A5013437305- Climate Change Communication and Perception
- Disaster Management and Resilience
- Risk Perception and Management
- Flood Risk Assessment and Management
- Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
- Climate variability and models
- Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Public Relations and Crisis Communication
- Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
- Behavioral Health and Interventions
- Economic and Environmental Valuation
- demographic modeling and climate adaptation
- Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
- Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
- Environmental Education and Sustainability
- Advanced Text Analysis Techniques
- Environmental Sustainability in Business
- Media Influence and Health
- Cholinesterase and Neurodegenerative Diseases
- Language, Metaphor, and Cognition
- Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
- Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Delphi Technique in Research
- Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration
University of Leeds
2015-2024
Winthrop University
2023-2024
IFP Énergies nouvelles
2023
Université Gustave Eiffel
2023
Centre Nantais de Sociologie
2023
Charles River Laboratories (United Kingdom)
2021
University of Warwick
2020
Uppsala University
2020
Met Office
2019
University of Florida
2017
Public perception research in different countries has suggested that real and perceived periods of high temperature strengthen people's climate change beliefs. Such findings raise questions about the beliefs people regions with moderate climates. Relatively little is known whether public concerns may also be associated changes other weather-related events, such as precipitation or flooding. We examine relationship between events among U.K. residents at a time below-average winter...
Abstract The vulnerability of social-ecological systems in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) to climate variability and change means that there is an urgent need better integrate weather information into societal decision-making processes. Long-term adaptation these regions has received increasing attention, with recent initiatives aiming increase resilience at timescales years decades. Less focus been given short-term information. However, users are principally interested shorter (hours seasons)...
Background. Numeracy refers to people’s ability use numbers. Low numeracy has been associated with difficulties in understanding risk-benefit information and making health decisions. Older adults tend perform worse than younger on measures of numeracy, but some theories aging suggest that older may lack motivation for such tasks. We therefore test whether age differences performance are mediated by a reduced think hard about complex problems—as measured need cognition. Method. recruited an...
Across Europe, organizations in different sectors are sensitive to climate variability and change, at a range of temporal scales from the seasonal interannual multi-decadal. Climate forecast providers face challenge communicating uncertainty inherent these forecasts decision-makers way that is transparent, understandable does not lead false sense certainty. This article reports findings user-needs survey, conducted with 50 representatives Europe variety (e.g. water management, forestry,...
Heat waves pose serious health risks, and are expected to become more frequent, longer lasting, intense in the future under a changing climate. Yet, people UK seem feel positive when thinking about hot weather. According research on affect heuristic, any or negative emotions evoked by potentially risky experiences may be used as cues inform concerns risk protection. If so, then their feelings toward weather might lead residents lower intentions adopt heat protection behaviors. Here, we...
While conventional weather forecasts focus on meteorological thresholds for extreme events, Impact-Based Forecasts (IBF) integrate information about the potential severity of impacts with their likelihood occurrence. As IBF provides an indication local risk, there is increasing uptake this approach globally. Despite vulnerability West Africa to severe weather, and benefits such a risk-based informing disaster risk reduction, remains rarely used in region. To meet need, three national...
Abstract The risk of surface water flooding (SWF) in England is already high and its frequency severity projected to increase the future. SWF generally occurs due intense, highly localised rainfall, which challenging forecast with sufficient accuracy take proactive action ahead flood events. Being able manage effectively lies improved rainfall products, better communication uncertainty building capacity local responders. This study utilises state‐of‐the‐art high‐resolution ensemble forecasts...
Provision of weather and climate services are expected to improve the capacity for rural households' preparedness response plans shocks. With increase in public investments developing communicating information on local scale Nigeria, uncertainty timescales that meet farmers' needs economic value is still poorly understood. It now a policy concern whether preferences demands might its uptake. This study analyzed value, latent demand, emerging market Central-Southern Nigeria. Farm-level...
Background The evidence used to inform health care decision making (HCDM) is typically uncertain. In these situations, the experience of experts essential help makers reach a decision. Structured expert elicitation (referred as elicitation) quantitative process capture experts’ beliefs. There heterogeneity in existing methodology HCDM, and it not clear if guidelines are appropriate for use this context. article, we seek establish reference case methods HCDM. Methods We collated available...
Abstract Africa is poised for a revolution in the quality and relevance of weather predictions, with potential great benefits terms human economic security. This will be driven by recent international progress nowcasting, numerical prediction, theoretical tropical dynamics, forecast communication, but depend on suitable scientific investment being made. The commercial sector has recognized this opportunity new products are made available to African stakeholders. At time, it vital that robust...
"Enhancing the Value of Weather and Climate Services in Society: Identified Gaps Needs as Outcomes First WMO WWRP/SERA Society Conference" published on 17 Mar 2023 by American Meteorological Society.
the European Space Agency SST CCI project, and two institutions (C3S, EEA) met to share information about uncertainty in climate science discuss how contribute
Abstract In the United Kingdom, Met Office issues regionally calibrated impact-based weather warnings. These aim to reduce harm people and property. To decrease risk from severe weather, it is important understand how members of U.K. public interpret act on these This paper addresses this through a postevent survey (n = 552) conducted following Storm Doris, 2017 winter storm during which wind warnings were issued across much Kingdom. Survey questions examined 1) understanding warnings, 2)...
Heatwaves can cause death, illness, and discomfort, are expected to become more frequent as a result of climate change.Yet, UK residents have positive feelings about hot summers that may undermine their willingness protect themselves against heat.We randomly assigned participants one three intervention strategies intended promote heat protection, or control group.The first strategy aimed build on the availability heuristic by asking remember high summer temperatures, but it elicited thoughts...
Abstract Understanding how precipitation may change in the future is important for guiding climate adaptation. Climate models are primary tools providing information on change, though communicating and interpreting results of different model simulations challenging. Using an online survey, completed by producers users information, we compare evaluate interpretations approaches used to summarise visualise projections. Results reveal large differences arising from choices made summarising...
The UK is already experiencing the impacts of climate change and these are expected to increase in scale severity coming decades. Preparing for by undertaking adaptive actions can potentially reduce level harm. In UK, government's adaptation program aims develop a "climate-ready society." However, achieving broad public engagement presents significant communications challenge. Here, we aimed understand how residents use interpret terms "climate impacts" adaptation." We conducted secondary...
Stakeholders from public, private, and third sectors need to adapt a changing climate. Communications about climate may be challenging, especially for audiences with limited expertise. Here, we study how such audience members perceive visualizations projected future rainfall. In semi-structured interviews, presented 24 participants climate-conscious organizations across the UK three prototypical rainfall, adopted probabilistic United Kingdom Climate Projections: (1) Maps displaying central...
This study contributes new knowledge in evaluating actions aimed at alleviating impacts of climate change on small-scale fishers and enhancing resilience their households West Africa. Evidence the damage caused by to artisanal fisheries sector African countries is accumulating. Current measures place for adapt these changes include broad long-term pro-poor strategies designed manage persistent problem overfishing declining fish stocks. However, one immediate coping strategy beginning emerge,...
Weather and climate information trigger early action facilitate better disaster preparedness. Decision-driven people-centered weather are pivotal for the effective uptake. The challenge of responses in preparing drought hazard is growing dry savannah tropical sub-Saharan African countries. This paper analyzed user needs fostering risk preparedness Central-Southern Nigeria. Stratified, snowball, simple random samplings were used to obtain a sample 397 respondents across agro-ecological zones...
Irrespective of the success climate mitigation efforts, societies worldwide face challenge adapting to a changing climate. In this paper, we examine UK residents' expectations future threats and opportunities associated with change impacts, along willingness prioritise different impacts for investment. Using national survey (n = 2007), report on three main findings. First, residents tend expect related flooding wet weather be more likely concerning than heat extremes or opportunities....