A5086090733- Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
- Climate variability and models
- Water resources management and optimization
- Water-Energy-Food Nexus Studies
- Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Climate Change Communication and Perception
- Reservoir Engineering and Simulation Methods
- Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
- Geophysics and Gravity Measurements
- demographic modeling and climate adaptation
- Transboundary Water Resource Management
- Cryospheric studies and observations
- Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration
- Hydrology and Drought Analysis
- Innovative Approaches in Technology and Social Development
- Urban Heat Island Mitigation
- Diet and metabolism studies
- Hydraulic Fracturing and Reservoir Analysis
- Environmental Education and Sustainability
- Soil and Water Nutrient Dynamics
- Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Risk Perception and Management
- HIV Research and Treatment
- Hydrology and Sediment Transport Processes
Met Office
2020-2025
University of Bristol
2022-2024
Phillips Exeter Academy
2023
Environment Agency
2013-2015
University of Oxford
2009-2012
Tyndall Centre
2010
Motion Control (United States)
1994
NBCUniversal (United States)
1994
CBC (Canada)
1994
Sony (Taiwan)
1994
Institutions, infrastructure, and information for adaptation
Abstract We present a risk‐based approach for incorporating nonstationary probabilistic climate projections into long‐term water resources planning. The proposed methodology uses synthetic time series of future climates obtained via stochastic weather generator based on the UK Climate Projections (UKCP09) to construct probability distribution frequency shortages in future. UKCP09 extend well beyond range current hydrological variability, providing basis testing robustness management plans...
The majority of climate change impacts and adaptation studies so far have been based on at most a few deterministic realizations future climate, usually representing different emissions scenarios. Large ensembles models are increasingly available either as opportunity or perturbed physics ensembles, providing wealth additional data that is potentially useful for improving strategies to change. Because the novelty this ensemble information, there little previous experience practical...
While the parties to UNFCCC agreed in December 2009 Copenhagen Accord that a 2°C global warming over pre-industrial levels should be avoided, current commitments on greenhouse gas emissions reductions from these same will lead 50 : chance of greater than 3.5°C. Here, we evaluate differences impacts and adaptation issues for water resources worlds corresponding policy objective (+2°C) possible reality (+4°C). We simulate surface run-off resource availability using hydrological model driven by...
Abstract For those involved in planning for regional and local scale changes future climate, there is a requirement climate information to be available context more usually associated with meteorological timescales. Here we combine tool used numerical weather prediction, the 30 patterns produced by Met Office, which are already applied operationally prediction models, assess UK Climate Projections (UKCP) Global ensemble. Through assessing projected frequency of at end 21st Century, determine...
Hydroclimatic risks and adaptive capacity are not distributed evenly in large river basins of federal countries, where authority is divided across national territorial governments. Transboundary a major test systems governance because key management roles exist at all levels. This paper examines the evolution design interstate water allocation institutions semi-arid rivers prone to drought extremes, climatic variability intensified competition for scarce water. We conceptualize, categorize...
Abstract The methods used to generate process-based global and local mean sea-level projections have evolved substantially over the last fifteen years, including improved process understanding, advances in ice-sheet modelling, use of emulators further development high-end scenarios. During this time, two sets UK national been generated as part Climate Projections 2009 (UKCP09; Lowe et al 2009) 2018 (UKCP18; Palmer 2018b). UKCP18 presented for coastline 21st century rooted Coupled Model...
Since the launch of UK Climate Projections (UKCP) in 2018, Met Office has continually updated underlying climate model datasets and operated a supported service on behalf government. In addition to providing technical support for its datasets, UKCP Service monitors evolving user need, supports activities enable knowledge sharing, improve understanding co-design additional services. This work resulted release new reports guidance as well community-contributed monthly webinar series led by...
Climate change and water scarcity are intertwined natural humanitarian crises, disproportionately affecting vulnerable populations. By 2040, one in four children globally will face severe scarcity, exposing them to water-borne diseases. Many, particularly girls young women resource-limited regions, forced abandon education career opportunities fetch due traditional gender roles. As climate reduces surface availability, groundwater demand is projected rise significantly over the next 30...
Whether its memories of a cold, frosty Christmas or an August bank holiday beach trip interrupted by rain, many cultural, sporting, and social events in the United Kingdom have strong associations with particular weather conditions. As average global temperature increases, impacts changing climate are likely to be felt across aspects British life, including public’s experiences these popular events. Several recent works conducted UK Met Office sought make local day-to-day change...
Estuaries are crucial for freshwater and nutrient cycling throughout shelf seas that drives the biodiversity ecology of coastal marine wildlife, provide ecosystem services sustain livelihoods wellbeing communities. These ecosystems are, however, potential pollution corridors sinks carrying sewage other loads containing harmful pathogens contaminants – a serious health issue is worsening with littoralisation population growth. Being at interface between oceanographic fluvial...
Stakeholders from public, private, and third sectors need to adapt a changing climate. Communications about climate may be challenging, especially for audiences with limited expertise. Here, we study how such audience members perceive visualizations projected future rainfall. In semi-structured interviews, presented 24 participants climate-conscious organizations across the UK three prototypical rainfall, adopted probabilistic United Kingdom Climate Projections: (1) Maps displaying central...
Abstract We undertake a systematic review of peer-reviewed literature to arrive at recommendations for shaping communications about uncertainty in scientific climate-related findings. Climate often report on findings that contain different sources uncertainty. Potential users these are members the general public, as well decision makers and climate advisors from government, business non-governmental institutions worldwide. Many may lack formal training science or related disciplines....
Abstract Background Periods of droughts can lead to decreased food security, and altered behaviours, potentially affecting outcomes on antiretroviral therapy (ART) among persons with HIV (PWH). We investigated whether rainfall is associated adverse PWH ART in Southern Africa. Methods Data were combined from 11 clinical cohorts Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, South Africa, Zambia, Zimbabwe, participating the International epidemiology Databases Evaluate AIDS Africa (IeDEA-SA) collaboration....
Anticipatory adaptation to climate change requires the impact of future changes in water availability be investigated prior deployment low-carbon electricity generation infrastructure. Here we investigate whether may limit for a proposed coal-fired (CF) power station site with Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS). We find that pose constraints on availability, regulatory abstraction licences affect CF CCS. The associated current misalignment energy policies are explored through interviews...
Abstract Social scientists have argued that good communication around risks in climate hazards requires information to be presented a user-relevant way, allowing people better understand the factors controlling those risks. We present potentially useful way of doing this by explaining future UK winter precipitation terms changes frequency, and associated average rainfall, local pressure patterns are familiar with through their use daily weather forecasts. apply approach perturbed parameter...
Chalk forms one of the most important aquifers in UK. Extending over large parts south-west, chalk account for more than half groundwater used drinking England and Wales. Groundwater held these supports flows rivers. Hence, play an role sustaining riverine ecosystem. It is, therefore, to assess manage freshwater resources catchments. Here we develop evaluate a distributed numerical model simulating coupled subsurface land surface hydrological processes including soil moisture variability,...