A5063187438- Particle physics theoretical and experimental studies
- Quantum Chromodynamics and Particle Interactions
- High-Energy Particle Collisions Research
- Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
- Nuclear physics research studies
- Nuclear Physics and Applications
- Radiation Detection and Scintillator Technologies
- Market Dynamics and Volatility
- Nuclear reactor physics and engineering
- Dark Matter and Cosmic Phenomena
- Atomic and Molecular Physics
- Astrophysics and Cosmic Phenomena
- Fiscal Policies and Political Economy
- Neutrino Physics Research
- Particle Detector Development and Performance
- X-ray Spectroscopy and Fluorescence Analysis
- Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
- Atomic and Subatomic Physics Research
- Global Financial Crisis and Policies
- Economic theories and models
- Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
- Particle accelerators and beam dynamics
- Radiation Therapy and Dosimetry
- Particle Accelerators and Free-Electron Lasers
- Quantum, superfluid, helium dynamics
Institut d'Etudes Politiques de Paris
2012-2024
University of Warwick
2015-2024
Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare, Sezione di Genova
2012-2024
École Polytechnique
2023-2024
Centre de Recherche en Économie et Statistique
2023-2024
Centre for Research in Engineering Surface Technology
2023
Centre for Economic Policy Research
2019-2022
Center for Economic and Policy Research
2018-2021
Enrico Fermi Center for Study and Research
2017-2021
London Business School
2014
Commonly used instruments for the identification of monetary policy disturbances are likely to combine true shock with information about state economy due disclosed through action. We show that this signaling effect can give rise empirical puzzles reported in literature, and propose a new high-frequency instrument shocks accounts informational rigidities. find tightening is unequivocally contractionary, deterioration domestic demand, labor credit market conditions as well asset prices...
This paper studies the transmission of US monetary shocks across globe by employing a high-frequency identification policy and large VAR techniques, in conjunction with macro-financial dataset global national indicators covering both advanced emerging economies. Our controls for information effects allows separate analysis tightenings loosenings stance. First, we document that have real nominal spillover affect economies markets. Policy actions cannot fully isolate economies, even case...
We present measurements of the differential cross section and $\ensuremath{\Lambda}$ recoil polarization for $\ensuremath{\gamma}p\ensuremath{\rightarrow}{K}^{+}\ensuremath{\Lambda}$ reaction made using CLAS detector at Jefferson Lab. These cover center-of-mass energy range from $1.62$ to $2.84$ GeV a wide ${K}^{+}$ production angles. Independent analyses were performed ${K}^{+}p{\ensuremath{\pi}}^{\ensuremath{-}}$ ${K}^{+}p$ (missing ${\ensuremath{\pi}}^{\ensuremath{-}}$) final-state...
Despite years of research, there is still uncertainty around the effects monetary policy shocks. We reassess empirical evidence by combining a new identification that accounts for informational rigidities, with flexible econometric method robust to misspecifications bridges between VARs and Local Projections. show most lack robustness results in extant literature due compounding unrealistic assumptions full information use severely misspecified models. Using our novel methodology, we find...
This paper empirically evaluates the potentially nonlinear nexus between financial indicators and distribution of future GDP growth, using a rich set macroeconomic variables covering thirteen advanced economies. We evaluate out-of-sample forecast performance for including fully real-time exercise based on flexible nonparametric model. also use parametric model to estimate moments time-varying their in-sample estimation uncertainty. Our overall conclusion is pessimistic: other than...
Differential cross sections for the reaction $\gamma p \to n \pi^+$ have been measured with CEBAF Large Acceptance Spectrometer (CLAS) and a tagged photon beam energies from 0.725 to 2.875 GeV. Where available, results obtained here compare well previously published reaction. Agreement SAID MAID analyses is found below 1 The present set of has incorporated into database, exploratory fits made up 2.7 Resonance couplings extracted compared previous determinations. With addition these world...
Abstract We develop a medium-size semistructural time series model of inflation dynamics that is consistent with the view, often expressed by central banks, three components are important: trend anchored long-run expectations, Phillips curve, and temporary fluctuations in energy prices. find stable long-term well-identified steep curve data, but they imply potential output declining since new millennium prices affecting headline not only via also an independent expectational channel.
We evaluate the role of financial conditions as predictors macroeconomic risk first in quantile regression framework Adrian et al. (2019b), which allows for non-linearities, and then a novel linear semi-structural model proposed by Hasenzagl (2018). distinguish between price variables such credit spreads stock leverage. find that (i) although correlate with left tail conditional distribution GDP growth, they provide limited advanced information on growth vulnerability; (ii) nonfinancial...
Abstract We propose a Bayesian approach to Local Projections that optimally addresses the empirical bias-variance trade-off intrinsic in choice between direct and iterative methods. (BLP) regularise LP regressions via informative priors, estimate impulse response functions capture properties of data more accurately than VARs. BLPs preserve flexibility LPs while retaining degree estimation uncertainty comparable VARs with standard macroeconomic priors. As regularised forecasts, are also...
Beam-recoil transferred polarizations for the exclusive $\stackrel{\ensuremath{\rightarrow}}{e}p\ensuremath{\rightarrow}{e}^{'}{K}^{+}\stackrel{\ensuremath{\rightarrow}}{\ensuremath{\Lambda}},{\stackrel{\ensuremath{\rightarrow}}{\ensuremath{\Sigma}}}^{0}$ reactions have been measured using Continuous Electron Beam Accelerator Facility's large acceptance spectrometer (CLAS) at Thomas Jefferson National Facility. New measurements completed beam energies of 4.261 and 5.754 GeV that span a range...
This article reviews Bayesian inference methods for vector autoregression models, commonly used priors economic and financial variables, applications to structural analysis forecasting.
Can discretionary increases in government spending stimulate the economy? We answer this question by taking into account both information flow on fiscal measures and role played frictions. Using a novel set of empirical proxies for news agents’ misperceptions, our approach identifies three types innovations to that modify at different horizons: before, upon after actual change materialises. Borrowing from psychological literature, we name them expected, unexpected misexpected changes. By...