Pablo Montero‐Manso

ORCID: 0000-0003-3816-0985
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Research Areas
  • Regional Socio-Economic Development Trends
  • COVID-19, Geopolitics, Technology, Migration
  • Impact of AI and Big Data on Business and Society
  • Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
  • Energy Load and Power Forecasting
  • Stock Market Forecasting Methods
  • Forecasting Techniques and Applications
  • Wikis in Education and Collaboration
  • Web Data Mining and Analysis
  • Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
  • Big Data Technologies and Applications
  • Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
  • Smart Grid Energy Management
  • Human Mobility and Location-Based Analysis
  • Text and Document Classification Technologies
  • Machine Learning in Healthcare
  • Solar and Space Plasma Dynamics
  • Computational Physics and Python Applications
  • Data Management and Algorithms
  • Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
  • Data Stream Mining Techniques
  • Transportation and Mobility Innovations
  • COVID-19 epidemiological studies
  • Manufacturing Process and Optimization
  • Precipitation Measurement and Analysis

The University of Sydney
2020-2025

Universidade da Coruña
2018-2020

Monash University
2018-2020

Katharine Sherratt Hugo Gruson Rok Grah Helen Johnson Rene Niehus and 95 more Bastian Prasse Frank Sandmann Jannik Deuschel Daniel Wolffram Sam Abbott Alexander Ullrich Graham Gibson Evan L Ray Nicholas G Reich Daniel Sheldon Yijin Wang Nutcha Wattanachit Lijing Wang Ján Trnka Guillaume Obozinski Tao Sun Dorina Thanou Loïc Pottier Ekaterina Krymova Jan H. Meinke Maria Vittoria Barbarossa Neele Leithäuser Jan Möhring Johanna Schneider Jarosław Wlazło Jan Fuhrmann Berit Lange Isti Rodiah Prasith Baccam Heidi Gurung Steven Stage Bradley Suchoski Jozef Budzinski Robert Walraven Inmaculada Villanueva Vít Tuček Martin Šmíd Milan Zajíček Cesar Perez Alvarez Borja Reina Nikos I Bosse Sophie Meakin Lauren Castro Geoffrey Fairchild Isaac Michaud Dave Osthus Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro Antonello Maruotti Veronika Eclerová Andrea Kraus David Kraus Lenka Přibylová Bertsimas Dimitris Michael Lingzhi Li Soni Saksham Jonas Dehning Sebastian Mohr Viola Priesemann Grzegorz Redlarski Benjamı́n Béjar Giovanni Ardenghi Nicola Parolini Giovanni Ziarelli Wolfgang Böck Stefan Heyder Thomas Hotz David E Singh Miguel Guzmán-Merino Jose L Aznarte David Moriña Sergio Alonso Enric Àlvarez Daniel López Clara Prats Jan Pablo Burgard Arne Rodloff Tom Zimmermann Alexander Kuhlmann Janez Žibert Fulvia Pennoni Fabio Divino Martí Català Gianfranco Lovison Paolo Giudici Barbara Tarantino Francesco Bartolucci Giovanna Jona Lasinio Marco Mingione Alessio Farcomeni Ajitesh Srivastava Pablo Montero‐Manso Aniruddha Adiga Benjamin Hurt Bryan Lewis Madhav Marathe

Short-term forecasts of infectious disease burden can contribute to situational awareness and aid capacity planning. Based on best practice in other fields recent insights epidemiology, one maximise the predictive performance such if multiple models are combined into an ensemble. Here, we report ensembles predicting COVID-19 cases deaths across Europe between 08 March 2021 07 2022.

10.7554/elife.81916 article EN public-domain eLife 2023-04-21

Many businesses and industries nowadays rely on large quantities of time series data making forecasting an important research area. Global models that are trained across sets have shown a huge potential in providing accurate forecasts compared with the traditional univariate work isolated series. However, there currently no comprehensive archives for contain datasets from similar sources available community to evaluate performance new global algorithms over wide variety datasets. In this...

10.48550/arxiv.2105.06643 preprint EN other-oa arXiv (Cornell University) 2021-01-01
Katharine Sherratt Hugo Gruson Rok Grah Hillary Johnson Rene Niehus and 95 more Bastian Prasse F. Sandman Jannik Deuschel Daniel Wolffram Sam Abbott Alexander Ullrich Graham Gibson EL. Ray NG. Reich Daniel Sheldon Yijin Wang Nutcha Wattanachit L. Wang Ján Trnka Guillaume Obozinski Tao Sun Dorina Thanou Laurence Pottier Ekaterina Krymova Maria Vittoria Barbarossa Neele Leithäuser Jan Möhring Johanna Schneider Jarosław Wlazło Jan Fuhrmann Berit Lange Isti Rodiah Prasith Baccam Heidi Gurung Steven A. Stage Brad T. Suchoski Jozef Budzinski Robert Walraven Inmaculada Villanueva Vít Tuček Martin Šmíd Milan Zajíček C. Pérez Álvarez Borja Reina Nikos I Bosse Sophie Meakin Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro Antonello Maruotti Veronika Eclerová Andrea Kraus David Kraus Lenka Přibylová Babalis Dimitris ML. Li Soni Saksham Jonas Dehning Sebastian Mohr Viola Priesemann Grzegorz Redlarski Benjamı́n Béjar Giovanni Ardenghi Nicola Parolini Giovanni Ziarelli Wolfgang Böck Stefan Heyder Thomas Hotz David E Singh Miguel Guzmán-Merino Jose L Aznarte David Moriña Sergio Alonso E. Álvarez Daniel López Clara Prats JP. Burgard Arne Rodloff Thomas Zimmermann Alexander Kuhlmann Janez Žibert Fulvia Pennoni Fabio Divino Martí Català Gianfranco Lovison Paolo Giudici Barbara Tarantino Francesco Bartolucci Giovanna Jona Lasinio Marco Mingione Alessio Farcomeni Ajitesh Srivastava Pablo Montero‐Manso Aniruddha Adiga Benjamin Hurt Bryan Lewis Madhav Marathe Przemyslaw Porebski Srinivasan Venkatramanan Rafał Bartczuk Filip Dreger Anna Gambin

Abstract Background Short-term forecasts of infectious disease burden can contribute to situational awareness and aid capacity planning. Based on best practice in other fields recent insights epidemiology, one maximise the predictive performance such if multiple models are combined into an ensemble. Here we report ensembles predicting COVID-19 cases deaths across Europe between 08 March 2021 07 2022. Methods We used open-source tools develop a public European Forecast Hub. invited groups...

10.1101/2022.06.16.22276024 preprint EN cc-by medRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) 2022-06-16

Algorithms that involve both forecasting and optimization are at the core of solutions to many difficult real-world problems, such as in supply chains (inventory optimization), traffic, transition towards carbon-free energy generation battery/load/production scheduling sustainable systems. Typically, these scenarios we want solve an problem depends on unknown future values, which therefore need be forecast. As problems their own right, relatively few research has been done this area. This...

10.48550/arxiv.2212.10723 preprint EN other-oa arXiv (Cornell University) 2022-01-01

Abstract A new test statistic using interpoint distances is proposed to address the two‐sample problem for multivariate populations. The compares univariate distributions of within and between samples pairwise a Cramér‐von Mises‐type statistic. critical values are approximated by means permutation procedure regularity conditions required ensure consistency established. Unlike other procedures, our approach whole instead just few moments, thus obtaining higher capability detect differences in...

10.1002/sam.11417 article EN Statistical Analysis and Data Mining The ASA Data Science Journal 2019-05-20

Abstract Tolerance to stress conditions is vital for organismal survival, including bacteria under specific environmental conditions, antibiotics, and other perturbations. Some studies have described common modulation shared genes during response different types of disturbances (termed as perturbome), leading the idea central control at molecular level. We implemented a robust machine learning approach identify describe associated with multiple perturbations or perturbome in Pseudomonas...

10.1101/2020.05.05.078477 preprint EN cc-by-nc bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory) 2020-05-05

Feature extraction methods help in dimensionality reduction and capture relevant information. In time series forecasting (TSF), features can be used as auxiliary information to achieve better accuracy. Traditionally, TSF are handcrafted, which requires domain knowledge significant data-engineering work. this research, we first introduce a notion of static dynamic features, then enables us develop our autonomous Retrieving Autoregressive Network for Static (FRANS) that does not require...

10.48550/arxiv.2209.07018 preprint EN cc-by arXiv (Cornell University) 2022-01-01
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