A5036986092- Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Environmental Impact and Sustainability
- Radiomics and Machine Learning in Medical Imaging
- Global Energy and Sustainability Research
- Carbon Dioxide Capture Technologies
- Energy and Environment Impacts
- Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
- Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
- Energy, Environment, Economic Growth
- Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
- Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy
- Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
- Research Data Management Practices
- Water-Energy-Food Nexus Studies
- COVID-19 diagnosis using AI
- Economic and Environmental Valuation
- Global Energy Security and Policy
- Capital Investment and Risk Analysis
- Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Sustainable Finance and Green Bonds
- Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
- Vehicle emissions and performance
- Climate Change and Sustainable Development
- Market Dynamics and Volatility
- Environmental and Social Impact Assessments
Imperial College London
2018-2023
Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency
2015-2022
University of Copenhagen
2022
Utrecht University
2022
Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro
2015-2021
Kyoto University
2021
European Commission
2021
Imperial Consultants
2018-2021
Grantham College
2019-2021
ORCID
2021
Abstract The feasibility of large-scale biological CO 2 removal to achieve stringent climate targets remains unclear. Direct Air Carbon Capture and Storage (DACCS) offers an alternative negative emissions technology (NET) option. Here we conduct the first inter-model comparison on role DACCS in 1.5 °C scenarios, under a variety techno-economic assumptions. Deploying significantly reduces mitigation costs, it complements rather than substitutes other NETs. key factor limiting deployment is...
Many countries have implemented national climate policies to accomplish pledged Nationally Determined Contributions and contribute the temperature objectives of Paris Agreement on change. In 2023, global stocktake will assess combined effort countries. Here, based a public policy database multi-model scenario analysis, we show that implementation current leaves median emission gap 22.4 28.2 GtCO2eq by 2030 with optimal pathways implement well below 2 °C 1.5 goals. If would be fully...
Abstract The bottom-up approach of the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) in Paris Agreement has led countries to self-determine their greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets. planned ‘ratcheting-up’ process, which aims ensure that NDCs comply with overall goal limiting global average temperature increase well below 2 °C or even 1.5 °C, will most likely include some evaluation ‘fairness’ these In literature, fairness been discussed around equity principles, for many different...
Integrated assessment models are extensively used in the analysis of climate change mitigation and informing national decision makers as well contribute to international scientific assessments. This paper conducts a comprehensive review techno-economic assumptions electricity sector among fifteen different global integrated models. Particular focus is given six major economies world: Brazil, China, EU, India, Japan US. The comparison reveals that characteristics quite across models, both for...
Closing the emissions gap between Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) and global levels needed to achieve Paris Agreement's climate goals will require a comprehensive package of policy measures. National sectoral policies can help fill gap, but success stories in one country cannot be automatically replicated other countries. They need adapted local context. Here, we develop new Bridge scenario based on nationally relevant, short-term measures informed by interactions with experts....
Abstract Integrated assessment models (IAMs) form a prime tool in informing about climate mitigation strategies. Diagnostic indicators that allow comparison across these can help describe and explain differences model projections. This increases transparency comparability. Earlier, the IAM community has developed an approach to diagnose (Kriegler (2015 Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 90 45–61)). Here we build on this, by proposing selected set of well-defined as standard, systematically...
Most low-carbon scenarios produced by integrated assessment models deploy substantial amounts of carbon capture and storage (CCS). These generally assume that CO2 is a low-cost globally ubiquitous resource. Here we challenge this assumption, introducing potential which accounts for the financial, contractual, institutional barriers to storage, term investable potential. We provide first estimate utilise global energy system model explore implications regional mitigation pathways. Our results...
Global Environmental Assessments (GEAs) are in a unique position to influence environmental decision-making the context of sustainability challenges. To do this effectively, however, new methods needed respond needs decision-makers for more integrated, contextualized and goal-seeking evaluation different policies, geared action from global local. While scenarios an important tool GEAs link short-term decisions medium long-term consequences, these current information cannot be met only...
Harmonisation sets the ground to a solid inter-comparison of integrated assessment models. A clear and transparent harmonisation process promotes consistent interpretation modelling outcomes divergences and, reducing model variance, is instrumental use models support policy decision-making. Despite its crucial role for climate economic policies, definition comprehensive methodology remains an open challenge scientific community. This paper proposes framework with indispensable steps...
Universal access to electricity is deemed critical for improving living standards and indispensable eradicating poverty achieving sustainable development. In 2003, the 'Luz para Todos' (LpT—Light All) program was launched aiming universalize in Brazil. The focused on rural isolated areas, also targeting bring development those regions along with electrification. This paper evaluates results of LpT socio-economic poorest After an initial qualitative analysis, empirical quantitative assessment...
Abstract The Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) to the Paris Agreement (PA) submitted so far do not put world on track meet targets of and by 2020 countries should ratchet up ambition in new round NDCs. Brazil’s NDC PA received mixed reviews has been rated as “medium” ambition. We use Brazil Land Use Energy System (BLUES) model explore low-emission scenarios for 2010–2050 period that cost-effectively raise levels consistent with targets. Our results reinforce fundamental role...
This study examines the interactions between local air pollutants and greenhouse gas emissions to assess potential synergies trade-offs environmental pollution climate policies, using power generation sector in Brazil under different carbon scenarios up 2050 as a case study. To this end, an integrated approach was developed, combining energy mitigation targets assessment model, tailored context of Brazilian sector. Results reveal that there are deep change abatement strategies. Increasing...
Abstract. The energy–water–land nexus represents a critical leverage future policies must draw upon to reduce trade-offs between sustainable development objectives. Yet, existing long-term planning tools do not provide the scope or level of integration across unravel important constraints. Moreover, and data are always made openly available implemented disparate modeling platforms that can be difficult link directly with modern scientific computing databases. In this paper, we present NExus...