- Family Dynamics and Relationships
- Demographic Trends and Gender Preferences
- Intergenerational Family Dynamics and Caregiving
- Global Health Care Issues
- Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
- Reproductive Health and Technologies
- Gender, Labor, and Family Dynamics
- Social Policy and Reform Studies
- HIV/AIDS Impact and Responses
- demographic modeling and climate adaptation
- Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
- Poverty, Education, and Child Welfare
- Agricultural risk and resilience
- Forecasting Techniques and Applications
- Migration and Labor Dynamics
- Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
- Historical Studies on Reproduction, Gender, Health, and Societal Changes
- Health disparities and outcomes
- Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
- Work-Family Balance Challenges
- COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts
- Labour Market and Migration
- Scientific Computing and Data Management
- Intergenerational and Educational Inequality Studies
- Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
Vienna Institute of Demography
2014-2025
Gesundheit Österreich
2022-2025
Austrian Academy of Sciences
2014-2025
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
2018-2024
University of Vienna
2021-2024
University of Manchester
2023
Masaryk University
2018-2021
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
2021
University of Bremen
2021
Joint Research Centre
2021
This study explores how researchers’ analytical choices affect the reliability of scientific findings. Most discussions problems in science focus on systematic biases. We broaden lens to emphasize idiosyncrasy conscious and unconscious decisions that researchers make during data analysis. coordinated 161 73 research teams observed their as they used same independently test prominent social hypothesis: greater immigration reduces support for policies among public. In this typical case...
Abstract We use monthly birth data collected by the Human Fertility Database to analyze impact of COVID‐19 pandemic on trends until September 2022 in 38 higher‐income countries. also present estimates total fertility rate adjusted for seasonality. Our analysis reveals that led distinct swings births and rates. The initial shock was associated with a fall most countries, sharpest drop January 2021. Next, rates showed short‐term recovery March 2021, following conceptions after end first wave...
The long-term decline in cohort fertility highly developed countries has been widely documented. However, no systematic analysis investigated which parity contributed most to the low and very levels.
Abstract Data for ten European countries which provide detailed distribution of COVID-19 cases by sex and age show that among people working age, women diagnosed with substantially outnumber infected men. This pattern reverses around retirement: infection rates fall at 60-69, resulting in a cross-over The relative disadvantage peaks ages 20-29, whereas the male 70-79. elevated are likely tied to their higher share health- care-related occupations. Our examination also suggests link between...
This study investigates researcher variability in computational reproduction, an activity for which it is least expected. Eighty-five independent teams attempted numerical replication of results from original policy preferences and immigration. Reproduction were randomly grouped into a ‘transparent group’ receiving code or ‘opaque only method description no code. The transparent group mostly verified (95.7% same sign p -value cutoff), while the opaque had less success (89.3%). Second-decimal...
During the twentieth century, trends in childlessness varied strongly across European countries while educational attainment grew continuously them. Using census and large-scale survey data from 13 countries, we investigated relationship between these two factors among women born 1916 1965. Up to 1940 birth cohort, share of childless at age 40+ decreased universally. Afterwards, diverged countries. The results suggest that overall were related mainly changing rates within groups only...
Past economic, health and policy shocks were associated with a downturn in fertility. We use monthly birth data collected by the Human Fertility Database (Short-Term Fluctuations series) to analyze impact of COVID-19 pandemic on trends until April 2022 37 highly developed countries. also present estimates total fertility rate adjusted for seasonality. Overall, coronavirus did not bring lasting “baby bust” most analyzed On balance, many countries experienced an improvement their dynamics...
This study explores how researchers’ analytical choices affect the reliability of scientific findings. Most discussions problems in science focus on systematic biases. We broaden lens to include conscious and unconscious decisions that researchers make during data analysis may lead diverging results. coordinated 161 73 research teams observed their as they used same independently test prominent social hypothesis: greater immigration reduces support for policies among public. In this typical...
Most research on Europe indicates that a gender-balanced division of family work tends to increase childbearing probabilities, but empirical results vary substantially. The present article proposes explanations for this observed discrepancy. It develops prior further by (1) studying short-term fertility intentions and their realization within the subsequent 4 years, (2) analyzing role spouses’ satisfaction with effects may have childbearing, (3) proving mediation relationship satisfaction,...
In Europe and the United States, women’s educational attainment started to increase around middle of twentieth century. The expected implication was fertility decline postponement, whereas in fact opposite occurred. We analyse trends quantum cohort among baby boom generations 15 countries how these relate education. Over 1901–45 cohorts, proportion parents with exactly two children rose steadily homogeneity family sizes increased. Progression a third child beyond declined all countries,...
Childlessness, a driving force of fertility, has undergone strong variations in 20th-centuryEurope, and educational attainment been rising continuously. We analyse how thesetwo factors were related to each other over time. Our study is based on census largescalesurvey data from 13 European countries, collected the Cohort Fertility andEducation database. compare trends share women childless at age 40+ inthe 1916â1965 birth cohorts, by level education. The results suggest that changes...
The second demographic transition (SDT), which links ideational changes with developments, is one of the most prominent and debated theoretical frameworks in family demography. Yet, its operationalisations as composite sets measures remain u
This article examines the characteristics of women and men who got a child despite declaring no such wish up to three years before pregnancy. We compare these unintended or sooner-than-intended parents with those as intended who, in line their intentions, did not increase family size. Using first second wave Generations Gender Survey for six low-fertility countries (Austria, Bulgaria, France, Hungary, Italy Poland) we conduct bivariate analysis (multinomial) logit models. Our results show...
Abstract The dominance of two-child families is considered an intrinsic characteristic low fertility societies. Their share was continuously increasing among baby boom cohorts but the rise ceased afterwards. While parity- and education-specific trends during expansion have been studied, corresponding analyses developments in post-expansion birth are scarce. This study investigates parity-specific that ended across educational groups. We use data on completed female born between 1936 1970 16...
Background: Studies on fertility in Poland focus the turbulent transition period and its consequences. However, during state socialism significant societal demographic changes took place.
Cet article analyse l’evolution de la descendance finale des femmes nees entre 1916 et 1960 dans sept pays d’Europe centrale orientale (Croatie, Republique tcheque, Hongrie, Pologne, Roumanie, Slovaquie Slovenie). L’effet l’elevation du niveau d’instruction sur fecondite cohortes est en tenant compte l’infecondite naissances rang eleve a l’aide methodes decomposition standardisation appliquees aux donnees issues recensements 1980 2000. Le recul resulte l’augmentation d’une part reduction...
Abstract The use of fertility intention questions to study individual childbearing behaviour has developed rapidly in recent decades. In Europe, the Generations and Gender Surveys are main sources cross-national data on intentions their realisation. This investigates how an inconsistent implementation a question about wanting child now affects cross-country comparability have within next three years We conduct our analysis separately for women men at prime late reproductive ages Austria,...
The aim of the paper is to investigate link between fertility intentions and outcomes in Poland. Previous studies detected large differences countries extent which childbearing plans are realised. Specifically, failure realise an intention become a parent was found be particularly common post-socialist countries. We use two waves Polish Generations Gender Survey, conducted years 2010/2011 2014/2015, verify whether same can observed for find that approximately 35% respondents, who at wave 1...
Cet article analyse l’évolution de la descendance finale des femmes nées entre 1916 et 1960 dans sept pays d’Europe centrale orientale (Croatie, République tchèque, Hongrie, Pologne, Roumanie, Slovaquie Slovénie). L’effet l’élévation du niveau d’instruction sur fécondité cohortes est analysé en tenant compte l’infécondité naissances rang élevé à l’aide méthodes décomposition standardisation appliquées aux données issues recensements 1980 2000. Le recul résulte l’augmentation d’une part...
Près d’un quart des femmes nées en Europe dans la première décennie du XX e siècle n’ont pas eu d’enfant. Le taux d’infécondité diminue les générations suivantes, seule une femme sur dix moyenne restant sans enfant parmi celles au début années 1940. réaugmente ensuite, atteignant à fin 1960 15 % Nord et 18 de l’Ouest. C’est Sud qu’il a le plus augmenté récemment – jusqu’à quatre 1970 pourrait y rester raison faiblesse politiques familiales inégalités genre encore très marquées qui rendent...
During the last four decades, two-child family ideal has become nearly universal across low-fertility countries. The proportion of families with two children, which was growing during baby boom, stopped increasing in late 1940s and early 1950s birth cohorts, remaining far below number people reporting as their size. This paper examines how changes share were linked to trends transitions first, second third birth. We analyse relationship varied over time countries education levels using...
A rapid fertility decline observed in Poland since the 1990s has been accompanied by a marked increase childlessness. This may seem surprising given high value placed on parenthood country. Some evidence exists how childlessness relates to biological and situational constraints, but still relatively little is known about decision never have children made, especially among men. article contributes this literature analysing perceived positive negative consequences of affect reproductive...
Abstract The realisation rates of short-term childbearing intentions are known to be consistently lower in post-socialist countries than the rest Europe. However, East–West differences outcomes postpone or forego (further) have not been previously examined. We employ two panel waves Generations and Gender Survey six (three from Eastern three Western Europe), and, based on short- long-term fertility expressed by respondents at first survey wave, we classify births occurring between as...
Background: In Poland the share of non-marital births has increased steadily for more than two decades. Studies differentiating between to unmarried partnered and unpartnered women are rare.