A5091412017- Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
- Biofuel production and bioconversion
- Environmental Impact and Sustainability
- Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Renewable Energy and Sustainability
- Agricultural Economics and Policy
- Economic and Environmental Valuation
- Land Use and Ecosystem Services
- Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy
- Bioenergy crop production and management
- Bioeconomy and Sustainability Development
- Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
- Environmental Science and Technology
- Energy, Environment, Economic Growth
- Global Energy and Sustainability Research
- Forest Management and Policy
- Agriculture, Land Use, Rural Development
- Economic and Social Issues
- Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
- Transportation and Mobility Innovations
- Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management
- Agricultural Innovations and Practices
- Oil Palm Production and Sustainability
- Market Dynamics and Volatility
- Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets
University of Basel
2021-2025
Kiel Institute for the World Economy
2013-2023
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
2018
University of Bonn
2008
Abstract With rising demand for biomass, cropland expansion and intensification represent the main strategies to boost agricultural production, but are also major drivers of biodiversity decline. We investigate consequences attaining equal global production gains by 2030, either or intensification, analyse their impacts on markets biodiversity. find that both scenarios lead lower crop prices across world, even in regions where decreases. Cropland mostly affects hotspots Central South...
Abstract Global biomass demand is expected to roughly double between 2005 and 2050. Current studies suggest that agricultural intensification through optimally managed crops on today’s cropland alone insufficient satisfy future demand. In practice though, improving crop growth management better technology knowledge almost inevitably goes along with (1) farm increased cropping intensity more annual harvests where feasible (2) an economically efficient spatial allocation of which maximizes...
Potential trade-offs between providing sufficient food for a growing human population in the future and sustaining ecosystems their services are driven by various biophysical socio-economic parameters at different scales. In this study, we investigate these using three-step interdisciplinary approach. We examine (1) how expected global cropland expansion might affect security terms of agricultural production prices, (2) where natural conditions suitable under changing climate conditions, (3)...
Extreme events, such as those caused by climate change, economic or geopolitical shocks, and pest disease epidemics, threaten global food security. The complexity of causation, well the myriad ways that an event, a sequence creates cascading systemic impacts, poses significant challenges to systems research policy alike. To identify priority security risks opportunities, we asked experts from range fields geographies describe key threats over next two decades suggest questions gaps on this...
ABSTRACT Fossil fuel subsidy reform(s) support the deployment of low‐carbon technologies, yet fossil subsidies remain stubbornly high, while money allocated by governments to renewable energy continues grow. In transport sector, this tension is observed between biofuels that still rely on national policies and gasoline/diesel subsidies. Using a global Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, we study how phasing out gasoline diesel would impact biofuel mandates. We find where they are...
Abstract Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) is a crucial element in most modelling studies on emission pathways of the Intergovernmental Panel Climate Change to limit global warming. BECCS can substitute fossil fuels energy production reduce CO 2 emissions, while using biomass for have feedback effects land use, agricultural forest products markets, as well biodiversity water resources. To assess former pros cons deployment, interdisciplinary model approaches require detailed...
When modelling medium and long-term challenges we need a reference path of economic development (the so-called baseline). Because sectoral models often offer more fundamental understanding future developments for specific sectors, many CGE modeling teams have adopted different kinds linking approaches to generate baselines. We systematically compare discuss the baseline calibration procedure, best practices pitfalls. identify types which divide into a) links with partial equilibrium models,...
The pressure on land resources continuously increases not only with the rising demand for agricultural commodities, but also growing need action global challenges, such as biodiversity loss or climate change, where plays a crucial role. Land saving strategy, productivity is increased to allow reduction of required cropland while sustaining production volumes and meeting demand, could address this trade-off. With our interdisciplinary model-based study, we globally assess regional potentials...
Land-use decisions are made at the local level. They influenced both by factors and global drivers trends. These will most likely change over time e.g. due to political shocks, market developments or climate change. Hence, their influence should be taken into account when analysing projecting land-use decisions. We provide a set of mid-term scenarios (until 2030) for use in regional studies on agriculture land-use. In participatory process, four important identified experts from globally...
Modelling and projecting consumption, investment government demand by detailed commodities in CGE models poses many data methodological challenges. We review the state of knowledge modelling consumption (price income elasticities demographics), as well historical trends that we should be able to explain. then discuss current approaches taken project at various levels commodity disaggregation. examine pros cons adjust parameters over time or using functions suggest a research agenda improve...
Half of the European Union (EU) land and livelihood 10 million farmers is threatened by unsustainable land-use intensification, abandonment climate change. Policy instruments, including EU Common Agricultural (CAP) have so far failed to stop this environmental degradation. BESTMAP will: 1) Develop a behavioural theoretical modelling framework take into account complexity farmers’ decision-making; 2) Develop, adapt customize suite opensource, flexible, interoperable customisable computer...
Mitigation of CO2 emissions is a global public good that imposes different regional economic costs. We assess the distributional effects cooperative versus non-cooperative markets to fulfil Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), considering permit allocation rules in markets. employ computable general equilibrium model based on GTAP-9 database and add-on GTAP-Power database. Our results show resulting winners losers under policy scenarios with rules. see 2030, we can obtain gains as...
Abstract The Renewable Energy Directive (RED II) by the European Union (EU) provides an updated framework for use of renewable energy in EU transport sector until 2030, and bans biofuels with a high risk causing indirect land‐use change carbon stock areas (high ILUC‐risk criteria). only biofuel feedstock affected this criterion is palm oil. We employ computable general equilibrium (CGE) model DART‐BIO scenario‐based policy analysis evaluate phase‐out oil‐based biodiesel, additional soy...