A5068688640- Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
- Sustainability and Ecological Systems Analysis
- Land Use and Ecosystem Services
- Global Energy and Sustainability Research
- Conservation, Biodiversity, and Resource Management
- Arctic and Russian Policy Studies
- Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
- Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy
- Evolutionary Game Theory and Cooperation
- Complex Systems and Decision Making
- Zoonotic diseases and public health
- Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Coastal and Marine Management
- Water resources management and optimization
- Indigenous Studies and Ecology
- Coral and Marine Ecosystems Studies
- Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
- Climate Change and Geoengineering
- Water-Energy-Food Nexus Studies
- Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies
- Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
- Complex Network Analysis Techniques
- Environmental Philosophy and Ethics
- Flood Risk Assessment and Management
- Climate Change Policy and Economics
Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences
2018-2025
Stockholm Resilience Centre
2016-2025
Stockholm University
2015-2025
Future Earth
2020-2024
Royal Academy of Fine Arts
2017-2024
Swedish Academy
2017-2024
Bolin Centre for Climate Research
2022-2024
Earth University
2023
Escuela Superior Politécnica del Chimborazo
2022
Universidad Internacional SEK
2019
Abstract The stability and resilience of the Earth system human well-being are inseparably linked 1–3 , yet their interdependencies generally under-recognized; consequently, they often treated independently 4,5 . Here, we use modelling literature assessment to quantify safe just boundaries (ESBs) for climate, biosphere, water nutrient cycles, aerosols at global subglobal scales. We propose ESBs maintaining (safe ESBs) minimizing exposure significant harm humans from change (a necessary but...
Regime shifts are large, abrupt, and persistent critical transitions in the function structure of ecosystems. Yet, it is unknown how these will interact, whether occurrence one increase likelihood another or simply correlate at distant places. We explored two types cascading effects: Domino effects create one-way dependencies, whereas hidden feedbacks produce two-way interactions. compare them with control case driver sharing, which can induce correlations. Using 30 regime described as...
Multiple, coordinated goals and holistic actions are critical
The term tipping point has experienced explosive popularity across multiple disciplines over the last decade. Research on social-ecological systems (SES) contributed to growth and diversity of term's use. diverse uses obscure potential differences between behavior in natural social systems, issues causality system components SES. This paper aims create foundation for a discussion within SES research community about appropriate use point, especially relatively novel 'social point.' We review...
Marine ecosystems can experience regime shifts, in which they shift from being organized around one set of mutually reinforcing structures and processes to another. Anthropogenic global change has broadly increased a wide variety that drive shifts. To assess the vulnerability marine such shifts their potential consequences, we reviewed scientific literature for 13 types used networks conduct an analysis co-occurrence drivers ecosystem service impacts. We found are caused by multiple have...
Biggs, R., G. D. Peterson, and J. C. Rocha. 2018. The Regime Shifts Database: a framework for analyzing regime shifts in social-ecological systems. Ecology Society 23(3):9. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10264-230309
Abstract Keeping the Earth system in a stable and resilient state, to safeguard Earth's life support systems while ensuring that benefits, risks, related responsibilities are equitably shared, constitutes grand challenge for human development Anthropocene. Here, we describe framework recently formed Commission will use define quantify target ranges “safe just corridor” meets these goals. Although “safe” “just” targets interrelated, see safe as primarily referring being associated with...
Despite decades of increasing investment in conservation, we have not succeeded "bending the curve" biodiversity decline. Efforts to meet new targets and goals for next three risk repeating this outcome due factors: neglect drivers decline; unrealistic expectations time frames recovery; insufficient attention justice within between generations across countries. Our Earth system approach identifies six sets actions that when tackled simultaneously address these failings: (1) reduce reverse...
The cascading effects of biodiversity decline on human well-being present a pressing challenge for sustainable development. Conservation efforts often prioritize safeguarding specific species, habitats, or intact ecosystems but overlook biodiversity's fundamental role in providing Nature's Contributions to People (NCP) human-modified landscapes. Here, we systematically review 154 peer-reviewed studies estimate the minimum levels (semi-)natural habitat quantity, quality, and spatial...
Anthropogenic climate change is projected to become a major driver of biodiversity loss, destabilizing the ecosystems on which human society depends. As planet rapidly warms, disruption ecological interactions among populations, species and their environment, will likely drive positive feedback loops, accelerating pace magnitude losses. We propose that, even without invoking such amplifying feedback, loss should increase nonlinearly with warming because non-uniform distribution biodiversity....
Many ecosystems can experience regime shifts: surprising, large and persistent changes in the function structure of ecosystems. Assessing whether continued global change will lead to further shifts, or has potential trigger cascading shifts been a central question policy. Addressing this issue has, however, hampered by focus shift research on specific cases types shifts. To systematically assess risk we conducted comparative analysis 25 generic across marine, terrestrial polar systems;...
Rising inequalities and accelerating global environmental change pose two of the most pressing challenges twenty-first century. To explore how these phenomena are linked, we apply a social-ecological systems perspective review literature to identify six different types interactions (or “pathways”) between inequality biosphere. We find that research so far has only considered one-directional effects on biosphere, or vice versa. However, given potential for complex dynamics socioeconomic...
Abstract Safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for surface water groundwater (blue water) have been defined sustainable management in the Anthropocene. Here we assessed whether minimum human needs could be met with from within individual river basins alone and, where this is not possible, quantified how much would required. Approximately 2.6 billion people live needed because they are already outside ESB or insufficient to meet ESB. 1.4 demand-side transformations required as either...
A key aim of sustainable development is the joint achievement prosperity, equality, and environmental integrity: in other words, material living standards that are high, broadly-distributed, low-impact. This has often been called "triple bottom line". But instead, what if there a "trilemma" inhibits simultaneous these three goals? We analysed international patterns trends relationships between per-capita gross national income, Gini coefficient for income distribution, ecological footprint...
Abstract Achieving sustainable development goals requires targeting and monitoring solutions tailored to different social ecological contexts. A social-ecological systems (SESs) framework was developed help diagnose problems, identify complex interactions, each SES. Here we develop a data-driven method for upscaling the SES apply it context where data is scarce, but also towards are needed. The purpose of create tool that facilitates decision-making in data-scarce We mapped by applying...
Ecosystems around the world are at risk of critical transitions due to increasing anthropogenic pressures and climate change. Yet it is unclear where risks higher or in ecosystems more vulnerable. Here I measure resilience primary productivity proxies for marine terrestrial globally. Up 29% global ecosystem, 24% ones, show symptoms loss. These shown all biomes, but Arctic tundra boreal forest most affected, as well Indian Ocean Eastern Pacific. Although results likely an underestimation,...
The biosphere crisis requires changes to existing business practices. We ask how corporations can become sustainability leaders, when constrained by multiple barriers collaboration for stewardship. describe scientists motivated, inspired and engaged with ten of the world's largest seafood companies, in a collaborative process aimed enable science-based systemic transformations (2015-2021). CEOs faced industry crises 2015 that incentivized novel approaches. New scientific insights, an...
Abstract. Radical and quick transformations towards sustainability will be fundamental to achieving a more sustainable future. However, deliberate interventions reconfigure systems result in winners losers, with the potential for greater or lesser equity justice outcomes. Positive tipping points (PTPs) have been proposed as complex aim (a) reduce likelihood of negative Earth system and/or (b) increase just social foundations. many narratives around PTPs often do not take into account entire...