Rosalind M. Eggo
A5040703559- COVID-19 epidemiological studies
- SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
- Viral Infections and Outbreaks Research
- COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies
- COVID-19 and healthcare impacts
- Vaccine Coverage and Hesitancy
- Influenza Virus Research Studies
- Data-Driven Disease Surveillance
- COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts
- Long-Term Effects of COVID-19
- Health disparities and outcomes
- Respiratory viral infections research
- COVID-19 and Mental Health
- Chronic Disease Management Strategies
- Human Mobility and Location-Based Analysis
- Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Intensive Care Unit Cognitive Disorders
- Global Health Care Issues
- Disaster Response and Management
- Viral Infections and Vectors
- COVID-19 Digital Contact Tracing
- SARS-CoV-2 detection and testing
- Mosquito-borne diseases and control
- Migration, Health and Trauma
- Pneumonia and Respiratory Infections
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
2015-2024
University of London
2016-2024
The University of Melbourne
2024
University of Oxford
2020-2023
Wellcome Trust
2023
Medical Research Council
2020-2023
UK Research and Innovation
2023
Health Data Research UK
2022-2023
University College London
2022
UiT The Arctic University of Norway
2022
An outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has led to 95 333 confirmed cases as March 5, 2020. Understanding the early transmission dynamics infection and evaluating effectiveness control measures is crucial for assessing potential sustained occur in new areas. Combining a mathematical model SARS-CoV-2 with four datasets from within outside Wuhan, we estimated how Wuhan varied between December, 2019, February, We used these estimates assess human-to-human...
UK variant transmission Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has the capacity to generate variants with major genomic changes. The B.1.1.7 (also known as VOC 202012/01) many mutations that alter virus attachment and entry into human cells. Using a variety of statistical dynamic modeling approaches, Davies et al. characterized spread in United Kingdom. authors found is 43 90% more transmissible than predecessor lineage but saw no clear evidence for change disease...
BackgroundNon-pharmaceutical interventions have been implemented to reduce transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in the UK. Projecting size an unmitigated epidemic and potential effect different control measures has crucial support evidence-based policy making during early stages epidemic. This study assesses impact for mitigating burden COVID-19 UK.MethodsWe used a stochastic age-structured model explore range intervention scenarios, tracking 66·4...
Abstract Background An outbreak of the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 has led to 46,997 confirmed cases as 13 th February 2020. Understanding early transmission dynamics infection and evaluating effectiveness control measures is crucial for assessing potential sustained occur in new areas. Methods We combined a stochastic model with data on disease (COVID-19) Wuhan international that originated estimate how had varied over time during January Based these estimates, we then calculated...
A novel SARS-CoV-2 variant, VOC 202012/01 (lineage B.1.1.7), emerged in southeast England November 2020 and is rapidly spreading towards fixation. Using a variety of statistical dynamic modelling approaches, we estimate that this variant has 43–90% (range 95% credible intervals 38–130%) higher reproduction number than preexisting variants. fitted two-strain transmission model shows will lead to large resurgences COVID-19 cases. Without stringent control measures, including limited closure...
Adjusting for delay from confirmation to death, we estimated case and infection fatality ratios (CFR, IFR) coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on the Diamond Princess ship as 2.6% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.89–6.7) 1.3% CI: 0.38–3.6), respectively. Comparing deaths board with expected based naive CFR estimates China, IFR in China be 1.2% 0.3–2.7) 0.6% 0.2–1.3),
SummaryBackgroundWhether HIV infection is associated with risk of death due to COVID-19 unclear. We aimed investigate this association in a large-scale population-based study England.MethodsWe did retrospective cohort study. Working on behalf NHS England, we used the OpenSAFELY platform analyse routinely collected electronic primary care data linked national registrations. included all adults (aged ≥18 years) alive and follow-up Feb 1, 2020, at least 1 year continuous registration general...
<h2>Summary</h2><h3>Background</h3> COVID-19 has disproportionately affected minority ethnic populations in the UK. Our aim was to quantify differences SARS-CoV-2 infection and outcomes during first second waves of pandemic England. <h3>Methods</h3> We conducted an observational cohort study adults (aged ≥18 years) registered with primary care practices England for whom electronic health records were available through OpenSAFELY platform, who had at least 1 year continuous registration start...
Abstract The frequency of, and risk factors for, long COVID are unclear among community-based individuals with a history of COVID-19. To elucidate the burden possible causes in community, we coordinated analyses survey data from 6907 self-reported COVID-19 10 UK longitudinal study (LS) samples 1.1 million diagnostic codes electronic healthcare records (EHR) collected by spring 2021. Proportions presumed cases LS reporting any symptoms for 12+ weeks ranged 7.8% 17% (with 1.2 to 4.8%...
SummaryBackgroundNational immunisation programmes globally are at risk of suspension due to the severe health system constraints and physical distancing measures in place mitigate ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. We aimed compare benefits sustaining routine childhood Africa with acquiring acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection through visiting vaccination service delivery points.MethodsWe considered a high-impact scenario low-impact approximate child deaths that could be...
We evaluated effectiveness of thermal passenger screening for 2019-nCoV infection at airport exit and entry to inform public health decision-making. In our baseline scenario, we estimated that 46% (95% confidence interval: 36 58) infected travellers would not be detected, depending on incubation period, sensitivity screening, proportion asymptomatic cases. Airport is unlikely detect a sufficient avoid travellers.
The COVID-19 pandemic has shown a markedly low proportion of cases among children. Age disparities in observed could be explained by children having lower susceptibility to infection, propensity show clinical symptoms, or both. We evaluate these possibilities fitting an age-structured mathematical model epidemic data from six countries. estimate that symptoms occur 25% (95% CrI: 19-32%) infections 10-19-year-olds, rising 76% (68-82%) over-70s, and infection under-20s is approximately half...
Between October 2013 and April 2014, more than 30,000 cases of Zika virus (ZIKV) disease were estimated to have attended healthcare facilities in French Polynesia. ZIKV has also been reported Africa Asia, 2015 the spread South America Caribbean. Infection with associated neurological complications including Guillain-Barré Syndrome (GBS) microcephaly, which led World Health Organization declare a Public Emergency International Concern February 2015. To better understand transmission dynamics...
Abstract BACKGROUND In December 2019, a novel strain of SARS-CoV-2 emerged in Wuhan, China. Since then, the city Wuhan has taken unprecedented measures and efforts response to outbreak. METHODS We quantified effects control on population contact patterns China, assess their progression included latest estimates epidemic parameters from transmission model fitted data local internationally exported cases age-structured framework. Further, we looked at age-distribution cases. Lastly, simulated...
<ns4:p><ns4:bold>Background:</ns4:bold> Interventions are now in place worldwide to reduce transmission of the novel coronavirus. Assessing temporal variations different countries is essential for evaluating effectiveness public health interventions and impact changes policy.</ns4:p><ns4:p> <ns4:bold>Methods:</ns4:bold> We use case notification data generate daily estimates time-dependent reproduction number regions countries. Our modelling framework, based on open source tooling, accounts...
BackgroundIn war-torn Yemen, reports of confirmed cholera started in late September, 2016. The disease continues to plague Yemen today what has become the largest documented epidemic modern times. We aimed describe key epidemiological features this epidemic, including drivers transmission during outbreak.MethodsThe Health Authorities set up a national surveillance system collect information on suspected cases presenting at health facilities. Individual variables included symptom onset date,...