A5003310010- Global Health Care Issues
- Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
- Climate Change and Health Impacts
- COVID-19 and healthcare impacts
- Health disparities and outcomes
- Insurance and Financial Risk Management
- Healthcare Policy and Management
- Geochemistry and Geologic Mapping
- COVID-19 epidemiological studies
- demographic modeling and climate adaptation
- COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies
- Healthcare cost, quality, practices
- Employment and Welfare Studies
- Geographic Information Systems Studies
- Technology Use by Older Adults
- Wildlife Ecology and Conservation
- Birth, Development, and Health
- Topological and Geometric Data Analysis
- COVID-19 Impact on Reproduction
- Neutropenia and Cancer Infections
- Fish Ecology and Management Studies
- Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
- Blood disorders and treatments
- Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
- Maternal and Perinatal Health Interventions
Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
2017-2025
University of Southern Denmark
2015-2022
Max Planck Society
2015-2016
Variations in the age patterns and magnitudes of excess deaths, as well differences population sizes structures, make cross-national comparisons cumulative mortality impacts COVID-19 pandemic challenging. Life expectancy is a widely used indicator that provides clear cross-nationally comparable picture population-level on mortality.
The COVID-19 pandemic triggered an unprecedented rise in mortality that translated into life expectancy losses around the world, with only a few exceptions. We estimate changes 29 countries since 2020 (including most of Europe, United States and Chile), attribute them to by age group compare historic shocks. Our results show divergence impacts 2021. While western Europe experienced bounce backs from 2020, eastern witnessed sustained substantial deficits. Life deficits during fall/winter 2021...
Biodiversity loss is a major challenge. Over the past century, average rate of vertebrate extinction has been about 100-fold higher than estimated background and population declines continue to increase globally. Birth death rates determine pace or decline, thus driving expansion species. Design species conservation policies hence depends on demographic data (e.g., for risk assessments estimation harvesting quotas). However, an overview accessible data, even better known taxa, lacking. Here,...
Deaths directly linked to COVID-19 infection may be misclassified, and the pandemic have indirectly affected other causes of death. To overcome these measurement challenges, we estimate impact on mortality, life expectancy lifespan inequality from week 10 2020, when first death was registered, 47 ending 20 November 2020 in England Wales through an analysis excess mortality. We estimated age sex-specific mortality risk deaths above a baseline adjusted for seasonality with systematic...
Abstract Variations in the age patterns and magnitudes of excess deaths, as well differences population sizes structures make cross-national comparisons cumulative mortality impacts COVID-19 pandemic challenging. Life expectancy is a widely-used indicator that provides clear cross-nationally comparable picture population-level on mortality. tables by sex were calculated for 29 countries, including most European Chile, USA 2015-2020. at birth 60 2020 contextualised against recent trends...
Abstract Various procedures are in use to calculate excess deaths during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Using weekly death counts from 20 European countries, we evaluate robustness of estimates choice model for expected and perform a cross-validation analysis assess error bias each model’s predicted counts. We find that different models produce very similar patterns but disagree substantially on level excess. While exact country ranking along percent 2020 is sensitive top bottom ranks...
Abstract Stillbirth rates have stalled or increased in some European countries during the last decade. We investigate to what extent time-trends and between-country differences stillbirth are explained by changing prevalence of advanced maternal age teenage pregnancies multiple births. analysed data on stillbirths live births multiplicity from 2010 2021 25 using Kitagawa decomposition separate rate into compositional components. Rates significantly decreased six countries, but two. Changes...
Pascariu et al., (2018). ungroup: An R package for efficient estimation of smooth distributions from coarsely binned data. Journal Open Source Software, 3(29), 937, https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.00937
Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic triggered an unprecedented rise in mortality that translated into life expectancy losses around the world, with only a few exceptions. We estimate changes 29 countries since 2020, including most of Europe, US and Chile, attribute them to by age group, compare historic shocks. Our results show divergence impacts 2021. While Western Europe experienced bounce-backs from Eastern witnessed sustained substantial deficits. Life deficits among ages 60+ were strongly...
The Lexis surface plot is an established visualization tool in demography. Its present utility, however, limited to the domain of one-dimensional magnitudes such as rates and counts. Visualizing proportions among three or more groups on a period-age g
ABSTRACT The COVID-19 pandemic was a significant shock to United States mortality, and it is important understand how the impacted other causes of death. We estimated monthly excess mortality in US by cause death, age, sex, for official deaths at ages 15 older. Data come from CDC Wonder Multiple Cause Death database. used compositionally robust Generalized Additive Model (GAM) estimate expected counts March 2020-December 2022 eight death: accidents, cardiovascular diseases, cancer, diabetes,...
Abstract Objective To determine the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on mortality, life expectancy and lifespan inequality in first half 2020 (from week 1 to 26 starting June 22) England Wales. Design Demographic analysis all-cause mortality from through using publicly available death registration data Office for National Statistics. Setting population Wales by age sex 2020. Main outcome measure Age sex-specific excess risk deaths above a baseline adjusted seasonality We additionally provide...
Objective Patients in anticancer treatment with a known side effect of neutropenia are monitored closely laboratory measurements white blood cell count (WBC) and differentiation. This study sought to evaluate measurement properties feasibility patients' self-testing using point-of-care testing (POCT) device. Methods A prospective comparing the standard cancer WBC neutrophil POCT measurements. The included 60 outpatients 22 inpatients from department oncology at university hospital. Results...
The ternary balance scheme is a visualization technique that encodes three-part compositions as mixture of three primary colors. works best if the compositional data are well spread out across domain but fails to show structure in very
Demographic thought and practice is largely conditioned by the Lexis diagram, a two-dimensional graphical representation of identity between age, period, birth cohort. This relationship does not account for remaining years life, total length or time death, whose use in demographic research both underrepresented incompletely situated. We describe an these six measures sub-identities diagrams that pertain to this identity. provide application framework measurement late-life morbidity...
In the winter of 2022/2023, excess death estimates for Germany indicated a 10% elevation, which has led to questions about significance this increase in mortality. Given inherent errors demographic forecasting, reliability estimating deviation is questionable. This research addresses issue by analyzing error distribution forecasts weekly deaths. By deriving empirical prediction intervals, we provide more accurate probabilistic study expected and deaths compared use conventional parametric...