A5055801778- Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Global Energy and Sustainability Research
- Environmental Impact and Sustainability
- Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
- Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
- Carbon Dioxide Capture Technologies
- Social Acceptance of Renewable Energy
- Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
- Energy and Environment Impacts
- Energy, Environment, Economic Growth
- Global Energy Security and Policy
- Biofuel production and bioconversion
- Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth
- Climate Change and Geoengineering
- Forest Management and Policy
- Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
- Bioenergy crop production and management
- Natural Resources and Economic Development
- CO2 Sequestration and Geologic Interactions
- Innovation Policy and R&D
- Climate Change and Health Impacts
- demographic modeling and climate adaptation
- Smart Grid Energy Management
- Electric Power System Optimization
- Air Quality and Health Impacts
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
2016-2025
Leibniz Association
2018-2025
Climate Foundation
2021
ORCID
2021
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei
2007-2015
Paul Scherrer Institute
2005-2015
Eni (Italy)
2012
This paper presents the overview of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and their energy, land use, emissions implications. The SSPs are part a new scenario framework, established by climate change research community in order to facilitate integrated analysis future impacts, vulnerabilities, adaptation, mitigation. pathways were developed over last years as joint effort describe plausible major global developments that together would lead different challenges for mitigation adaptation...
Abstract. Anthropogenic increases in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations are the main driver of current and future climate change. The integrated assessment community has quantified anthropogenic emissions for shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) scenarios, each which represents a different projection political environment. Here, we provide these SSP scenarios – using reduced-complexity climate–carbon-cycle model MAGICC7.0. We extend historical, observationally based concentration data...
This paper presents a set of energy and resource intensive scenarios based on the concept Shared Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs). The scenario family is characterized by rapid fossil-fueled development with high socio-economic challenges to mitigation low adaptation (SSP5). A special focus placed SSP5 marker developed REMIND-MAgPIE integrated assessment modeling framework. baseline exhibit very levels fossil fuel use, up doubling global food demand, tripling demand greenhouse gas emissions...
Energy is crucial for supporting basic human needs, development and well-being. The future evolution of the scale character energy system will be fundamentally shaped by socioeconomic conditions drivers, available resources, technologies supply transformation, end-use demand. However, because energy-related activities are significant sources greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions other environmental social externalities, also influenced acceptance strategic policy choices. All these uncertainties...
The chemical weathering of rocks currently absorbs about 1.1 Gt CO2 a−1 being mainly stored as bicarbonate in the ocean. An enhancement this slow natural process could remove substantial amounts from atmosphere, aiming to offset some unavoidable anthropogenic emissions order comply with Paris Agreement, while at same time it may decrease ocean acidification. We provide first comprehensive assessment economic costs, energy requirements, technical parameterization, and global regional carbon...
Young generations are severely threatened by climate change
Abstract. The recent IPCC reports state that continued anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions are changing the climate, threatening severe, pervasive and irreversible impacts. Slow progress in reduction to mitigate climate change is resulting increased attention what called geoengineering, engineering, or intervention – deliberate interventions counter seek either modify Earth's radiation budget remove gases such as CO2 from atmosphere. When focused on CO2, latter of these categories carbon...
Whether and how long-term energy climate targets can be reached depend on a range of interlinked factors: technology, economy, environment, policy, society at large. Integrated assessment models change or energy-system have limited representations societal transformations, such as behavior various actors, transformation dynamics in time, heterogeneity across within societies. After reviewing the state art, we propose research agenda to guide experiments integrate more insights from social...
Abstract Integrated assessment models (IAMs) have emerged as key tools for building and assessing long term climate mitigation scenarios. Due to their central role in the recent IPCC assessments, international policy analyses more generally, high uncertainties related future projections, IAMs been critically assessed by scholars from different fields receiving various critiques ranging adequacy of methods how results are used communicated. Although conceptually diverse evolved very...
Abstract Climate change threatens to undermine efforts eradicate extreme poverty. However, climate policies could impose a financial burden on the global poor through increased energy and food prices. Here, we project poverty rates until 2050 assess how they are influenced by mitigation consistent with 1.5 °C target. A continuation of historical trends will leave 350 million people globally in 2030. Without progressive redistribution, would push an additional 50 into redistributing national...
Abstract. Scenarios represent a critical tool in climate change analysis, enabling the exploration of future evolution system, impacts, and human system (including mitigation adaptation actions). This paper describes scenario framework for ScenarioMIP as part CMIP7. The design process, initiated June 2023, has involved various rounds interaction with research community user groups at large. proposal covers set scenarios exploring high levels (to explore high-end risks), medium (anchored to...
Biomass from cellulosic bioenergy crops is expected to play a substantial role in future energy systems, especially if climate policy aims at stabilizing greenhouse gas concentration low levels. However, the potential of for change mitigation remains unclear due large uncertainties about agricultural yield improvements and land availability biomass plantations.
This study explores a situation of staged accession to global climate policy regime from the current regionally fragmented and moderate action. The analysis is based on scenarios in which front runner coalition – EU or China embarks immediate ambitious action while rest world makes transition between 2030 2050. We assume that ensuing involves strong mitigation efforts but does not require late joiners compensate for their initially higher emissions. Thus, targets are relaxed, although can...