A5045480596- Climate variability and models
- Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
- Wind and Air Flow Studies
- Human Mobility and Location-Based Analysis
- Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Hydrology and Drought Analysis
- demographic modeling and climate adaptation
- Air Quality and Health Impacts
- Air Quality Monitoring and Forecasting
- Urban Transport and Accessibility
- Vehicle emissions and performance
- Transportation Planning and Optimization
- Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Transportation and Mobility Innovations
- Smart Cities and Technologies
- Building Energy and Comfort Optimization
- Wind Energy Research and Development
- Flood Risk Assessment and Management
- Urban Heat Island Mitigation
- Evacuation and Crowd Dynamics
- French Literature and Poetry
- South African History and Culture
- Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Community Development and Social Impact
Met Office
2020-2024
Murray State University
2023
University of Bristol
2020
University of Exeter
2014-2020
Abstract. The XWS (eXtreme WindStorms) catalogue consists of storm tracks and model-generated maximum 3 s wind-gust footprints for 50 the most extreme winter windstorms to hit Europe in period 1979–2012. is intended be a valuable resource both academia industries such as (re)insurance, example allowing users characterise European storms, validate climate catastrophe models. Several severity indices were investigated find which could best represent list known high-loss (severe) storms....
Climate change adaptation decisions often require the consideration of risk rather than environmental hazard alone. One approach for quantifying is to use a assessment framework which combines information about hazard, exposure and vulnerability estimate in spatially consistent way. In recent years, publicly available, open-source frameworks have been made including CLIMADA platform. Such tools are increasingly being used combination with ensembles climate model projections quantify on...
Abstract The United Kingdom is committed to substantially increasing offshore wind capacity in its drive decarbonise electricity production and achieve net zero. If low episodes—or ‘wind drought’ events—occur during high energy demand periods, security may be threatened without alternative supply. challenge of managing the variability power will increase into future as share mix increases. This study focuses attention on North Sea a centre current planned resource, winter season, given...
Open-source climate risk assessment platforms allow for accessible and efficient estimation of current future by combining information about hazard, exposure vulnerability. Such assessments require making a number choices, such as which hazard data source to use, the approach taken represent As these choices are, some extent, subjective, when assessing informing adaptation decisions, alternative options should be considered understand uncertainty sensitivity uncertain input assumptions. We...
Climate adaptation decision making can be informed by a quantification of current and future climate risk. This is important for understanding which populations and/or infrastructures are most at risk in order to prioritise action. When assessing the overheating buildings, many studies use advanced building models comprehensively represent vulnerability overheating, but often limited representation meteorological (hazard) information does not vary realistically space. An alternative approach...
Abstract. A decline in damaging European windstorms has led to a reduction insured losses the 21st century. This is explored by identifying windstorm characteristic and investigating how why this changed recent years. novel exploration based on 6103 high-resolution model-generated historical footprints (1979–2014), representing whole domain. The footprint of defined as maximum wind gust speed occur at set spatial locations over duration storm. area exceeding 20 ms−1 land, A20, shown be good...
According to the World Health Organization (WHO) air pollution in urban areas, mainly associated with inhalation of gaseous pollutants and particulate matter emitted from motor vehicles, is responsible for one million deaths per year. Carbon monoxide (CO) incomplete combustion fuel known bind hemoglobin, decreasing blood oxygen-delivery inducing tissues hypoxia; being more pronounced under conditions stress like physical activity. The present study demonstrates usefulness a compact CO sensor...
Abstract. Natural hazards, such as European windstorms, have widespread effects that result in insured losses at multiple locations throughout a continent. Multivariate extreme-value statistical models for environmental phenomena must therefore accommodate very high dimensional spatial data, well correctly representing dependence the extremes to ensure accurate estimation of these losses. Ideally one would employ flexible model, able characterise all forms extremal dependence. However, are...
Efforts to promote travel behaviour change have frequently deployed social marketing strategies that are based on characterising populations into discrete target groups through quantitative segmentation techniques. Such techniques provide an important basis for understanding behavioural choices and motivations, using psychological constructs can be used planning interventions. However, there limitations what a solely approach offer practitioners in terms of the dynamics meanings associated...
Exposure to air pollution in the form of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is known cause diseases and cancers. Consequently, public are increasingly seeking health warnings associated with levels PM2.5 using mobile phone applications websites. Often, these existing platforms provide one-size-fits-all guidance, not incorporating user specific personal preferences. This study demonstrates an innovative approach Bayesian methods support personalised decision making for quality. We present a...
Current approaches for understanding and influencing transport behaviour often involve creating fixed, homogenous groups of similar surveyed individuals in order to explore specific behavioural profiles, an approach known as segmentation. Most commonly, segmentation is not based on a formal statistical model, but either simple 'a priori' defined group classification narrative, failing capture the complexity varying characteristics, or 'post hoc' heuristic cluster analysis, applied...
Abstract. A decline in damaging European windstorms has led to a reduction insured losses the 21st century. This is explored by identifying windstorm characteristic and investigating how why this changed recent years. novel exploration based on 6103 high resolution model generated historical footprints (1979–2014) representing whole domain. The footprint of defined as maximum wind gust speed occur at set spatial locations over duration storm. area exceeding 20 ms−1 land, A20, shown be good...
Abstract. The XWS (eXtreme WindStorms) catalogue consists of storm tracks and model-generated maximum three-second wind-gust footprints for 50 the most extreme winter windstorms to hit Europe over 1979–2012. is intended be a valuable resource both academia industries such as (re)insurance, example allowing users characterise European storms, validate climate catastrophe models. Several severity indices were investigated find which could best represent list known high loss (severe) storms....
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The UK is committed to substantially increasing offshore wind capacity in its drive decarbonise electricity production and achieve net zero. If low episodes – or “wind drought” events occur during high energy demand periods, security may be threatened without alternative supply. To ensure resilience of the power system now coming years as generation grows, better understanding severity, frequency duration would useful. Variability winds likely dominate over...
Abstract Commercial and public sector interests surrounding technological developments are promoting a widespread transition to autonomous vehicles, intelligent transportation systems smart phone communications in everyday life, as part of the mobility agenda. There is, however, inadequate understanding about impact such shift on potential users, their readiness engage vision for future. This paper presents findings from series citizen panels, 2-year project based south-west England,...
By bringing together a large group of participants with diverse skillsets, hackathons aim to make good headway into particular research topic over short period time. This collaborative approach supports relationship building, cross team working and the development technical skills across different areas. To better manage prepare for impacts changing climate, it is vital have thorough understanding how may affect society. The UK has already felt some climate change, chance recording days...
We present a statistical modelling framework for implementing Distributed Lag Models (DLMs), encompassing several extensions of the approach to capture temporally distributed effect from covariates via regression. place DLMs in context penalised Generalized Additive (GAMs) and illustrate that implementation R package \texttt{mgcv}, which allows flexible interpretable inference addition thorough model assessment. show how interpretation splines as random quantities enables approximate...
Summary The city of Exeter, UK, is experiencing unprecedented growth, putting pressure on traffic infrastructure. As well as network management, understanding and influencing commuter behaviour important for reducing congestion. Information about current has been gathered through a large on-line survey, similar individuals have grouped to explore distinct profiles inform intervention design reduce Statistical analysis within societal applications benefit from incorporating available social...
© 2022 American Meteorological Society. For information regarding reuse of this content and general copyright information, consult the AMS Copyright Policy (www.ametsoc.org/PUBSReuseLicenses).This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).Corresponding author: David J. Brayshaw, d.j.brayshaw@reading.ac.uk