Lucy Burton

ORCID: 0000-0003-2892-7978
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About
Contact & Profiles
Research Areas
  • Kawasaki Disease and Coronary Complications
  • demographic modeling and climate adaptation
  • Congenital Heart Disease Studies
  • Mechanical Circulatory Support Devices
  • COVID-19 epidemiological studies
  • Health disparities and outcomes
  • Pneumonia and Respiratory Infections
  • Chronic Disease Management Strategies
  • COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies
  • Influenza Virus Research Studies
  • Emergency and Acute Care Studies
  • Global Health Care Issues
  • Respiratory viral infections research

UK Health Security Agency
2022-2024

Government of the United Kingdom
2021

Public Health England
2021

Paediatric Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome (PIMS-TS) is a rare life-threatening complication that typically occurs several weeks after SARS-CoV-2 infection in children and young people (CYP). We used national regional-level data from the COVID-19 pandemic waves England to develop model predict PIMS-TS cases.

10.3389/fped.2022.1034280 article EN cc-by Frontiers in Pediatrics 2022-12-05

Mathematical modelling has played an important role in offering informed advice during the COVID-19 pandemic. In England, a cross government and academia collaboration generated medium-term projections (MTPs) of possible epidemic trajectories over future 4-6 weeks from collection epidemiological models. this article, we outline collaborative approach evaluate accuracy combined individual model against data period November 2021-December 2022 when various Omicron subvariants were spreading...

10.1098/rsos.231832 article EN cc-by Royal Society Open Science 2024-05-01

Abstract Mathematical modelling has played an important role in offering informed advice during the COVID-19 pandemic. In England, a cross government and academia collaboration generated Medium-Term Projections (MTPs) of possible epidemic trajectories over future 4-6 weeks from collection epidemiological models.In this paper we outline collaborative approach evaluate accuracy combined individual model projections against data period November 2021-December 2022 when various Omicron...

10.1101/2023.11.06.23298026 preprint EN cc-by-nc-nd medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) 2023-11-07

Pneumococcal disease, presenting as invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) or community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is an important cause of illness and hospitalisation in the elderly. To reduce burden, since 2003, 65-year-olds England have been offered a 23-valent polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23). This study compares impact cost-effectiveness (CE) vaccination with existing PPV23 to new 15-and 20-valent conjugate vaccines (PCV15 PCV20), targeting adults aged 65 75 years old. We developed static...

10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.05.001 article EN cc-by-nc-nd Vaccine 2024-05-18

Background: Paediatric Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome (PIMS-TS) is a rare life-threatening complication that typically occurs several weeks after SARS-CoV-2 infection in children and young people (CYP). We used national regional-level data from the COVID-19 pandemic wave England to develop optimise model predict PIMS-TS cases subsequent waves.Methods: infections CYP aged 0-15 years were estimated using PHE-Cambridge real-time model. identified through British Surveillance Unit during...

10.2139/ssrn.4094844 article EN SSRN Electronic Journal 2022-01-01

Background: Paediatric Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome (PIMS-TS) is a rare life-threatening complication that occurs in some children two to four weeks after SARS-CoV-2 infection. Although the precise causal mechanisms underpinning relationship between and PIMS-TS are unclear, several recent studies have confirmed strong temporal association. This study provides further evidence support of link. A novel methodology presented whereby incidence parameters estimated from data published on...

10.2139/ssrn.3916769 article EN SSRN Electronic Journal 2021-01-01
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