A5089754717- Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
- Environmental Impact and Sustainability
- Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
- Global Energy and Sustainability Research
- Energy, Environment, Economic Growth
- Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
- Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
- Market Dynamics and Volatility
- demographic modeling and climate adaptation
- Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy
- Climate variability and models
- Plant and animal studies
- Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
- Economic theories and models
- Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
- Water Governance and Infrastructure
- Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
- Innovation Policy and R&D
- Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems
- Medical Imaging and Pathology Studies
- Energy and Environment Impacts
- Species Distribution and Climate Change
- Economic Growth and Productivity
European Commission
2020-2025
Joint Research Center
2018-2024
University of Duisburg-Essen
2023
ORCID
2021
NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research
2015-2018
Kiel Institute for the World Economy
2012-2016
University Corporation for Atmospheric Research
2014
Abstract The Paris Agreement does not only stipulate to limit the global average temperature increase well below 2 °C, it also calls for ‘making finance flows consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions’. Consequently, there is an urgent need understand implications of climate targets energy systems and quantify associated investment requirements in coming decade. A meaningful analysis must however consider near-term mitigation avoid overshoot goal. It include recently...
Abstract The overlap in sources of greenhouse gas and local air pollutant emissions creates scope for policy measures to limit global warming improve quality simultaneously. In a first step, we derive estimates the pollution mortality-related component social cost atmospheric release 6 pollutants 56 regions world. Combining these with emission inventory data highlights that sector contributions health impacts differ widely across regions. Next, simulations future pathways consistent 2 °C 1.5...
The European Green Deal aims to put the EU on track towards climate neutrality by 2050. One of key elements is a more stringent greenhouse gas emission reduction target 55% below 1990 levels 2030. We analyse socio-economic consequences alternative policy pathways reach that target, either relying regulatory standards, carbon pricing, or mix both. develop modelling framework captures macro-economic and sectoral impacts closely aligns economic energy system modelling. further decompose...
Carbon pricing can steer energy choices towards low-carbon fuels and foster conservation efforts. Simultaneously, higher fossil fuel prices may exacerbate poverty. A just portfolio of climate policies therefore requires a balanced instrument mix to jointly combat change We review recent policy developments in the EU aimed at addressing poverty social implications neutrality transition. then operationalise an affordability-based definition numerically illustrate that proposals risk raising...
This paper presents a modeling comparison on how stabilization of global climate change at about 2 °C above the pre-industrial level could affect economic and energy systems development in China India. Seven General Equilibrium (CGE) system models either or national scale are soft-linked harmonized with respect to population assumptions. We simulate regime, based long-term convergence per capita carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, starting from emission pledges presented Copenhagen Accord United...
When modelling medium and long-term challenges we need a reference path of economic development (the so-called baseline). Because sectoral models often offer more fundamental understanding future developments for specific sectors, many CGE modeling teams have adopted different kinds linking approaches to generate baselines. We systematically compare discuss the baseline calibration procedure, best practices pitfalls. identify types which divide into a) links with partial equilibrium models,...
Concerns about industry competitiveness and distributional impacts can deter ambitious climate policies. Typically, these issues are studied separately, without giving much attention to the interaction between two. Here, we explore how carbon leakage reduction measures affect outcomes across households within 11 European countries by combining an economy-wide computable general equilibrium model with a household-level microsimulation model. Quantitative simulations indicate that free...
This study analyses socio-economic effects (gross domestic product, employment and output) under slow, medium fast deployment scenarios of automated cars trucks in the EU using macro-economic general equilibrium model JRC-GEM-E3. Our analysis focuses on four major potential impacts referred to literature, namely, expected cost at scale all levels automation for trucks, impact professional drivers' jobs, vehicle energy efficiency congestion. Since last two can vary depending travel behaviour,...
This edition of the Global Energy and Climate Outlook (GECO) analyses role electrification in global transition pathways to a low Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions economy. Electricity is found be an increasingly important energy carrier final consumption already absence stronger climate policies than those currently place (Reference scenario), while enhanced demand crucial element 2°C temperature change scenario, paving way neutrality. The target could achieved by simultaneously transforming...
Reaching the Paris Agreement temperature targets requires a substantial increase in individual countries' ambition to reduce GHG emissions. Research on macroeconomic implications of global decarbonization pathways is limited, often focuses energy sector, and ignores shifts toward non-energy sectors, leading concerns regarding unemployment economic losses. We aim analyze mitigation options bring emissions line with ambitious climate evaluate consequences this transition investigate these...
Modelling and projecting consumption, investment government demand by detailed commodities in CGE models poses many data methodological challenges. We review the state of knowledge modelling consumption (price income elasticities demographics), as well historical trends that we should be able to explain. then discuss current approaches taken project at various levels commodity disaggregation. examine pros cons adjust parameters over time or using functions suggest a research agenda improve...
This report analyses global transition pathways to a low Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions economy The main scenarios presented have been designed be compatible with the 2°C and 1.5°C temperature targets put forward in UNFCCC Paris Agreement, order minimise irreversible climate damages. Reaching these requires action from all world countries economic sectors. Global net GHG would drop zero by around 2080 limit increase above pre-industrial levels (by 2065 for limit). analysis shows that this...