A5016725148- Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
- Water resources management and optimization
- Global Energy and Sustainability Research
- Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Climate change impacts on agriculture
- demographic modeling and climate adaptation
- Climate Change and Geoengineering
- Energy, Environment, Economic Growth
- Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
- Climate Change Communication and Perception
- Sustainable Development and Environmental Policy
- Water-Energy-Food Nexus Studies
- Data Analysis with R
- Regional Development and Policy
- Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration
- Risk and Safety Analysis
- Climate variability and models
- Environmental Impact and Sustainability
- Sustainable Finance and Green Bonds
- Environmental and Social Impact Assessments
- Air Quality and Health Impacts
- Agricultural risk and resilience
- Global Energy Security and Policy
- Economic Growth and Productivity
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
2021-2025
Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
2019-2024
Climate Analytics
2019-2022
Young generations are severely threatened by climate change
A modest fraction of current global stimulus funds can put the world on track to achieve Paris Agreement goals
Abstract Gender inequalities are reflected in differential vulnerability, and exposure to the hazards posed by climate change addressing them is key increase adaptive capacities of societies. We provide trajectories Inequality Index (GII) alongside Shared-Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), a scenario framework widely used science. Here we find that rapid improvements gender inequality possible under sustainable development already near-term. The share girls growing up countries with highest...
Abstract The impacts of climate change are affecting human societies today. In parallel, socio-economic development has increased the capacity countries around global to adapt those although substantial challenges remain. Ongoing will continue result in a pressure adapt, while could make it easier do so. Countries’ effectiveness fostering resilience depend on pace both developments under different and emission pathways. Here we assess trajectories adaptation readiness comparison with...
Abstract Does climate change influence if societies will be better or worse equipped to reduce climatic risks in the future? A society’s adaptive capacity determines whether potential of adaptation realized. Assumptions about level are inherently made when for future and resultant levels risk estimated. In this review, we look at literature on human impacts through lens capacity. Building evidence financial resources as presented Working Group 2 (WG2) report Intergovernmental Panel Climate...
Abstract The extent to which societies will globally be able adapt climate change is not well understood. Here we analyze socioeconomic dimensions of adaptive capacity populations deal with heat stress and find income, urbanization income inequality important factors in explaining adaptation air conditioning (AC). Using the scenario framework Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), estimate future cooling gap, represents difference between population exposed protect against AC. Depending on...
Abstract. Current global mitigation ambition up to 2030 under the Paris Agreement, reflected in National Determined Contributions (NDCs), is insufficient achieve agreement's 1.5 ∘C long-term temperature limit. As governments are preparing new and updated NDCs for 2020, question as how much collective improvement achieved a pivotal one credibility of international climate regime. The recent Special Report on Global Warming by Intergovernmental Panel Climate Change has assessed wide range...
Abstract Currently, most research explaining why countries lead or lag in climate policy assumes a problem-oriented perspective, focusing on barriers to adoption. Here, we argue that correcting for past failures, solving problems, and bringing policies back track the Paris Agreement requires solution-oriented perspective political enablers of ambitious policies. We unite growing community has previously been scattered across disciplinary subfields with various ontological epistemological...
<title>Abstract</title> Economic damages from climate change are rising worldwide, though the burden is unevenly distributed. Despite this, progress under UNFCCC towards global agreements on financing mitigation, adaptation, and responses to losses has been slow. Integrated approaches analyzing impacts mitigation in context of fair remain limited. Instead, modelling primarily focused cost-effectiveness without explicitly addressing regional inequalities both responsibilities vulnerabilities....
The economic impacts of climate change are becoming increasingly important in thecontext chronic physical risks, but they often assessed isolation from the costsof mitigation, potentially skewing perceptions mitigation efforts. Such areunevenly distributed across regions, resulting not only immediate lossesbut also reduced capacity for long-term adaptation and mitigation.This work aims to advance integrated assessments mitigationcosts explore underlying uncertainty through scenarios by...
Climate change is expected to bring higher temperatures, changes rainfall patterns and in many places increased frequency severity of extreme weather. slated affect the global food equation both on supply demand side as well local level systems where small farm communities often depend their own production. As climate has become more pronounced, risk land-based security faced by world's poor, such rural Ethiopia Niger, seems have intense less predictable. To avoid insecurity response...
Climate change adaptation is paramount, but increasing evidence suggests that action subject to a range of constraints. For realistic assessment future prospects, it crucial understand the timescales needed overcome these Here, we combine data on documented from Global Adaptation Mapping Initiative with national macro indicators and assess changes in constraints alongside Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, spanning wide socio-economic development scenarios. We find even most optimistic scenario,...
Abstract Sustainable irrigation expansion over water limited croplands is an important measure to enhance agricultural yields and increase the resilience of crop production global warming. While existing assessments mainly illustrate biophysical potential for irrigation, socioeconomic factors such as weak governance or low income, that demonstrably impede successful implementation sustainable remain largely underexplored. Here we provide five scenarios deployment in 21st century integrated...
Abstract An ever-growing body of evidence suggests that climate change is already impacting human and natural systems around the world. Global environmental assessments assessing this evidence, for example by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 1 , face increasing challenges to appraise an exponentially growing literature 2 diverse approaches attribution. Here we use language representation model BERT identify classify studies observed impacts, producing a...
A large-scale transformation of the energy system, which climate mitigation entails, is a global and highly politicized problem. This thematic issue brings together scholars who work with Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs)—which are used for Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports other key analyses future trajectories—and social scientists working issues to highlight how two strands research could benefit from combining insights across different disciplines methods. One...
Abstract Irrigation expansion onto rainfed croplands is an important part of the portfolio agricultural measures, contributing to a more resilient crop production while enhancing yields. Existing global assessments irrigation illustrate biophysical potential, but generally do not account for socioeconomic and environmental constraints deployment. Here we provide scenarios regionalized sustainable linked projections from Shared Socioeconomic Pathways framework, accounting limits. Under...
Abstract An ever-growing body of evidence suggests that climate change is already impacting human and natural systems around the world. Global environmental assessments assessing this evidence, for example by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 1 , face increasing challenges to appraise an exponentially growing literature 2 diverse approaches attribution. Here we use language representation model BERT identify classify studies observed impacts, producing a...
Abstract. Current global mitigation ambition as under the Paris Agreement reflected in National Determined Contributions (NDCs) up to 2030 is insufficient achieve Agreement's 1.5 °C long term temperature limit. As governments are preparing new and updated NDCs for 2020, question how much collective improvement achieved a pivotal one credibility of international climate regime. The recent Special Report Intergovernmental Panel Climate Change on Global Warming has assessed wide range scenarios...
In light of the global energy crisis and escalating climate change impacts, liability major fossil fuel companies is receiving heightened scrutiny, particularly in context litigation. This study initially establishes feasibility attributing damages to these companies. Utilizing social cost carbon methodology, we evaluate inflicted by top 25 oil gas emitters from 1985 2018, comparing their financial profits. Our central estimate suggests partial approximately 20 trillion USD, with...