A5024611156- Global Health Care Issues
- Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
- Health disparities and outcomes
- Climate Change and Health Impacts
- COVID-19 and healthcare impacts
- Healthcare Systems and Public Health
- demographic modeling and climate adaptation
- Health and Conflict Studies
- Heart Rate Variability and Autonomic Control
- Global Maternal and Child Health
- Employment and Welfare Studies
- Migration, Health and Trauma
- Human Health and Disease
- Health and Medical Studies
- Cardiac Health and Mental Health
- Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences
- Family Dynamics and Relationships
- Data-Driven Disease Surveillance
- Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
- Healthcare Systems and Reforms
- Air Quality and Health Impacts
- Cardiovascular Health and Risk Factors
- Statistical Methods and Inference
- Migration and Labor Dynamics
- Global Public Health Policies and Epidemiology
Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
2016-2025
National Research University Higher School of Economics
2017-2024
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
2023
École Pratique des Hautes Études
2022
Max Planck Society
2009-2018
New Economic School
2012-2016
Centre for Health Equity Studies
2015
Stockholm University
2015
Russian Academy of Sciences
1970
Abstract Objective To estimate the direct and indirect effects of covid-19 pandemic on mortality in 2020 29 high income countries with reliable complete age sex disaggregated data. Design Time series study countries. Setting Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, England Wales, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Israel, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Netherlands, New Zealand, Northern Ireland, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Scotland, Slovakia, Slovenia, South Korea, Spain, Sweden,...
Abstract Objective To estimate the changes in life expectancy and years of lost 2020 associated with covid-19 pandemic. Design Time series analysis. Setting 37 upper-middle high income countries or regions reliable complete mortality data. Participants Annual all cause data from Human Mortality Database for 2005-20, harmonised disaggregated by age sex. Main outcome measures Reduction was estimated as difference between observed expected using Lee-Carter model. Excess were World Health...
Abstract We use monthly birth data collected by the Human Fertility Database to analyze impact of COVID‐19 pandemic on trends until September 2022 in 38 higher‐income countries. also present estimates total fertility rate adjusted for seasonality. Our analysis reveals that led distinct swings births and rates. The initial shock was associated with a fall most countries, sharpest drop January 2021. Next, rates showed short‐term recovery March 2021, following conceptions after end first wave...
Estimating excess mortality is challenging. The metric depends on the expected level, which can differ based given choices, such as method and time series length used to estimate baseline. However, these choices are often arbitrary, not subject any sensitivity analysis. We bring light importance of carefully choosing inputs methods mortality. Drawing data from 26 countries, we investigate how sensitive choice index, number years included in reference period, method, unit death series. employ...
Studies on socioeconomic health disparities often suffer from a lack of uniform data and methodology. Using high quality, census-linked sensible inequality measures, this study documents the changes in absolute relative mortality differences by education Finland, Norway Sweden over period 1971 to 2000.The age-standardised rates population exposures for three educational categories were computed detailed provided national statistical offices. Mortality assessed using two range measures (rate...
<h2>Summary</h2><h3>Background</h3> Since 2010, the rate of improvement in life expectancy UK has slowed. We aimed to put this trend context changes over long term and relation a group other high-income countries. <h3>Methods</h3> compared sex-specific trends since 1970 age-specific mortality England Wales with median values for 22 countries (in western Europe, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Japan, USA). used annual data (1970–2016) from Human Mortality Database. <h3>Findings</h3> Until...
Past evidence on fertility responses to external shocks, including economic recessions and the outbreaks of infectious diseases, show that people often put their childbearing plans hold in uncertain times. We study most recent data monthly birth trends analyse initial outbreak COVID-19 pandemic. Our research, based new Short-Term Fertility Fluctuations (STFF) series (https://www.humanfertility.org/cgi-bin/stff.php), embedded Human Database (HFD), shows signs expected “birth recession”....
scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, émanant des établissements d'enseignement et recherche français étrangers, laboratoires publics privés.
We analyze trends in best‐practice life expectancy among female cohorts born from 1870 to 1950. Cohorts experience declining rather than constant death rates, and cohort usually exceeds period expectancy. Unobserved mortality rates non‐extinct are estimated using the Lee‐Carter model for 1960–2008. Best‐practice expectancies increased nearly linearly. Across 1920 annual increase length of was 0.43 years. calendar years 2008, 0.28 Cohort 53.7 83.8 1950 cohort. The corresponding cohort/period...
The COVID-19 pandemic stimulated the interest of scientists, decision makers and general public in short-term mortality fluctuations caused by epidemics other natural or man-made disasters. To address this provide a basis for further research, May 2020, Short-term Mortality Fluctuations data series was launched as new section Human Database. At present, unique resource provides weekly death counts rates age sex 38 countries regions. main objective paper is to detail web-based application...
Over the past half century global tendency for improvements in longevity has been uneven across countries. This resulted widening of inter-country disparities life expectancy. Moreover, pattern divergence appears to be driven part by processes at level country groupings defined geopolitical terms. A systematic quantitative analysis this phenomenon not possible using demographic decomposition approaches as these have suitably adapted purpose. In paper we present an elaboration conventional...
Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed substantial coverage and quality gaps in existing international national statistical monitoring systems. It is striking that obtaining timely, accurate, comparable across countries data order to adequately respond unexpected epidemiological threats very challenging. most robust reliable approach quantify the mortality burden due short-term risk factors based on estimating weekly excess deaths. This more than deaths with diagnosis or calculating...
Excess mortality has been used to measure the impact of COVID-19 over time and across countries. But what baseline should be chosen? We propose two novel approaches: an alternative retrospective derived from lowest weekly death rates achieved in previous years a within-year based on average 13 within same year. These baselines express normative levels feasible target rates. The excess calculated these are not distorted by past peaks do treat non-pandemic winter excesses as inevitable....
Reliable and comparable data on causes of death are crucial for public health analysis, but the usefulness these can be markedly diminished when approach to coding is not standardized across territories and/or over time. Because Russian system producing information highly decentralized, there may discrepancies in practices employed country. In this study, we evaluate uniformity cause-of-death regions using an indirect method. Based 2002–2012 mortality data, estimate prevalence major (70...
Past economic, health and policy shocks were associated with a downturn in fertility. We use monthly birth data collected by the Human Fertility Database (Short-Term Fluctuations series) to analyze impact of COVID-19 pandemic on trends until April 2022 37 highly developed countries. also present estimates total fertility rate adjusted for seasonality. Overall, coronavirus did not bring lasting “baby bust” most analyzed On balance, many countries experienced an improvement their dynamics...
Introduction At the turn of 2021–2022, monthly birth rates declined in many higher-income countries. We explore how rollout COVID-19 vaccination was associated with this decline. Methods Using an interrupted time series design, we evaluate impact onset pandemic and start on seasonally adjusted total fertility 22 high-income study associations between by additionally controlling for youth unemployment, stringency index coverage. Fertility data come from Short-Term Fluctuations under Human...
Socioeconomic differences in old-age mortality have not been studied Germany. This study fills the gap, evaluating and life expectancy differentials among retired German men aged 65+ 2003.Mortality rates are calculated from administrative database on all public pensions deaths of pensioners 2003. Relative expectancies estimated for population subgroups according to quintiles lifetime earnings, type medical insurance, broad occupational group, residence eastern or western Germany.Among...