Manuela Volpe

ORCID: 0000-0003-4551-3339
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About
Contact & Profiles
Research Areas
  • earthquake and tectonic studies
  • Seismology and Earthquake Studies
  • Earthquake Detection and Analysis
  • Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
  • Earthquake and Tsunami Effects
  • Geological and Geophysical Studies Worldwide
  • Seismic Waves and Analysis
  • Graphene research and applications
  • Seismic Imaging and Inversion Techniques
  • nanoparticles nucleation surface interactions
  • High-pressure geophysics and materials
  • Carbon Nanotubes in Composites
  • Methane Hydrates and Related Phenomena
  • Hydrogen Storage and Materials
  • Archaeological and Historical Studies
  • Seismic Performance and Analysis
  • Marine and environmental studies
  • Geological and Geochemical Analysis
  • Distributed and Parallel Computing Systems
  • Advanced Chemical Physics Studies
  • Material Dynamics and Properties
  • Clinical practice guidelines implementation
  • Scientific Computing and Data Management
  • Geological and Geophysical Studies
  • Polymer crystallization and properties

Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia
2015-2025

Radiotelevisione Italiana (Italy)
2024

Siemens (Germany)
2022

Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung
2022

Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare, Sezione di Roma I
2021

Norwegian Geotechnical Institute
2020

Universidad de Málaga
2020

Planta Piloto de Ingeniería Química
2009

Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
2009

National Agency for New Technologies, Energy and Sustainable Economic Development
2000-2005

The NEAM Tsunami Hazard Model 2018 (NEAMTHM18) is a probabilistic hazard model for tsunamis generated by earthquakes. It covers the coastlines of North-eastern Atlantic, Mediterranean, and connected seas (NEAM). NEAMTHM18 was designed as three-phase project. first two phases were dedicated to development calculations, following formalized decision-making process based on multiple-expert protocol. third phase documentation dissemination. assessment workflow structured in Steps Levels. There...

10.3389/feart.2020.616594 article EN cc-by Frontiers in Earth Science 2021-03-05

Tsunami warning centres face the challenging task of rapidly forecasting tsunami threat immediately after an earthquake, when there is high uncertainty due to data deficiency. Here we introduce Probabilistic Forecasting (PTF) for early warning. PTF explicitly treats data- and forecast-uncertainties, enabling alert level definitions according any predefined conservatism, which connected average balance missed-vs-false-alarms. Impact forecasts resulting recommendations become progressively...

10.1038/s41467-021-25815-w article EN cc-by Nature Communications 2021-09-28

Abstract The Italian Tsunami Alert Center based at the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (CAT-INGV) has been monitoring Mediterranean seismicity in past 8 yr to get fast and reliable information for seismically induced tsunami warnings. CAT-INGV is a service provider charge of Sea alerting Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC)/UNESCO subscriber Member States Department Civil Protection potentially impending tsunami, framework Warning Mitigation System North-eastern...

10.1785/0220200437 article EN Seismological Research Letters 2021-03-31

Abstract. Site-specific seismic probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis (SPTHA) is a computationally demanding task, as it requires, in principle, huge number of high-resolution numerical simulations for producing inundation maps. We implemented an efficient and robust methodology using filtering procedure to reduce the needed while still allowing full treatment aleatory epistemic uncertainty. Moreover, avoid biases assessment, we developed strategy identify separately treat tsunamis generated...

10.5194/nhess-19-455-2019 article EN cc-by Natural hazards and earth system sciences 2019-03-06

Regional and global tsunami hazard analysis requires simplified efficient methods for estimating the inundation height its related uncertainty. One such approach is amplification factor (AF) method. Amplification factors describe relation between offshore wave maximum height, as predicted by linearized plane models employed incident waves with different characteristics. In this study, a new method developed that takes into account bathymetry proximal to coastal site. The present AFs cover...

10.1007/s00024-019-02091-w article EN cc-by Pure and Applied Geophysics 2019-01-25

The complexity of coseismic slip distributions influences the tsunami hazard posed by local and, to a certain extent, distant sources. Large concentrated in shallow patches was observed recent tsunamigenic earthquakes, possibly due dynamic amplification near free surface, variable frictional conditions or other factors. We propose method for incorporating enhanced subduction earthquakes while preventing systematic excess at depths over one more seismic cycles. uses classic k−2 stochastic...

10.1007/s00024-019-02260-x article EN cc-by Pure and Applied Geophysics 2019-06-28

Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis (PTHA) quantifies the probability of exceeding a specified inundation intensity at given location within time interval. PTHA provides scientific guidance for tsunami risk analysis and management, including coastal planning early warning. Explicit computation site-specific PTHA, with an adequate discretization source scenarios combined high-resolution numerical modelling, has been out reach existing models computing capabilities, tens to hundreds...

10.3389/feart.2020.591549 article EN cc-by Frontiers in Earth Science 2020-12-11

Abstract The tsunami source of the 2021 M W 8.1 Raoul Island earthquake in Kermadec subduction zone was estimated by inverting signals recorded Deep‐ocean Assessment and Reporting Tsunamis (DART) bottom pressure sensors coastal tide‐gauges. main asperity up to 5 m slip is located northeastward from hypocenter, with features compatible aftershock distribution rapid back‐projection analysis. Three earthquakes ∼8 or larger which also produced moderate tsunamis happened 20th century same portion...

10.1029/2021gl094449 article EN cc-by-nc Geophysical Research Letters 2021-08-20

In seismically active regions with variable dominant focal mechanisms, there is considerable tsunami inundation height uncertainty. Basic earthquake source parameters such as dip, strike, and rake affect significantly the tsunamigenic potential directivity. Tsunami also sensitive to other properties bottom friction. Despite their importance, sensitivity these basic surprisingly sparsely studied in literature. We perform suites of systematic parameter searches investigate at towns Catania...

10.3389/feart.2021.757618 article EN cc-by Frontiers in Earth Science 2022-01-25
Arnau Folch Claudia Abril Michael Afanasiev Giorgio Amati Michael Bäder and 90 more Rosa M. Badía Hafize Başak Bayraktar Sara Barsotti Roberto Basili Fabrizio Bernardi Christian Boehm Beatriz Brizuela Federico Brogi Eduardo Cabrera Emanuele Casarotti Manuel J. Castro Matteo Cerminara A. Cirella Alexey Cheptsov Javier Conejero Antonio Costa Marc de la Asunción Josep de la Puente Marco Djuric Ravil Dorozhinskii Gabriela Espinosa Tomaso Esposti Ongaro J. Farnós Nathalie Favretto‐Cristini Andreas Fichtner Alexandre Fournier Alice‐Agnes Gabriel Jean-Matthieu Gallard Steven J. Gibbons Sylfest Glimsdal José Manuel González-Vida José Gracia Rose Gregorio N. Gutierrez Benedikt Halldórsson Okba Hamitou Guillaume Houzeaux Stephan Jaure Mouloud Kessar Lukas Krenz Lion Krischer Soline Laforet Piero Lanucara Bo Li Maria Concetta Lorenzino Stefano Lorito Finn Løvholt Giovanni Macedonio Jorge Macı́as Guillermo Marín Beatriz Martínez Montesinos Leonardo Mingari Geneviève Moguilny Vadim Montellier Marisol Monterrubio-Velasco Georges Emmanuel Moulard Masaru Nagaso Massimo Nazaria Christoph Niethammer Federica Pardini Marta Pienkowska Luca Pizzimenti Natalia Poiata Leonhard Rannabauer Otilio Rojas Juan Esteban Rodríguez Fabrizio Romano Oleksandr Rudyy Vittorio Ruggiero Philipp Samfaß Carlos Sánchez‐Linares Sabrina Sanchez Laura Sandri Antonio Scala Nathanaël Schaeffer Joseph Schuchart Jacopo Selva Amadine Sergeant Angela Stallone Matteo Taroni Sölvi Thrastarson Manuel Títos Nadia Tonelllo Roberto Tonini Thomas Ulrich Jean‐Pierre Vilotte Malte Vöge Manuela Volpe Sara Aniko Wirp Uwe Wössner

The EU Center of Excellence for Exascale in Solid Earth (ChEESE) develops exascale transition capabilities the domain Earth, an area geophysics rich computational challenges embracing different approaches to (capability, capacity, and urgent computing). first implementation phase project (ChEESE-1P; 2018–2022) addressed scientific technical seismology, tsunami science, volcanology, magnetohydrodynamics, order understand phenomena, anticipate impact natural disasters, contribute risk...

10.1016/j.future.2023.04.006 article EN cc-by-nc-nd Future Generation Computer Systems 2023-04-05

Inundation maps are a fundamental tool for coastal risk management and in particular designing evacuation planning. These turn necessary component of the tsunami warning systems’ last-mile. In Italy inundation informed by probabilistic hazard model. Based on given level acceptable risk, Italian authorities charge this task recommended to consider, as design intensity, average return period 2500 years 84th percentile model uncertainty. An available, regional-scale was used that covers entire...

10.3389/feart.2021.628061 article EN cc-by Frontiers in Earth Science 2021-03-11

Abstract Destructive tsunamis are most often generated by large earthquakes occurring at subduction interfaces, but also other “atypical” sources—defined as crustal and non-seismic sources altogether—may cause significant tsunami threats. Tsunamis may indeed be different sources, such earthquakes, submarine or coastal landslides, volcano-related phenomena, atmospheric perturbations. The consideration of atypical is important worldwide, it especially prominent in complex tectonic settings the...

10.1007/s40766-021-00016-9 article EN cc-by Deleted Journal 2021-02-01

SUMMARY We investigated the kinematic rupture model of 2018 Mw 6.8 Zakynthos, Ionian Sea (Greece), earthquake by using a non-linear joint inversion strong motion data, high-rate GPS time-series and static coseismic displacements. also tested results against tide-gauge recordings small tsunami generated in Sea. In order to constrain fault geometry, we performed several preliminary inversions assuming parameter values resulting from different published moment tensor solutions. The lowest cost...

10.1093/gji/ggaa053 article EN Geophysical Journal International 2020-01-30

SUMMARY Estimating coastal tsunami impact for early-warning or long-term hazard analysis requires the calculation of inundation metrics such as flow-depth momentum flux. Both applications require simulation large numbers scenarios to capture both aleatory variability and epistemic uncertainty. A computationally demanding step in simulating is solving non-linear shallow water (NLSW) equations on meshes with sufficiently high resolution represent local elevation accurately enough physics...

10.1093/gji/ggae151 article EN cc-by Geophysical Journal International 2024-04-23

The complexity of coseismic slip distributions plays a pivotal role in shaping tsunami hazards from both near and distant sources. Recent research underscores the significance large shallow slips tsunamigenic earthquakes, driven by dynamic amplification free surface variable frictional conditions. Several novel methods are being proposed to incorporate depth-dependent features subduction earthquake models, possibly ensuring balanced long-term total across seismic cycles. This allows...

10.5194/egusphere-egu25-12538 preprint EN 2025-03-15

Tsunami preparedness strategies are essential in tsunami risk governance and management due to three main factors that characterize these phenomena: they may have great devastating potential, unpredictable until an earthquake occurs, move extremely fast. Preparedness prospective measures should be planned based on understanding a pre-event phase, best identify the emerging needs. Among them, evacuation planning is one of most relevant strategies, especially terms protecting lives.Tsunami...

10.5194/egusphere-egu25-15748 preprint EN 2025-03-15

Tsunami fragility curves for building classes are essential tools portfolio risk assessment of tsunami-prone regions. However, existing data comprises mainly empirical curves, which reflect the vulnerability local based on observed damage data. While useful, these have limited applicability in regions with no recorded tsunami events or insufficient This highlights need to expand database analytical particularly areas lacking records. To fill this gap, study proposes a comprehensive framework...

10.5194/egusphere-egu25-11453 preprint EN 2025-03-14

Summary Site-specific Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment (PTHA) is a powerful tool for coastal planning against tsunami risk. However, its typically high computational demands led to the introduction of Monte Carlo Stratified Importance Sampling (SIS) approach, which selects representative subset scenarios numerical inundation simulations. We here empirically validate this sampling first time our knowledge, using an existing extensive dataset simulations two sites in Mediterranean Sea...

10.1093/gji/ggaf034 article EN cc-by Geophysical Journal International 2025-01-27

The increasing complexity and volume of data in Solid Earth Science necessitate robust solutions for workflow representation, sharing, reproducibility. Within the DT-GEO (https://dtgeo.eu/) project, we addressed challenge creating interoperable discoverable representations computational workflows to facilitate reuse collaboration. Leveraging EPOS Platform (https://www.epos-eu.org/), a multidisciplinary research infrastructure focused on Science, aimed expose workflows, datasets, software...

10.5194/egusphere-egu25-6201 preprint EN 2025-03-14

When looking at the history of tsunami research, considering early efforts, two trends can be observed. Academic research was carried out in diverse disciplines with boosts after large global events, such as 1960 Chile event that lead to creation warning centers U.S. and Japan Pacific, or 2004 Indian Ocean had a impact on preparedness supported by IOC UNESCO other organizations. On hand, engineering community particular United States created building codes formalized hazard prevention...

10.5194/egusphere-egu25-5074 preprint EN 2025-03-14

Site-specific Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment (PTHA) is a powerful tool for coastal planning against tsunami risk. However, its typically high computational demands led to the introduction of Monte Carlo Stratified Importance Sampling (SIS) approach, which selects representative subset scenarios numerical inundation simulations. We here empirically validate this sampling first time our knowledge, using an existing extensive dataset simulations two sites in Mediterranean Sea (Catania...

10.5194/egusphere-egu25-19787 preprint EN 2025-03-15
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