Gabriel Cepaluni

ORCID: 0000-0003-1702-4597
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About
Contact & Profiles
Research Areas
  • Corruption and Economic Development
  • Media Influence and Politics
  • International Development and Aid
  • Political Conflict and Governance
  • Global trade and economics
  • International Relations in Latin America
  • Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies
  • Local Government Finance and Decentralization
  • Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
  • World Trade Organization Law
  • Income, Poverty, and Inequality
  • COVID-19 epidemiological studies
  • Culture, Economy, and Development Studies
  • Political Philosophy and Ethics
  • Taxation and Compliance Studies
  • Brazilian History and Foreign Policy
  • COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts
  • Electoral Systems and Political Participation
  • Populism, Right-Wing Movements
  • International Relations and Foreign Policy
  • Qualitative Comparative Analysis Research
  • Fiscal Policies and Political Economy
  • Poverty, Education, and Child Welfare
  • Genomics and Rare Diseases
  • Rural Development and Agriculture

Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp)
2014-2024

Universidade de São Paulo
2006-2023

Universidade de Franca
2022

AOL (United States)
2018

Centro de Estudos de Cultura Contemporânea
2005-2007

Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
2006

Universidade do Vale do Itajaí
2005

O objetivo deste artigo é analisar as mudanças trazidas pela política externa do primeiro governo Lula da Silva (2003-2006). Para discutir o tema, utilizaremos trabalho de Hermann (1990) sobre motivações das na dos Estados, integrando-o com insights construtivistas, que são úteis para examinar papel idéias formulação brasileira depois 2003. complementar nossa análise, três noções - "autonomia distância", participação" e diversificação" explicam principais transformações pelas quais passou a...

10.1590/s0102-85292007000200002 article PT cc-by-nc Contexto Internacional 2007-12-01

One of the most robust findings on political institutions is that compulsory voting (CV) reduces participation gap between poorer and wealthier voters. We present evidence in Brazil, largest country to use such a rule, CV increases inequality turnout. individual-level data 140 million Brazilian citizens two age-based discontinuities estimate heterogeneous effects by educational achievement, strong proxy for socioeconomic status. Evidence from both thresholds shows causal effect turnout among...

10.1093/pan/mpw004 article EN Political Analysis 2016-01-01

Abstract The objective of this article is to analyse the changes brought about by foreign policy Lula's first administration (2003 – 06). To discuss topic, we will make use three notions: autonomy through distance, participation and diversification. These notions explain main occurring in Brazilian from 1980 mid-2000s. We conclude demonstrating how diversification notion best applies 2003 06 period.

10.1080/01436590701547095 article EN Third World Quarterly 2007-09-23

This paper provides a quantitative examination of the link between political institutions and deaths during first 100 days COVID-19 pandemic. We demonstrate that countries with more democratic experienced on larger per capita scale sooner than less countries. The result is robust to inclusion many relevant controls, battery estimation techniques, instruments for institutional measures we consider. Additionally, examine extent which were impacted heterogeneously by policy responses across...

10.33774/apsa-2020-5lhhc preprint EN 2020-04-27

This article provides a quantitative examination of the link between political institutions and deaths during first 100 days COVID-19 pandemic. We demonstrate that countries with more democratic experienced on larger per capita scale than less countries. The result is robust to inclusion many relevant controls, battery estimation techniques instrumental variables for institutional measures. Additionally, we examine extent which were impacted heterogeneously by policy responses across types...

10.1332/251569121x16268740317724 article EN other-oa Journal of Public Finance and Public Choice 2021-08-31

Previous research has shown that more democratic countries suffered greater COVID-19 deaths per capita and implemented policy measures were less effective at reducing than in the early stages of pandemic (Cepaluni et al. 2020, Cheibub 2020). But to what extent is this "autocratic advantage" driven by populist governments democracies? This chapter presents new evidence documented effect not subset democracies have governments. While across entire sample, populism associated with a death toll...

10.2139/ssrn.3816398 article EN SSRN Electronic Journal 2021-01-01

Abstract Can electoral incentives mitigate racial and class prejudices toward underrepresented groups? We use a pair of large‐scale field experiments to investigate the responsiveness Brazilian legislative candidates information requests from fictitious voters before after 2010 elections. Our panel study design allows us examine how politicians’ jointly affect their with randomly assigned socioeconomic partisan characteristics. Distinguishing between prejudiced strategic discrimination in...

10.1111/ajps.12371 article EN American Journal of Political Science 2018-08-24

This paper provides a quantitative examination of the link between political institutions and deaths during first 100 days COVID-19 pandemic. We demonstrate that countries with more democratic experienced on larger per capita scale sooner than less countries. The result is robust to inclusion many relevant controls, battery estimation techniques, instruments for institutional measures we consider. Additionally, examine extent which were impacted heterogeneously by policy responses across...

10.33774/coe-2020-hvvns preprint EN 2020-06-08

Abstract How does legislature size impact public service provision? Despite the importance of institutional design for democratic governance, effect legislative features on citizen welfare remains little understood. In this article, we use a formal model to show that increasing improves goods delivery. We argue changes in bargaining costs depend whether additional legislators share executive's party affiliation: More opposition members reduce equilibrium provision, while more...

10.1111/ajps.12843 article EN American Journal of Political Science 2024-04-30

Objective: This paper quantitatively explores determinants of governments' non-pharmaceutical policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. Our focus is on extent which geographic mobility affected stringency governmental responses. Methods: Using cross-country, daily frequency data and during 2020, we investigate some COVID-19. In order causally identify effect stringency, pursue an instrumental variable strategy that exploits climate arguably exogenous variation in mobility. Results: We find...

10.3389/ijph.2022.1604663 article EN cc-by International Journal of Public Health 2022-08-05

What does it take to make a coalition successful? Bigger coalitions are more likely be successful because the GATT/WTO is consensus-based institution and countries informally penalized if they isolate themselves. Through Bayesian statistical analysis, article corroborates above hypothesis. To further investigate research question, qualitative case studies of G-10 in Uruguay Round Public Health Coalition Doha conducted. These cases show that convincing framing position, better chances keeping...

10.1590/s1981-38212012000200002 article EN Brazilian Political Science Review 2012-01-01

Este artigo mostra que não existe apenas uma única teoria sobre regimes internacionais, mas um conjunto de estudos teóricos e empíricos que, isoladamente ou em conjunto, constituem "teoria geral" das relações internacionais. Três abordagens resumem os principais debates regimes: o realismo-estrutural, neoliberalismo cognitivismo. A primeira perspectiva - a realista considera poder é principal conceito para explicar O interesse noção analítica entender criação manutenção dos regimes....

10.1590/s0102-85292005000100002 article PT Contexto Internacional 2005-06-01

How does legislature size impact public service provision? Despite the importance of institutional design for democratic governance, effect legislative features on citizen welfare remains little understood. In this paper, we use a formal model to show that increasing improves goods delivery. We argue changes in bargaining costs depend whether additional legislators share executive's party affiliation: More opposition members reduce equilibrium provision, while more government-aligned...

10.31235/osf.io/x97gf preprint EN 2022-07-02

Coalition-formation is an important tool to leverage countries' bargaining power in GATT/WTO negotiations. Unlike the "weapons of weak" reasoning, several econometric models and specifications show that larger economies have a higher probability joining coalitions. Challenging view middle powers distinguishable collectivist behavior, even non-linear relationship between GDP coalition entry has linear shape. Large join coalitions more often because they are better equipped absorb transaction...

10.2139/ssrn.2599867 article EN SSRN Electronic Journal 2014-01-01

What is the effect of legislature size on public service provision? While literature relates to representation and government expenditure, its implications for welfare remain understudied. In this paper, we investigate effects welfare, exploiting exogenous changes in city-council Brazil between 2005 2008. We show that adding a legislator improves education health care. However, results prove true services are believed be highly salient voters, easiest claim credit for, easy provide. sense,...

10.31235/osf.io/8r97e preprint EN 2019-10-14

This paper quantitatively explores determinants of governments' non-pharmaceutical policy responses to the COVID-19 pandemic. Our focus is on extent which geographic mobility affected stringency governmental responses. Using daily data since beginning 2020, we find that societies are more geographically mobile have less stringent. We pursue an instrumental variable strategy exploits climate identify arguably exogenous variation in levels, lends a causal interpretation our results. One...

10.2139/ssrn.3817289 article EN SSRN Electronic Journal 2021-01-01
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