Abstract Aim To evaluate a suite of species distribution models for their utility as predictors suitable habitat and tools new population discovery six rare plant that have both narrow geographical ranges specialized requirements. Location The Rattlesnake Creek Terrane (RCT) the Shasta‐Trinity National Forest in northern California Coast Range United States. Methods We used occurrence records from 25 years US Service botanical surveys, environmental remotely sensed climate data to model...

Predictions of future species' ranges under climate change are needed for conservation planning, which species distribution models (SDMs) widely used. However, global model-based (GCM) output grids can bias the area identified as suitable when these used SDM predictor variables, because GCM outputs, typically at least 50×50 km, biologically coarse. We tested assumption that be equally well portrayed in SDMs operating on base data different grid sizes by comparing performance statistics and...

BioMove simulates plant species' geographic range shifts in response to climate, habitat structure and disturbance, at annual time steps. This spatially explicit approach integrates bioclimatic suitability population‐level demographic rates with simulation of landscape‐level processes (dispersal, dynamic dominant vegetation structure). Species population dynamics are simulated through matrix modelling that includes scaling by climatic suitability. Dispersal functions simulate spread....

International policy is placing increasing emphasis on adaptation to climate change, including the allocation of new funds assist efforts. Climate change funding may be most effective where it meets integrated goals, but global geographic priorities based multiple development and ecological criteria are not well characterized. Here we show that human natural needs related maintaining agricultural productivity ecosystem integrity intersect in ten major areas globally, providing a coherent set...

Abstract Background Invasive plant species are considered a major threat to biodiversity, ecosystem functioning, and human wellbeing worldwide. Climatically suitable ranges for invasive expected expand due future climate change. The identification of current invasions potential range expansion is required plan the management these species. Here, we predicted climatically habitats 11 calculated richness their expansions in different provinces Republic Korea (ROK) under change scenarios (RCP...

Amphibian species are highly vulnerable to climate change with significant decline and extinction predicted worldwide. However, there very limited studies on amphibians in South Korea. Here, we assessed the potential impacts of different habitat groups (wetland amphibians, Group 1; migrating 2; forest-dwelling 3) under future land cover Korea using a maximum entropy modelling approach. Our study revealed that all would suffer substantial loss suitable habitats future, except Lithobates...

We analyzed recent survey data and mapped environmental variables integrated over a home range scale of 10 km 2 to model the distribution fisher ( Martes pennanti ) habitat in California, USA. Our goal was identify factors associated with current fishers test whether those differ for widely disjunct northern southern populations. analyses were designed probe poor quality can explain absence historically occupied central Sierra Nevada region that separates these two Fishers detected at 64/433...

Subalpine ecosystems at high altitudes and latitudes are particularly sensitive to climate change. In South Korea, the prediction of species richness subalpine plant under future change is not well studied. Thus, this study aims assess potential impact on (14 species) in 17 mountain national parks (MNPs) Korea scenarios' representative concentration pathways (RCP) 4.5 RCP 8.5 using maximum entropy (MaxEnt) Migclim for years 2050 2070. Altogether, 723 occurrence points 14 six selected...

Summary Vulnerability assessments can provide useful information for the establishment of climate change adaptation strategies. We performed spatial vulnerability multiple plant species that incorporate potential range shifts to areas future suitable climate. conducted at a national level organized into vulnerable groups. then identified meta‐corridor each group could potentially be pathway species. estimated suitability 2297 South Korean terrestrial under current conditions and projections...

Endangered species conservation planning needs to consider the effects of future climate change. Species distribution models are commonly used predict shifts in habitat suitability. We evaluated change on highly endangered mountain gorilla ( Gorilla beringei ) using a variety modeling approaches, and assessing model outputs from perspective three spatial management strategies: status quo, expansion relocation. show that alternative assumptions about ecological niche gorillas can have very...

Accurate information on the distribution of existing species is crucial to assess regional biodiversity. However, data inventories are insufficient in many areas. We examine ability Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) multi-response model overcome species' limitations and portray plant patterns for 199 South Korean species. The study models with two or more observations, examines their contribution national richness, provides a sensitivity analysis different range threshold...

Abstract Background Global risk assessment of invasive weeds is a proactive strategy for identifying high-risk species and regions, predicting invasion rates extents, evaluating harmful impacts on native biodiversity, agriculture, ecosystems. In this study, distribution modeling was used to assess the global Ardisia elliptica , highly tropical shrub South Southeast Asia that in other parts world, under current climate future change scenarios [shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) SSP1-2.6,...

Altitudinal patterns in the population ecology of mountain bird species are useful for predicting occurrence and behavior. Numerous hypotheses about complex interactions among environmental factors have been proposed; however, these still remain controversial. This study aimed to identify altitudinal breeding richness or density test that climate, habitat heterogeneity (horizontal vertical), heterospecific attraction a temperate forest, South Korea. We conducted field survey 142 plots at...

Abstract Increasingly large presence‐only survey datasets are becoming available for use in conservation assessments. Potentially, these records could be used to determine spatial patterns of plant species rarity and endemism. We test the integration a South Korean record database with Rabinowitz classes. proposed seven classes using three variables: geographic range, habitat specificity, local population size. estimated range size abundance 2,215 from occurrence specificity as number...

Range-size distributions are important for understanding species richness patterns and led to the development of controversial Rapoport’s rule Rapoport-rescue effect. This study aimed understand relationship between range-size distribution in relation environmental factors. The present tested following: (1) altitudinal rule, a subsequent test on climatic ambient energy hypotheses, (2) non-directional rescue effect, effect factors associated with narrowest widest-range species. Altitudinal...

Extreme climate events such as typhoons, heat waves, and floods have increased in frequency with change. Many municipalities within the Republic of Korea (ROK) experienced damage from these events, necessitating countermeasures. Vulnerability assessment has been suggested implementation a national plan for reducing resulting Thus, this study, we assess vulnerability ROK identify key vulnerable support adaptation plan. We create framework assessing all 232 respect to 32 items 7 fields. The...

As climate change is ongoing, many studies have recently focused on adaptation to from a spatial perspective. However little known about how changing the composition of landuse could improve resilience. Consideration impacts when spatially allocating be useful and fundamental long term strategy, particularly for regional planning. Here, we identify scenarios based existing extents three classes using multi-objective genetic algorithms 9982 km2 region with 3.5 million inhabitants in South...

Climate change is one of the most influential factors on range expansion southern species into northern regions, which has been studied among insects, fish, birds and plants extensively in Europe North America. However, South Korea, few studies northward particularly butterflies, have conducted. Therefore, we selected eight butterflies calculated potential richness values their different provinces Korea under two climate scenarios (RCP 4.5 RCP 8.5) using maximum entropy (MaxEnt) modeling...

The Ministry of Environment have started the 'National Ecosystem Survey' since 1986. It has been carried out nationwide every ten years as largest survey project in Korea. second one and third produced GIS-based inventory species. Three methods were different from each other. There few studies for species distribution using national data purposes this study are to test models finding most suitable modeling National Survey investigate results according taxonominal group. Occurrence nine...

Climate change has modified the structure and functions of ecosystems, affecting human well-being. Evergreen plants in warm-temperate ecosystems will lose climatically suitable habitats under climate but have not drawn much scholarly interest. Therefore, present research aimed to predict future climatic niches eight coastal warm-adapted evergreen trees provide information for an effective management practice. For this purpose, we used ensemble species distribution models (SDMs) weighted by...