Using demographic multi-state, cohort-component methods, we produce projections for 120 countries (covering 93% of the world population in 2005) by five-year age groups, sex, and four levels educational attainment years 2005-2050. Taking int

When will least developed countries be most vulnerable to climate change, given the influence of projected socio-economic development? The question is important, not because current levels international assistance support adaptation lag more than an order magnitude below what analysts estimate needed, and scaling up could take many years. In this paper, we examine using empirically derived model human losses climate-related extreme events, as indicator vulnerability need for assistance. We...

Much of the current debate over secularization in Europe focuses only on direction religious change and pays exclusive attention to social causes. Scholars have been less attentive shifts rate decline role demography—notably fertility immigration. This article addresses both phenomena. It uses data from European Values Surveys Social Survey for period 1981–2008 establish basic trends attendance belief across 10 countries that consistently surveyed. These show is mainly occurring Catholic has...

Significance The future pace of fertility decline in sub-Saharan Africa is the main determinant world population growth and will have massive implications for rest world, not least through international migration pressure difficulties meeting sustainable development goals. In this context, there been concerns about recent stalls some African countries. Our findings suggest that these are part explained by earlier female education less-educated women more vulnerable to adverse period...

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Since its inception in 2010, the Arab Spring has evolved into a situation of violent conflict many countries, leading to high levels migration from affected region. Given social impact large number individuals applying for asylum across Europe 2015, it is important study who these persons are terms their skills, motivations, and intentions. DiPAS (Displaced Persons Austria Survey) aims uncover socio-demographic characteristics seeking refuge arrived mainly originating Syria, Iraq...

We provide a cohort-component projection of the religious composition United States, considering differences in fertility, migration, intergenerational transmission, and switching among 11 ethnoreligious groups. If fertility migration trends continue, Hispanic Catholics will experience rapid growth expand from 10 to 18 percent American population between 2003 2043. Protestants are projected decrease 47 39 over same period, while Catholicism emerges as largest religion youngest age cohorts....

Lowering desired family size is a necessary precondition for fertility declines in high-fertility settings. Although accumulated evidence links socio-economic developments to changing desires, little research has disentangled the relative importance of key determinants. Combining individual- and community-level data from Demographic Health Surveys 34 sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries, we compare role different factors on desires at individual, community, country levels. Results show that...

This research note presents the first global population projections by educational attainment using methods of multi‐state projection. The composition age and sex fertility differentials are estimated for 13 world regions, alternative scenarios presented to year 2030. One these assumes constant transition rates other that all regions reach Northern American levels enrollment strong momentum or, as case may be, inertia in transformation a population, seen results, arises because education is...

This article explores for a large number of countries in the European Union (plus United Kingdom) main demographic differentials positive tested COVID-19 cases and excess mortality during first wave 2020, accounting differences at territorial level, where population density size play role diffusion effects disease terms morbidity mortality. knowledge complements refines epidemiological information about spread impact virus. For this analysis, we rely on descriptive exploration (1) data from...

Any breakdown of the total population (i.e., number living individuals staying within a well-defined area) for analytical purposes follows certain implicit or explicit logic. In demography it has become standard practice to sort along dimensions age and sex. Although this is usually taken granted not explicitly justified, may be useful recall good reasons that have lead practice. This appraisal sex helps evaluate importance one should assign consideration such other possible as marital...

The Bologna process of Europe has been identified as a pioneer higher education regional cooperation. To address the challenges African education, policy makers are recommending cooperation taking Process model. Thus, Union Commission (AUC) followed suit by developing harmonization strategic document in 2007. Since reforms context specific, question arises how systems Africa can be implemented fostering greater integration, into consideration? This research focuses on reform issues which...

Recent stalls in fertility decline have been observed a few countries sub-Saharan Africa, and so far no plausible common reason has identified the literature. This paper develops hypothesis that these could be associated

Abstract: We hereby present a dataset produced at the Wittgenstein Centre (WIC) containing comprehensive time series on educational attainment and mean years of schooling (MYS). The is split by 5-year age groups sex for 171 countries covers period between 1970 2010. It also contains projections to 2060 based several scenarios demographic development. constructed around collected harmonized empirical census survey data sets projection base year. paper presents principles methodology...

It is often an underlying assumption that the new role of women and in general trend toward a more egalitarian view concept partnership main factor behind low fertility rates rich countries. The aim this paper to test consequences gender (in)equity on desire men have (further) children by using inequity as important category within population science. In our assumptions we want whether unequal distribution household chores childcare duties has negative effect children. Another examines...

Contents: Introduction by Commissioner Vladimír Špidla to the four essays written in response communication on The Demographic Future of Europe; David A. COLEMAN: diversity and ethnic consequences immigration – key issues that Commission's report left out; Jonathan GRANT Stijn HOORENS: Does adequately address demographic future Europe?; Wolfgang LUTZ: Adaptation versus mitigation policies change Paul DEMENY: A clouded view Europe's future; LUTZ, Sergei SCHERBOV, Gui Ying CAO, Qiang REN...

Significance After a rapid expansion of primary school enrollment rates in many developing countries starting around 2000, progress toward development goals was widely acknowledged. However, the comprehensive focus on tested literacy skills presented this paper shows that, countries, quantity came at expense quality. Given overriding importance skilled human capital modern knowledge societies, is worrisome trend with possible negative implications current COVID-19 crisis schooling possibly...