A5075744616- Forecasting Techniques and Applications
- Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Stock Market Forecasting Methods
- Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
- Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
- Supply Chain and Inventory Management
- Big Data and Business Intelligence
- Complex Systems and Decision Making
- Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
- Economic and Environmental Valuation
- Market Dynamics and Volatility
- Psychology of Moral and Emotional Judgment
- Advanced Text Analysis Techniques
- Ethics in Business and Education
- Advanced Statistical Methods and Models
- Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
- Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance
- Consumer Market Behavior and Pricing
- Risk Perception and Management
- Risk and Safety Analysis
- Urban Green Space and Health
- Behavioral Health and Interventions
- Advanced Statistical Process Monitoring
- Outsourcing and Supply Chain Management
- Social and Intergroup Psychology
Northumbria University
2018-2024
Bilkent University
2006-2020
Bank of England
2019
University of Bradford
2017-2018
Brunel University of London
2009-2012
Decision Sciences (United States)
1994
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that surrounds future is both exciting challenging, with individuals organisations seeking to minimise risks maximise utilities. large number forecasting applications calls for a diverse set methods tackle real-life challenges. This article provides non-systematic review theory practice forecasting. We provide an overview wide range theoretical, state-of-the-art models, methods, principles,...
Abstract Decision makers and forecasters often receive advice from different sources including human experts statistical methods. This research examines, in the context of stock price forecasting, how apparent source affects attention that is paid to it when mode delivery identical for both sources. In Study 1, two groups participants were given same advised point interval forecasts. One group was told these a expert other they generated by forecasting method. The then asked adjust forecasts...
In view of the prevailing preferences for health and recreation revealed by previous studies as main expected benefits forest visits, research presented herein focuses on whether such expectations would translate into a significant increase in number visits (NFV) following pandemic outbreaks. this context, Slovak nationwide survey forests was conducted, with objective casting light possible changes NFV coping mechanism or behavioral response to discomfort severe restrictions stemming from...
Abstract In this study we compare the probability judgment accuracy of subjects from United States and Turkey. Three different response modes were employed — numerical probabilities, pie diagrams, odds. The questions in restricted to two‐alternative, general‐knowledge items. observed pattern differences components paralleled those studies that have compared Western Asian subjects. particular, Turkish exhibited better discrimination but worse calibration than their US counterparts. This...
Despite significant attention to strategic partnerships among members of supply chains, there has been limited research in food chains where such can provide a competitive advantage through forecasting practices time-sensitive items volatile business environments. The current paper aims close this gap by examining manufacturers' with retailers, special emphasis on information sharing, integration, and collaborative products chains. Through Partial Least Square (PLS) analysis survey data...
The link between subjective well-being (SWB) and forest visits is increasingly driving the development preservation of restorative environments in numerous countries. However, there limited knowledge regarding effect people's preferences for patterns activities on this connection. Here we investigated whether associations exist certain features activities, SWB increase stress reduction response to visits. A nationwide digital survey was administered a representative sample Slovak population....
This article describes an exploratory investigation of the risk perceptions experts and novices in relation to helicopter operations, under conditions where participants are matched on various characteristics previously found affect perceptions, such as demographic, gender, background factors. The study reports considerable evidence perceptual differences between two participant groups (i.e., expert pilots candidate pilots). We find that experts' relative risks more veridical, terms their...
Abstract Accepted by: Aris Syntetos Exploring the effects of information uncertainty presents an extensive challenge to decision makers. This study a set behavioural experiments that examine impact incomplete on newsvendor decisions. Findings show orders deviate from normative benchmarks when makers have and this tendency is stronger demand distribution not known. Comparison decisions under against with full no reveal availability price cost brings significantly closer levels underlying...