A5091370703- Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Plant responses to elevated CO2
- Climate variability and models
- Species Distribution and Climate Change
- Climate change and permafrost
- Peatlands and Wetlands Ecology
- Crop Yield and Soil Fertility
- Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
- Greenhouse Technology and Climate Control
- Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Cryospheric studies and observations
- Plant and animal studies
- Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
- Plant Water Relations and Carbon Dynamics
- Soil and Water Nutrient Dynamics
- Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
- Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
- Soil Carbon and Nitrogen Dynamics
- Water resources management and optimization
- demographic modeling and climate adaptation
- Forest Management and Policy
- Water-Energy-Food Nexus Studies
- Climate Change and Environmental Impact
- Arctic and Russian Policy Studies
Finnish Environment Institute
2015-2025
ABSTRACT Aim To assess the extent to which climate change might cause changes in potential natural vegetation (PNV) across Europe. Location Method We parameterized a generalized dynamic model (LPJ‐GUESS) for most common European tree species, and, first time, modelled large‐scale dynamics using process‐based explicitly representing age cohorts, gap and biogeochemical cycles single framework. For projections, was driven with scenario data from two atmosphere–ocean general circulation models...
Understanding the drivers of yield levels under climate change is required to support adaptation planning and respond changing production risks. This study uses an ensemble crop models applied on a spatial grid quantify contributions various climatic past variability in grain maize winter wheat European cropping systems (1984-2009) impacts 2050. Results reveal that for current genotypes mix irrigated rainfed production, would lead losses gains wheat. Across Europe, average heat stress does...
The European Union is highly dependent on soybean imports from overseas to meet its protein demands. Individual Member States have been quick declare self-sufficiency targets for plant-based proteins, but detailed strategies are still lacking. Rising global temperatures painted an image of a bright future production in Europe, emerging climatic risks such as drought so far not included any those outlooks. Here, we present simulations and the most prominent risk factors across Europe using...
CR Climate Research Contact the journal Facebook Twitter RSS Mailing List Subscribe to our mailing list via Mailchimp HomeLatest VolumeAbout JournalEditorsSpecials 65:87-105 (2015) - DOI: https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01322 Contribution Special: 'Modelling climate change impacts for food security' Temperature and precipitation effects on wheat yield across a European transect: crop model ensemble analysis using impact response surfaces N. Pirttioja1,*, T. R. Carter1, S. Fronzek1, M. Bindi2, H....
Climate change impacts, adaptation and vulnerability studies tend to confine their attention impacts responses within the same geographical region. However, this approach ignores cross-border climate that occur remotely from location of initial impact may severely disrupt societies livelihoods. We propose a conceptual framework accompanying nomenclature for describing analysing such impacts. The distinguishes an is caused by trigger specific Downstream consequences propagate through...
COVID-19 has revealed how challenging it is to manage global, systemic and compounding crises. Like COVID-19, climate change impacts, maladaptive responses them, have potential disrupt societies at multiple scales via networks of trade, finance, mobility communication, impact hardest on the most vulnerable. However, these complex systems can also facilitate resilience if managed effectively. This review aims distil lessons related transboundary management risks from experience, inform policy...
To address the rising global food demand in a changing climate, yield gaps (YG), difference between potential yields under irrigated (YP) or rainfed conditions (YWL) and actual farmers' (Ya), must be significantly narrowed whilst raising yields. Here, we examined likely impacts of climate change (including changes climatic variability) improvements agricultural technologies on crop gaps. Eight rigorously tested simulation models were calibrated for wheat maize run at 10 different sites...
Climate change is already affecting many natural systems and human environments worldwide, like the semiarid Guadiana Basin in Spain. This paper illustrates a systematic analysis of climate adaptation irrigation farming region. The study applies solution-oriented diagnostic framework structured along series sequential analytical steps. An initial stage integrates economic hydrologic modeling to evaluate effects on agriculture water sectors. Next, measures are identified prioritized through...
(i) to identify at national scale areas where crop yield formation is currently most prone climate-induced stresses, (ii) evaluate how the severity of these stresses likely develop in time and space, (iii) appraise quantify performance two strategies for adapting cultivation a wide range (uncertain) climate change projections. To this end we made use extensive climate, crop, soil data, modelling tools: N-AgriCLIM WOFOST simulation model. was developed automatic generation indicators...
Population structure and dynamics are important drivers of land use. In this article, we present the methods outcomes integrating population projections across multiple spatial scales with an urban growth model. By linking shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP)-specific national to present-day distributions at a sub-national scale, describe downscaling approach that provides input into regional (RUG) model for Europe. The allocation acts as key driver residential demand especially in SSP5-based...
Crop growth simulation models can differ greatly in their treatment of key processes and hence response to environmental conditions. Here, we used an ensemble 26 process-based wheat applied at sites across a European transect compare sensitivity changes temperature (−2 +9°C) precipitation (−50 +50%). Model results were analysed by plotting them as impact surfaces (IRSs), classifying the IRS patterns individual model simulations, describing these classes analysing factors that may explain...
Elderly people are known to be more vulnerable than the general population a range of weather-related hazards such as heat waves, icy conditions and cold periods. In Nordic region, some these projected change their frequency intensity in future, while at same time strong increases proportion elderly population. This paper reports results from three projects studying potential impacts climate on region. An interactive web-based tool has been developed for mapping combining indicators...
ABSTRACT Aim This paper describes a set of integrative scenarios developed in the ALARM (Assessing LArge‐scale environmental Risks for biodiversity with tested Methods) project. The ultimate aim was to develop and test methods protocols assessment large‐scale risks evaluate mitigation options. Scenarios provide tool exploring such policy options mitigate them; therefore they play central role within Methods Three (liberalization, business as might be usual, sustainability) were illustrated...
ABSTRACT Aim Environmental changes may have important implications for biodiversity in Europe. This study aimed to provide quantification of regional climate during the 20th century and scenarios future CO 2 concentration 21st as an input models used risks EU‐funded ALARM project. Location Methods Monthly time series eight variables (maximum, mean minimum temperature, precipitation, cloudiness, humidity, growing degree days evapotranspiration) interpolated a regular 10′ grid, global...
Climate change is expected to severely affect cropping systems and food production in many parts of the world unless local adaptation can ameliorate these impacts. Ensembles crop simulation models be useful tools for assessing if proposed options are capable achieving target yields, whilst also quantifying share uncertainty simulated impact resulting from themselves. Although some studies have analysed influence ensemble size on model outcomes, effect composition has not yet been properly...