate implications climate change cyclone activity Philippines. Experiments were conducted using three regional models with horizontal resolutions approximately 12 km (HadGEM3‐RA) 25 (HadRM3P RegCM4). simulations are driven by boundary data from subset global model CMIP5...

10.1002/joc.5870 article EN cc-by International Journal of Climatology 2018-10-07

To meet the growing demand for climate change information to guide national and local adaptation decision-making in Philippines, science services community is producing an increasing volume of future data using a range modelling approaches. However, there significant methodological challenge how best compare combine produced different models methods. In this paper, we present landscape model available Philippines show multi-model, multi-method projections are being used communicated inform...

10.1007/s10584-018-2183-5 article EN cc-by Climatic Change 2018-03-29

Abstract To help meet increasing demands for high‐resolution climate change projections in the Philippines, this study provides results of multiple dynamically downscaled model simulations projected changes rainfall and temperature over country by mid‐21st century (2036–2065) relative to baseline period (1971–2000), under RCP8.5 scenario. The model‐simulated seasonal means temperature, rainfall, low‐level wind patterns were first compared with observations during period. Comparisons made...

10.1002/joc.6301 article EN International Journal of Climatology 2019-09-04

The 2018 State of the Philippine Climate is fifth edition annual publication by Oscar M. Lopez Center. country experienced hotter-than-normal temperatures with mean temperature anomaly 0.3 C, ranking sixth among top 10 warmest years on record. Heavy monsoon rains enhanced passage tropical cyclones, brought significant rainfall to western parts Luzon and landfalling cyclones eastern Visayas. cover art features Typhoon Ompong (Mangkhut), strongest Tropical Cyclone (TC) that made landfall in...

10.18783/spc1.2018.i01 article EN State of the Philippine climate. 2015-07-01

The 2015 State of the Philippine Climate is second edition annual report published by Oscar M. Lopez Center. This year’s indicates that recorded average temperature 27.9 °C was 0.51 higher than 1971-2000 climatological normal considered. Moreover, due to occurence a strongest El Niño since 1950, most parts country experienced below near-normal rainfall.

10.18783/spc1.2015.i01 article EN State of the Philippine climate. 2015-07-01

The 2017 state of the Philippine Climate, fourth edition annual publication by Oscar M. Lopez Center, reports an mean temperature 27.7 °C, 10th hottest since 1950s. Higher than average Tropical Cyclones entered Area Responsibility (PAR), above-normal and monthly precipitation was observed. Moroever, cold phase (La Niña) El Niño Southern Oscilation (ENSO) occured initially but transitioned to neutral conditions later in year.

10.18783/spc1.2017.i01 article EN State of the Philippine climate. 2015-07-01

The 2020 edition of the State Philippine Climate reports weather and climate observations during surge global COVID-19 pandemic. It includes supplementary sections using DOST-PAGASA’s Extremes report (PCXR), a extremes projection, as well some multi-sector potential impacts adaptation options. cover highlights Typhoon Goni (locally known Rolly), one most economically damaging considered strongest typhoon year.

10.18783/spc1.2020.i01 article EN State of the Philippine climate. 2015-07-01

The 2016 State of the Philippine Climate reports on country's observed changes and extreme events in climate weather variables. annual mean temperature was 28.1°C, which is 0.6 °C above 1981-2010 climatological normal, making it second hottest year since 1951. Several regions experienced drought due to a strong El Niño event first half but conditions transitioned above-normal by end weak La Niña Conditions.

10.18783/spc1.2016.i01 article EN State of the Philippine climate. 2015-07-01

The 2019 State of the Philippine Climate is sixth edition annual publication by Oscar M. Lopez Center. In this year’s report, country experienced its fourth warmest year on record, with mean temperature 0.5 °C above 1981-2010 baseline, widespread below-normal rainfall except in August and December, 21 tropical cyclones caused significant damage, a weak El Niño event lasting from October 2018 to July 2019. Moreover, cover features stylized graph based Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly January 1982 2020.

10.18783/spc1.2019.i01 article EN State of the Philippine climate. 2015-07-01
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